PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Avellino Basket vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-79
23-11 18-23 22-21 27-24
Position#6
Record9-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#17
Record6-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game80.2
ItalySerie A2Round 17· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2025-26
Meetings · Avellino Basket v Forli
11 Oct 2026
AVEL94
FORL81
14 Dec 2025
AVEL90
FORL79
20 Oct 2024
AVEL64
FORL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
67-74
67
74
-7
53avg 75
A26/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
94-82
94
82
+12
88avg 75
H29/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
93-81
93
81
+12
88avg 75
A02/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 75
H08/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 75
A12/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
75-79
75
79
-4
62avg 75
H16/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
87-78
87
78
+9
84avg 75
H22/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
78-65
78
65
+13
78avg 75
A26/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
85-62
85
62
+23
no box
H03/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
90-101
90
101
-11
80avg 75
A07/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
15-19
19-14
19-16
22-17
22-21
27-23
23-21
25-20
23-27
26-14
19-20
25-20
13-26
23-11
26-23
15-20
20-26
19-23
18-24
26-22
13-22
15-19
21-16
21-24
22-17
10-17
34-20
24-14
14-12
19-17
21-22
24-20
29-11
12-18
20-13
18-29
26-28
21-24
25-20
162.3Avg total
82.8Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.477.0157.4+3.456%
Season at home (8)80.574.0154.5+6.562%
Season away (8)80.280.0160.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)82.879.5162.3+3.360%
Last 5 (5)83.077.0160.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.086.7171.7-1.733%
vs Similar (22)81.279.7160.9+1.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)77.474.8152.2+2.640%
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 70
A25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
85-80
85
80
+5
79avg 70
H29/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
73-62
73
62
+11
69avg 70
A02/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 70
H09/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
59-86
59
86
-27
52avg 70
A12/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 70
H16/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 70
A23/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
88-91
88
91
-3
81avg 70
H26/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 70
A30/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 70
H08/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
15-18
14-17
36-30
25-19
26-27
19-19
15-15
21-18
23-11
12-14
17-19
26-20
11-8
21-23
22-19
5-16
20-23
17-26
17-21
17-21
22-22
17-24
18-18
15-19
20-23
21-15
16-24
24-24
20-23
17-24
27-20
19-26
26-22
13-15
24-25
19-27
29-18
21-19
16-8
157.6Avg total
78.2Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.980.2156.1-4.438%
Season at home (8)79.879.6159.4+0.150%
Season away (8)72.080.9152.9-8.925%
Last 10 (10)78.279.4157.6-1.250%
Last 5 (5)80.283.4163.6-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.081.8153.8-9.820%
vs Similar (19)79.676.9156.6+2.758%
vs Weaker (1)67.086.0153.0-19.00%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
Avellino BasketForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A26/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H29/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A02/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H08/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A12/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H16/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H22/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A26/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H03/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A07/12
Serie A2
83.1Avg total
41.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.181.9-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.039.680.6+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)40.542.983.4-2.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.083.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.883.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.745.791.3+0.033%-
vs Similar (22)41.040.881.8+0.359%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)36.640.076.6-3.440%-
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A02/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H09/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A12/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H26/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A30/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H08/12
Serie A2
80.1Avg total
40.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.079.3-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.239.381.5+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)36.540.677.1-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.980.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.087.2-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.738.474.1-2.730%-
vs Similar (19)41.840.181.8+1.758%-
vs Weaker (1)30.054.084.0-24.00%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.6
53.5%
50.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.4
36.7%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.115.4
76.6%
74.4%15.4
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.214.8
44.6%
50.8%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.011.8
43.7%
34.6%35.4
🏀 Free throws17.813.7
77.0%
74.4%13.7
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
LWWWLLWWWL
Forli
WLLLLLWWWW
#6
League position
#17
+5.4
Net rating
-0.6
113.9
Offensive rating
111.1
108.5
Defensive rating
111.7
54.1%
Effective FG%
54.0%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.7%
3-point %
43.7%
56.6%
Assist %
57.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 111.1Defence108.5 · 111.7Shooting54.1% · 54.0%3-point %36.7% · 43.7%Ball care15.1% · 14.6%Off. rebounds27.6% · 21.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Avellino Basket wins
2
Forli wins
DateGameScore
26/03/25Forli v Avellino Basket86-85
20/10/24Avellino Basket v Forli64-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ACento90-101
03/12/25HFortitudo Bologna85-62
26/11/25APistoia78-65
22/11/25HRimini87-78
16/11/25HMestre75-79
12/11/25APesaro72-93
08/11/25HLibertas Livorno87-80
02/11/25ARoseto93-81
29/10/25HBlu Basket Bergamo94-82
26/10/25ARuvo Di Puglia67-74
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/25HPistoia85-72
30/11/25ARoseto82-88
26/11/25HPesaro88-91
23/11/25AFortitudo Bologna72-81
16/11/25HVerona74-85
12/11/25ALibertas Livorno59-86
09/11/25HUrania Milano80-70
02/11/25ABasket Torino73-62
29/10/25HMestre85-80
25/10/25ABrindisi84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game80.480.580.2
Allowed / game77.074.080.0
Point differential+3.4+6.5+0.2
Avg total157.4154.5160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game75.979.872.0
Allowed / game80.279.680.9
Point differential-4.4+0.1-8.9
Avg total156.1159.4152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi1511473%78.270.7+7.5
2 Pesaro1611569%82.077.6+4.4
3 Cividale1510567%78.275.1+3.1
4 Verona1711665%77.973.9+4.0
5 Libertas Livorno1610662%77.972.4+5.5
6 Fortitudo Bologna1610662%75.572.1+3.4
7 Rimini159660%82.377.6+4.7
8 Sebastiani Rieti159660%80.977.9+3.1
9 Avellino Basket169756%80.477.0+3.4
10 Scafati168850%82.180.1+2.0
11 Cento168850%79.479.3+0.1
12 Basket Torino168850%73.674.1-0.6
13 Blu Basket Bergamo157847%81.581.1+0.4
14 Mestre167944%78.881.1-2.3
15 Pistoia1661038%78.881.9-3.1
16 Forli1661038%75.980.2-4.4
17 JuVi Cremona1661038%73.580.0-6.5
18 Urania Milano1651131%77.384.2-6.9
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1641225%74.685.3-10.7
20 Roseto1631319%80.586.8-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino Basket2318222790
Forli1123212479
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.