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Sebastiani Rieti vs Avellino Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 92-93 (OT)
16-20 19-19 15-9 17-19 25-26
Position#4
Record19-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#11
Record17-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game79.0
ItalySerie A2Round 33· PalaSojourner
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sebastiani Rieti v Avellino Basket
23 Dec 2026
SEBA v AVEL
upcoming
24 Sep 2025
SEBA60
AVEL72
22 Mar 2025
SEBA92
AVEL93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
68avg 67
A19/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
90-71
90
71
+19
88avg 67
H25/01
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
84-81
84
81
+3
74avg 67
A29/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
88avg 67
H02/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 67
A09/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
87-74
87
74
+13
89avg 67
H15/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
47-69
47
69
-22
32avg 67
A19/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
70-75
70
75
-5
54avg 67
H26/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
75-81
75
81
-6
68avg 67
A02/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
79avg 67
A09/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
15-17
23-9
17-20
17-10
30-22
24-14
19-25
25-11
24-23
22-18
13-29
23-18
23-11
24-14
14-26
27-14
27-27
23-22
14-17
23-14
23-27
25-15
16-18
17-12
8-16
11-19
11-22
20-16
18-24
15-12
17-23
15-25
12-17
24-14
24-25
22-22
27-19
21-24
15-13
153.8Avg total
79.0Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.373.5148.8+1.961%
Season at home (15)76.270.0146.2+6.273%
Season away (16)74.576.7151.2-2.250%
Last 10 (10)79.074.8153.8+4.270%
Last 5 (5)72.875.4148.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.076.0150.0-2.025%
vs Similar ◀ (21)74.473.0147.4+1.462%
vs Weaker (5)79.473.6153.0+5.880%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
W
77-73
77
73
+4
77avg 73
H19/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
69-79
69
79
-10
58avg 73
A26/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
77avg 73
H29/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
91-100
91
100
-9
82avg 73
A02/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
89-78
89
78
+11
85avg 73
H09/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
85-76
85
76
+9
83avg 73
A15/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 73
H26/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 73
A02/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
70avg 73
H09/03
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
78-79
78
79
-1
76avg 73
H15/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
14-19
24-16
20-22
19-17
22-22
10-10
18-30
24-17
21-16
18-23
19-24
18-18
23-28
19-24
31-30
16-24
28-18
31-22
14-14
28-18
19-22
13-17
25-19
18-24
25-15
22-25
16-21
15-29
19-26
10-20
22-8
16-22
20-9
23-15
20-27
25-15
17-27
16-24
20-13
160.3Avg total
79.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.779.0157.7-0.355%
Season at home (16)78.375.5153.8+2.862%
Season away (15)79.182.7161.8-3.747%
Last 10 (10)79.780.6160.3-0.950%
Last 5 (5)77.879.2157.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.086.3161.3-11.30%
vs Similar ◀ (21)77.978.1156.0-0.257%
vs Weaker (6)83.579.5163.0+4.067%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
Sebastiani RietiAvellino Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A19/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H25/01
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A29/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H02/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A09/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H15/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A19/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H26/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A02/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A09/03
Serie A2
78.7Avg total
41.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.373.5+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.635.473.1+2.257%-
Last 30 away (16)36.937.073.9-0.138%-
Last 10 (10)41.836.978.7+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.475.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.037.073.0-1.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)36.536.172.7+0.443%-
vs Weaker (5)41.236.277.4+5.080%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H19/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A26/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A02/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H09/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A15/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H26/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A02/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H09/03
Serie A2
Cento
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H15/03
Serie A2
80.8Avg total
40.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.078.5-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.237.175.3+1.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.943.482.2-4.529%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.280.8+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.481.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.341.075.3-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)37.539.376.8-1.943%-
vs Weaker (6)44.341.886.2+2.583%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.916.1
53.8%
50.1%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.4
38.4%
34.6%34.2
🏀 Free throws15.911.8
74.2%
74.4%11.8
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.120.3
48.2%
50.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.88.1
38.9%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.314.4
78.7%
74.4%14.4
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
WLLLWWWWWW
Avellino Basket
LWLLWWLWLW
#4
League position
#11
+6.0
Net rating
+0.6
111.2
Offensive rating
113.2
105.3
Defensive rating
112.7
55.7%
Effective FG%
51.6%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
18.6%
Turnover %
13.2%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.4%
3-point %
38.9%
51.3%
Assist %
56.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 113.2Defence105.3 · 112.7Shooting55.7% · 51.6%3-point %38.4% · 38.9%Ball care18.6% · 13.2%Off. rebounds29.9% · 27.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Avellino Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sebastiani Rieti wins
0
Avellino Basket wins
DateGameScore
02/10/24Avellino Basket v Sebastiani Rieti61-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25APesaro85-78
02/03/25AFortitudo Bologna75-81
26/02/25HUdine70-75
19/02/25AVerona47-69
15/02/25HNardo87-74
09/02/25ALibertas Livorno91-80
02/02/25HBasket Torino84-69
29/01/25ACento84-81
25/01/25HCividale90-71
19/01/25ACantu77-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HCento78-79
09/03/25HFortitudo Bologna79-73
02/03/25ALibertas Livorno66-83
26/02/25HCividale81-85
15/02/25AUrania Milano85-76
09/02/25HOrzinuovi89-78
02/02/25AUdine91-100
29/01/25HPesaro82-80
26/01/25AVigevano69-79
19/01/25HBrindisi77-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW61%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %61%73%50%
Points / game75.376.274.5
Allowed / game73.570.076.7
Point differential+1.9+6.2-2.2
Avg total148.8146.2151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%47%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL55%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %55%62%47%
Points / game78.778.379.1
Allowed / game79.075.582.7
Point differential-0.3+2.8-3.7
Avg total157.7153.8161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)57% (7)71% (7)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3123874%83.475.3+8.1
2 Rimini31211068%81.478.3+3.1
3 Cantu31201165%77.772.9+4.9
4 Sebastiani Rieti31191261%75.373.5+1.9
5 Fortitudo Bologna32191359%75.773.1+2.6
6 Forli32191359%77.575.8+1.8
7 Urania Milano32191359%76.575.0+1.6
8 Cividale33191458%79.878.6+1.2
9 Verona32181456%76.473.4+3.0
10 Avellino Basket31171455%78.779.0-0.3
11 Pesaro33181555%81.880.2+1.6
12 Brindisi32171553%76.675.7+0.9
13 Basket Torino33171652%75.875.2+0.7
14 Orzinuovi32131941%77.680.6-3.0
15 Cento32122038%72.877.9-5.1
16 JuVi Cremona31112035%80.582.5-1.9
17 Libertas Livorno32112134%74.776.7-2.0
18 Vigevano33112233%75.880.8-5.0
19 Nardo3192229%74.680.9-6.3
20 Assigeco Piacenza3362718%76.083.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Sebastiani Rieti161915172592
Avellino Basket20199192693
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