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Avellino Basket vs Sebastiani Rieti Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#7
Record4-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game76.5
ItalySerie A2Round 24· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2026-27
Meetings · Avellino Basket v Sebastiani Rieti
30 Jan 2027
AVEL v SEBA
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
AVEL86
SEBA71
02 Oct 2024
AVEL61
SEBA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
64-69
64
69
-5
55avg 73
A09/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
62avg 73
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
59avg 73
H14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
61-93
61
93
-32
53avg 73
A17/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 73
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
W
73-72
73
72
+1
23avg 73
A04/10
Serie A2
Forli
#10
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 73
H11/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
77-62
77
62
+15
82avg 73
A17/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#18
W
85-74
85
74
+11
105avg 73
H21/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#8
L
70-83
70
83
-13
55avg 73
A25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
22-17
17-18
4-12
12-21
18-24
27-13
18-13
17-23
18-14
25-16
16-14
9-28
19-17
15-26
18-22
29-10
26-16
11-23
21-20
23-23
11-22
21-11
18-16
25-19
24-21
24-23
21-18
31-13
20-16
14-14
12-19
24-11
21-21
19-16
21-26
19-27
18-24
23-17
10-15
150.3Avg total
76.2Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.073.5154.5+7.583%
Season at home (3)88.774.7163.3+14.0100%
Season away (3)73.372.3145.7+1.067%
Last 10 (10)76.274.1150.3+2.170%
Last 5 (5)79.874.4154.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.279.5152.8-6.250%
vs Similar (16)77.678.6156.2-0.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.076.7161.7+8.380%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
70-69
70
69
+1
64avg 70
A08/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
61avg 70
A10/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 70
H13/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
65avg 70
H15/05
Serie A2
Caserta
#14
W
81-73
81
73
+8
69avg 70
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
79-64
79
64
+15
78avg 70
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#9
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 70
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#10
L
71-93
71
93
-22
55avg 70
A18/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#8
W
70-63
70
63
+7
73avg 70
H21/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
73-96
73
96
-23
57avg 70
A25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
18-23
17-13
17-17
18-23
18-22
14-10
23-24
16-22
21-21
12-14
24-25
16-24
18-27
21-13
23-26
27-18
17-19
19-21
18-15
24-15
26-17
16-15
13-17
24-23
21-15
12-12
21-20
11-25
33-30
15-13
12-25
18-17
18-20
13-15
21-11
25-32
14-28
14-10
20-26
152.5Avg total
74.6Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.376.5151.8-1.267%
Season at home (3)76.368.7145.0+7.7100%
Season away (3)74.384.3158.7-10.033%
Last 10 (10)74.677.9152.5-3.350%
Last 5 (5)74.277.2151.4-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.680.1154.7-5.643%
vs Similar (16)76.874.5151.3+2.350%
vs Weaker (7)84.179.7163.9+4.486%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
Avellino BasketSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A17/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/10
Serie A2
Forli
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H11/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#13
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A17/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#18
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H21/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#8
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A25/10
Serie A2
79.6Avg total
40.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.081.3-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.838.382.1+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)36.843.680.4-6.827%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.979.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.482.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.245.582.8-8.20%-
vs Similar (16)38.341.980.2-3.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.737.682.3+7.170%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H13/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H15/05
Serie A2
Caserta
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#10
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A18/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H21/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A25/10
Serie A2
83.8Avg total
40.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.378.2-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.738.378.0+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.140.378.4-2.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.783.8-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.487.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.045.485.4-5.429%-
vs Similar (16)37.738.776.4-1.038%-
vs Weaker (7)40.734.475.1+6.371%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.314.1
53.6%
51.5%28.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.7
33.6%
34.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.112.8
79.5%
70.9%12.8
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.515.1
49.5%
51.5%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.1
30.7%
34.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.017.8
71.2%
70.9%17.8
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
LWWWWWLWWL
Sebastiani Rieti
LWLWWWLLLW
#2
League position
#7
+0.8
Net rating
-2.4
98.5
Offensive rating
93.3
97.6
Defensive rating
95.6
51.9%
Effective FG%
47.8%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
12.4%
Turnover %
12.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.42
33.6%
3-point %
30.7%
66.8%
Assist %
47.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 93.3Defence97.6 · 95.6Shooting51.9% · 47.8%3-point %33.6% · 30.7%Ball care12.4% · 12.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Avellino Basket wins
1
Sebastiani Rieti wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26ABrindisi70-83
21/10/26HMontecatini85-74
17/10/26ACividale77-62
11/10/26HForli94-81
04/10/26ARimini73-72
27/09/26HVigevano87-69
17/05/26AFortitudo Bologna61-93
14/05/26HFortitudo Bologna76-67
12/05/26HFortitudo Bologna75-71
09/05/26AFortitudo Bologna64-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26ARimini73-96
21/10/26HBrindisi70-63
18/10/26AForli71-93
11/10/26HPistoia78-70
04/10/26AVigevano79-64
27/09/26HCaserta81-73
15/05/26HCividale78-90
13/05/26HCividale73-82
10/05/26ACividale73-79
08/05/26ACividale70-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game81.088.773.3
Allowed / game73.574.772.3
Point differential+7.5+14.0+1.0
Avg total154.5163.3145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game75.376.374.3
Allowed / game76.568.784.3
Point differential-1.2+7.7-10.0
Avg total151.8145.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno660100%81.767.0+14.7
2 Avellino Basket65183%81.073.5+7.5
3 Pesaro65183%83.276.5+6.7
4 Basket Torino54180%75.073.4+1.6
5 Rimini75271%82.671.0+11.6
6 Fortitudo Bologna64267%81.377.3+4.0
7 Sebastiani Rieti64267%75.376.5-1.2
8 Brindisi74357%76.673.3+3.3
9 Pistoia63350%78.269.8+8.3
10 Forli63350%83.379.5+3.8
11 Sassari63350%72.876.0-3.2
12 Mestre73443%73.076.3-3.3
13 Cividale73443%70.774.4-3.7
14 Caserta52340%80.881.2-0.4
15 Ruvo Di Puglia62433%79.284.3-5.2
16 Vigevano62433%77.285.3-8.2
17 Cento72529%73.683.6-10.0
18 Montecatini61517%72.084.2-12.2
19 Urania Milano71614%75.781.7-6.0
20 JuVi Cremona6060%74.881.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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