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Avellino Basket vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 86-71
25-16 20-19 14-16 27-20
Position#6
Record17-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#10
Record18-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game77.0
ItalySerie A2Round 27· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2025-26
Meetings · Avellino Basket v Sebastiani Rieti
30 Jan 2027
AVEL v SEBA
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
AVEL86
SEBA71
02 Oct 2024
AVEL61
SEBA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
58avg 76
H28/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 76
A04/01
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
92avg 76
H11/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
67-80
67
80
-13
no box
A18/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
93-73
93
73
+20
88avg 76
H21/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
67-83
67
83
-16
56avg 76
A25/01
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
72-71
72
71
+1
72avg 76
H01/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
101-96
101
96
+5
98avg 76
A08/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
87-74
87
74
+13
84avg 76
H22/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
101-100
101
100
+1
100avg 76
A06/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
21-14
20-25
21-23
21-28
15-17
22-24
19-13
23-19
25-19
28-24
9-23
17-25
10-26
20-14
20-15
22-11
25-27
24-20
22-15
16-26
14-19
17-18
20-20
23-25
21-19
16-10
12-17
24-27
34-18
16-22
27-29
24-12
23-24
14-14
26-24
12-21
28-31
23-22
38-26
166.9Avg total
83.6Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.979.2161.2+2.761%
Season at home (14)82.675.9158.6+6.771%
Season away (14)81.282.6163.8-1.450%
Last 10 (10)83.683.3166.9+0.360%
Last 5 (5)85.684.8170.4+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.082.2162.2-2.240%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.578.4159.9+3.165%
vs Weaker (8)84.680.9165.5+3.862%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 72
A04/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
82-54
82
54
+28
79avg 72
H09/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
no box
A17/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
83-65
83
65
+18
81avg 72
H21/01
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
76avg 72
A25/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
50-65
50
65
-15
42avg 72
A01/02
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
75avg 72
H08/02
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
82-78
82
78
+4
77avg 72
H15/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
60avg 72
A22/02
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-84
89
84
+5
87avg 72
H08/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
17-13
28-29
17-21
22-16
17-11
24-15
19-12
22-18
13-14
15-22
22-18
13-22
18-16
26-12
26-15
20-15
14-20
22-24
18-15
8-15
18-15
20-17
4-18
24-22
20-15
14-18
16-19
25-27
23-14
11-21
23-16
19-22
17-14
9-28
20-15
15-19
17-17
34-13
23-35
154.8Avg total
78.7Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.177.0156.1+2.162%
Season at home (15)79.773.5153.3+6.273%
Season away (14)78.480.7159.1-2.450%
Last 10 (10)78.776.1154.8+2.670%
Last 5 (5)73.677.2150.8-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.678.6156.2-1.040%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.374.3147.6-0.953%
vs Weaker (10)88.281.0169.2+7.280%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
Avellino BasketSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H28/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A04/01
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H11/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A18/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H21/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A25/01
Serie A2
Verona
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H01/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A08/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H22/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A06/03
Serie A2
83.4Avg total
40.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.881.7+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.537.979.3+3.653%-
Last 30 away (15)40.343.884.1-3.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.683.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.488.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.243.282.4-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.340.382.6+2.065%-
vs Weaker (8)39.040.579.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A04/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H09/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A17/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H21/01
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A25/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A01/02
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H08/02
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H15/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A22/02
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/03
Serie A2
71.3Avg total
36.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.076.1+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.037.075.0+1.062%-
Last 30 away (14)38.139.177.3-1.029%-
Last 10 (10)36.235.171.3+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.073.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.038.077.0+1.060%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.337.775.0-0.340%-
vs Weaker (10)38.738.577.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.5
54.4%
50.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.0
35.3%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.516.7
81.5%
74.4%16.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.7
49.7%
50.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.6
33.9%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.013.5
71.1%
74.4%13.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
WWWWLWLWLL
Sebastiani Rieti
WLWWLWWWWL
#6
League position
#10
+2.6
Net rating
+3.5
105.7
Offensive rating
94.7
103.0
Defensive rating
91.3
53.8%
Effective FG%
50.2%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.2%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.3%
3-point %
33.9%
59.3%
Assist %
65.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 94.7Defence103.0 · 91.3Shooting53.8% · 50.2%3-point %35.3% · 33.9%Ball care13.9% · 14.2%Off. rebounds31.7% · 27.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Avellino Basket wins
1
Sebastiani Rieti wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26AUrania Milano101-100
22/02/26HCividale87-74
08/02/26ARimini101-96
01/02/26HVerona72-71
25/01/26ABrindisi67-83
21/01/26HPesaro93-73
18/01/26ABasket Torino67-80
11/01/26HPistoia99-94 OT
04/01/26ALibertas Livorno77-82
28/12/25HScafati72-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HRoseto89-84
22/02/26AFortitudo Bologna65-79
15/02/26HVerona82-78
08/02/26HMestre82-80 OT
01/02/26ABlu Basket Bergamo50-65
25/01/26APistoia86-85 OT
21/01/26HRimini83-65
17/01/26AForli86-82 OT
09/01/26HCividale82-54
04/01/26ACento82-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%71%50%
Points / game81.982.681.2
Allowed / game79.275.982.6
Point differential+2.7+6.7-1.4
Avg total161.2158.6163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%73%50%
Points / game79.179.778.4
Allowed / game77.073.580.7
Point differential+2.1+6.2-2.4
Avg total156.1153.3159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %10%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro3022873%81.877.7+4.1
2 Brindisi29191066%78.372.7+5.7
3 Libertas Livorno30191163%79.972.8+7.1
4 Scafati30191163%82.677.9+4.7
5 Fortitudo Bologna30191163%77.073.1+3.9
6 Rimini29181162%81.777.7+4.0
7 Sebastiani Rieti29181162%79.177.0+2.1
8 Avellino Basket28171161%81.979.2+2.7
9 Verona30181260%77.573.7+3.8
10 Cividale30181260%77.676.2+1.5
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona30141647%74.577.0-2.5
13 Basket Torino30131743%72.874.2-1.3
14 Mestre30131743%77.980.4-2.5
15 Urania Milano30131743%79.181.8-2.7
16 Forli29101934%76.680.8-4.2
17 Cento30102033%77.380.8-3.6
18 Ruvo Di Puglia2992031%76.886.2-9.5
19 Pistoia3072323%77.383.3-6.1
20 Roseto3052517%78.385.1-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino Basket2520142786
Sebastiani Rieti1619162071
← all games of the day
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