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Avellino Basket vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-80
10-18 21-14 20-25 21-23
Position#6
Record11-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Scafati 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record10-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game78.9
ItalySerie A2Round 19· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
93-81
93
81
+12
88avg 75
A02/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 75
H08/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 75
A12/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
75-79
75
79
-4
62avg 75
H16/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
87-78
87
78
+9
84avg 75
H22/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
78-65
78
65
+13
78avg 75
A26/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
85-62
85
62
+23
no box
H03/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
90-101
90
101
-11
80avg 75
A07/12
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
90-79
90
79
+11
84avg 75
H14/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 75
A20/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
23-27
26-14
19-20
25-20
13-26
23-11
26-23
15-20
20-26
19-23
18-24
26-22
13-22
15-19
21-16
21-24
22-17
10-17
34-20
24-14
14-12
19-17
21-22
24-20
29-11
12-18
20-13
18-29
26-28
21-24
25-20
23-11
18-23
22-21
27-24
21-12
25-21
18-19
18-23
163.2Avg total
83.9Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.077.0158.0+4.061%
Season at home (9)81.674.6156.1+7.067%
Season away (9)80.479.4159.9+1.056%
Last 10 (10)83.979.3163.2+4.670%
Last 5 (5)85.076.4161.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)85.086.7171.7-1.733%
vs Similar (21)80.779.7160.4+1.052%
vs Weaker (6)79.575.5155.0+4.050%
This opponent (Scafati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
L
82-87
82
87
-5
74avg 70
H02/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
69-71
69
71
-2
60avg 70
A09/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
75-67
75
67
+8
59avg 70
H12/11
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
82avg 70
A16/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
77-71
77
71
+6
62avg 70
H23/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
95-79
95
79
+16
88avg 70
H26/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
100-75
100
75
+25
87avg 70
A30/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
79-92
79
92
-13
67avg 70
H06/12
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
87-68
87
68
+19
79avg 70
A14/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
66avg 70
H21/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
33-18
15-21
20-30
15-20
16-13
20-20
18-18
24-18
15-14
20-15
16-20
23-20
13-24
25-19
25-23
30-9
13-22
15-18
19-22
21-27
26-14
26-21
22-17
26-14
20-14
27-28
27-19
19-31
12-26
25-18
23-17
21-19
22-17
23-15
21-17
19-17
22-18
16-21
24-16
161.5Avg total
83.8Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.378.9161.2+3.356%
Season at home (10)83.878.3162.1+5.570%
Season away (8)80.479.8160.1+0.638%
Last 10 (10)83.877.7161.5+6.160%
Last 5 (5)88.477.2165.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.093.3172.3-14.30%
vs Similar (10)78.285.2163.4-7.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.676.7163.4+9.982%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
Avellino BasketScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A02/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H08/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A12/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H16/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H22/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A26/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H03/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A07/12
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H14/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A20/12
Serie A2
83.0Avg total
42.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.681.3+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.839.179.9+1.750%-
Last 30 away (14)40.442.482.8-1.957%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.583.0+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.280.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)45.745.791.3+0.033%-
vs Similar (21)40.940.481.2+0.557%-
vs Weaker (6)37.339.076.3-1.750%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H02/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A09/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H12/11
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A16/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H23/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H26/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A30/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
31-57
31
57
-26
H06/12
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A14/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H21/12
Serie A2
77.7Avg total
40.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.381.8-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.141.283.4+0.962%-
Last 30 away (14)38.541.479.9-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.377.7+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.481.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.946.285.1-7.311%-
vs Similar (10)39.443.082.4-3.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.635.878.5+6.882%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.6
53.4%
50.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.7
35.1%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.516.7
81.5%
74.4%16.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.1
48.4%
50.8%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.212.0
38.5%
34.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.812.8
68.1%
74.4%12.8
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
WWLWWWLLWW
Scafati
WWLWWWLWLL
#6
League position
#1
+4.8
Net rating
+9.1
115.9
Offensive rating
115.7
111.1
Defensive rating
106.6
53.1%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.3%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.1%
3-point %
38.5%
53.6%
Assist %
41.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 115.7Defence111.1 · 106.6Shooting53.1% · 52.8%3-point %35.1% · 38.5%Ball care14.5% · 14.3%Off. rebounds29.3% · 32.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Avellino Basket wins
0
Scafati wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25ACividale82-75
14/12/25HForli90-79
07/12/25ACento90-101
03/12/25HFortitudo Bologna85-62
26/11/25APistoia78-65
22/11/25HRimini87-78
16/11/25HMestre75-79
12/11/25APesaro72-93
08/11/25HLibertas Livorno87-80
02/11/25ARoseto93-81
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HJuVi Cremona81-72
14/12/25ARoseto87-68
06/12/25HRimini79-92
30/11/25ARuvo Di Puglia100-75
26/11/25HSebastiani Rieti95-79
23/11/25HPistoia77-71
16/11/25ABlu Basket Bergamo93-95 OT
12/11/25HBasket Torino75-67
09/11/25APesaro69-71
02/11/25HCento82-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW61%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game81.081.680.4
Allowed / game77.074.679.4
Point differential+4.0+7.0+1.0
Avg total158.0156.1159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%44%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Scafati
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW56%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %56%70%38%
Points / game82.383.880.4
Allowed / game78.978.379.8
Point differential+3.3+5.5+0.6
Avg total161.2162.1160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro1813572%82.476.7+5.7
2 Rimini1812667%82.176.4+5.7
3 Brindisi1812667%78.172.8+5.2
4 Verona1812667%77.873.7+4.2
5 Libertas Livorno1811761%77.672.3+5.3
6 Fortitudo Bologna1811761%75.971.7+4.3
7 Avellino Basket1811761%81.077.0+4.0
8 Cividale1811761%77.675.6+2.0
9 Scafati1810856%82.378.9+3.3
10 Sebastiani Rieti1810856%79.978.3+1.6
11 Basket Torino1910953%74.673.4+1.2
12 Mestre189950%78.580.1-1.6
13 Blu Basket Bergamo178947%81.482.1-0.7
14 Cento1881044%78.179.2-1.1
15 Pistoia1861233%78.281.6-3.4
16 Forli1861233%76.181.1-5.0
17 JuVi Cremona1861233%73.279.7-6.5
18 Urania Milano1861233%77.083.5-6.5
19 Roseto1841422%79.885.8-5.9
20 Ruvo Di Puglia1841422%73.585.3-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino Basket1021202172
Scafati1814252380
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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