PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Avellino Basket vs Mestre Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-79
26-22 13-22 15-19 21-16
Position#6
Record6-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Mestre 🏆
Italy
Position#15
Record4-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game82.8
ItalySerie A2Round 12· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2025-26
Meetings · Avellino Basket v Mestre
21 Mar 2027
AVEL v MEST
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
AVEL75
MEST79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
74-75
74
75
-1
64avg 75
H28/09
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
92-98
92
98
-6
86avg 75
A05/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
78-68
78
68
+10
77avg 75
A08/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
59-82
59
82
-23
47avg 75
H12/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
83-54
83
54
+29
90avg 75
H19/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
67-74
67
74
-7
53avg 75
A26/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
94-82
94
82
+12
88avg 75
H29/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
93-81
93
81
+12
88avg 75
A02/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 75
H08/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 75
A12/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
16-17
26-18
19-18
28-25
19-24
22-20
23-29
24-16
17-21
17-21
20-10
20-21
16-20
11-25
12-16
27-12
20-10
15-17
21-15
14-25
15-19
19-14
19-16
22-17
22-21
27-23
23-21
25-20
23-27
26-14
19-20
25-20
13-26
23-11
26-23
15-20
20-26
19-23
18-24
158.6Avg total
79.9Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.277.0156.2+2.255%
Season at home (5)79.474.6154.0+4.860%
Season away (6)79.079.0158.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)79.978.7158.6+1.250%
Last 5 (5)82.682.0164.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.590.0176.5-3.525%
vs Similar (21)80.279.3159.5+0.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)76.679.6156.2-3.020%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
101-91
101
91
+10
91avg 66
H27/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 66
H03/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
79-71
79
71
+8
69avg 66
A08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
73-92
73
92
-19
61avg 66
H12/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
76avg 66
A19/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 66
H25/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 66
A29/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
94-102
94
102
-8
87avg 66
H01/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
89-74
89
74
+15
80avg 66
A09/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
58-81
58
81
-23
42avg 66
H12/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-27
22-25
21-13
26-26
14-22
24-19
25-19
15-10
11-14
23-15
24-22
21-20
16-33
17-19
28-24
12-16
23-28
28-21
24-16
9-25
23-24
14-18
25-19
16-18
19-25
27-26
19-19
15-15
21-19
28-26
27-33
18-24
21-23
22-23
19-15
27-13
13-20
13-22
22-18
10-21
164.9Avg total
81.4Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.582.8162.4-3.336%
Season at home (6)80.385.8166.2-5.533%
Season away (5)78.679.2157.8-0.640%
Last 10 (10)81.483.5164.9-2.140%
Last 5 (5)79.884.2164.0-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.786.7161.3-12.00%
vs Similar (4)87.080.0167.0+7.075%
vs Weaker (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
Avellino BasketMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H28/09
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A05/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A08/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H12/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H19/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A26/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H29/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A02/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H08/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A12/11
Serie A2
80.3Avg total
39.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.081.4-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.939.179.0+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)41.042.983.9-1.960%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.980.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.844.283.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.545.890.2-1.225%-
vs Similar (21)40.039.879.9+0.257%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)39.042.081.0-3.060%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H27/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H12/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A19/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A29/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H01/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A09/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H12/11
Serie A2
86.0Avg total
41.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)40.544.284.7-3.636%-
Last 30 at home (6)39.545.785.2-6.233%-
Last 30 away (5)41.842.484.2-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.986.0-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.285.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.544.583.0-6.033%-
vs Similar (4)45.247.592.8-2.225%-
vs Weaker (1)34.029.063.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.7
50.0%
50.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.39.1
40.8%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.514.2
72.8%
74.4%14.2
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
50.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.3
41.0%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.312.9
74.6%
74.4%12.9
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
LWWWLWLWLL
Mestre
LWLLLLLWWW
#6
League position
#15
+1.0
Net rating
-2.0
111.5
Offensive rating
109.7
110.6
Defensive rating
111.7
54.2%
Effective FG%
53.4%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
17.2%
Turnover %
14.7%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.8%
3-point %
41.0%
56.8%
Assist %
45.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 109.7Defence110.6 · 111.7Shooting54.2% · 53.4%3-point %40.8% · 41.0%Ball care17.2% · 14.7%Off. rebounds29.4% · 22.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Avellino Basket wins
0
Mestre wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25APesaro72-93
08/11/25HLibertas Livorno87-80
02/11/25ARoseto93-81
29/10/25HBlu Basket Bergamo94-82
26/10/25ARuvo Di Puglia67-74
19/10/25HBasket Torino83-54
12/10/25HBrindisi59-82
08/10/25AJuVi Cremona78-68
05/10/25AVerona92-98
28/09/25HUrania Milano74-75
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25HFortitudo Bologna58-81
09/11/25APistoia89-74
01/11/25HSebastiani Rieti94-102
29/10/25AForli80-85
25/10/25HCividale78-79
19/10/25APesaro84-90
12/10/25HRimini73-92
08/10/25ARuvo Di Puglia79-71
03/10/25HCento78-70
27/09/25HRoseto101-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game79.279.479.0
Allowed / game77.074.679.0
Point differential+2.2+4.8+0.0
Avg total156.2154.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%33%40%
Points / game79.580.378.6
Allowed / game82.885.879.2
Point differential-3.3-5.5-0.6
Avg total162.4166.2157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro1210283%84.076.4+7.6
2 Fortitudo Bologna118373%79.671.5+8.1
3 Brindisi117464%78.271.8+6.4
4 Sebastiani Rieti117464%81.276.5+4.7
5 Verona117464%76.072.9+3.1
6 Libertas Livorno127558%78.873.6+5.2
7 Cividale127558%77.675.8+1.8
8 Rimini116555%82.178.8+3.3
9 Avellino Basket116555%79.277.0+2.2
10 Cento116555%78.977.5+1.4
11 Blu Basket Bergamo115645%83.182.3+0.8
12 Scafati115645%79.079.0+0.0
13 Forli115645%73.978.8-4.9
14 JuVi Cremona115645%72.480.4-8.0
15 Mestre114736%79.582.8-3.3
16 Pistoia114736%80.183.5-3.4
17 Basket Torino114736%70.276.0-5.8
18 Ruvo Di Puglia114736%77.084.0-7.0
19 Urania Milano123925%77.284.3-7.2
20 Roseto112918%83.288.7-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino Basket2613152175
Mestre2222191679
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.