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BA CoE vs Newcastle Falcons Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 86-80
29-21 13-14 27-20 17-25
Position#3
Record12-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game70.2
BA CoE 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#9
Record6-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game78.2
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · BA CoE v Newcastle Falcons
14 Jun 2025
BA C86
NEWC80
16 Jun 2024
BA C104
NEWC84
29 Jul 2023
BA C103
NEWC71
04 Jun 2023
BA C112
NEWC83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BA CoE winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Newcastle Falcons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BA CoEAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
107-66
107
66
+41
A03/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H04/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A10/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A11/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
85-62
85
62
+23
A17/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
94-82
94
82
+12
H18/05
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A24/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H25/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H01/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H05/06
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
22-10
33-16
23-16
20-19
17-13
22-23
20-21
21-15
19-8
11-16
17-19
18-17
20-19
27-13
18-24
23-13
24-21
21-16
17-12
28-17
24-24
19-26
23-15
22-22
17-19
19-21
17-22
23-15
17-17
23-13
16-22
18-19
19-19
23-17
20-18
23-21
20-23
24-25
18-6
155.1Avg total
83.5Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.070.2156.2+15.886%
Season at home (7)85.369.1154.4+16.1100%
Season away (7)86.771.3158.0+15.471%
Last 10 (10)83.571.6155.1+11.990%
Last 5 (5)82.676.2158.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.492.6178.0-7.240%
vs Similar (6)88.082.7170.7+5.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.772.4163.2+18.389%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H06/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H12/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
77-88 OT
77
88
-11
A26/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H03/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
74-103
74
103
-29
A10/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H11/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A17/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H24/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
93-69
93
69
+24
A25/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H31/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
21-22
23-13
10-15
26-18
26-22
21-18
11-10
25-24
17-13
12-14
15-18
21-8
27-13
12-22
24-18
25-30
17-18
13-21
19-34
16-23
24-16
16-15
19-15
20-17
16-23
20-22
21-18
13-32
26-19
31-16
24-20
14-13
29-23
30-22
20-11
19-22
19-19
17-10
23-17
157.8Avg total
80.8Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.878.2157.1+0.650%
Season at home (7)79.171.6150.7+7.671%
Season away (5)78.487.6166.0-9.220%
Last 10 (10)80.877.0157.8+3.860%
Last 5 (5)83.474.6158.0+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.380.3152.5-8.027%
vs Similar (7)77.376.0153.3+1.357%
vs Weaker (8)84.178.6162.8+5.562%
This opponent (BA CoE) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
BA CoENewcastle Falcons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BA CoELast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A03/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H04/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A10/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A11/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A17/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H18/05
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A24/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H25/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H05/06
NBL1 East
77.9Avg total
42.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.385.0+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.639.385.9+7.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.841.384.1+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)42.435.577.9+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.281.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.449.093.4-4.620%-
vs Similar (6)42.246.388.5-4.217%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.636.181.7+9.579%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H06/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H12/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A26/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H03/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A10/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H24/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/05
NBL1 East
82.1Avg total
41.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.479.3-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.840.577.3-3.641%-
Last 30 away (13)39.342.581.8-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.282.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.480.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.942.978.8-6.933%-
vs Similar (7)38.439.177.6-0.729%-
vs Weaker (8)41.140.581.6+0.650%-
This opponent (BA CoE) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
BA CoE wins
0
Newcastle Falcons wins
BA CoElast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/06/25HCanberra85-75
01/06/25HSutherland Sharks80-73
25/05/25HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits79-67
24/05/25ASydney Comets75-84
18/05/25HBankstown Bruins94-82
17/05/25ANorths Bears85-62
11/05/25AInner West Bulls83-73
10/05/25AHills Hornets68-58
04/05/25HHornsby S.79-76
03/05/25AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits107-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/25HNorths Bears78-68
25/05/25AInner West Bulls93-69
24/05/25HBankstown Bruins94-87
17/05/25AHornsby S.77-80
11/05/25HCanberra75-69
10/05/25ASutherland Sharks74-103
03/05/25HMaitland M.84-61
26/04/25AIllawarra Hawks 277-88 OT
12/04/25HIllawarra Hawks 284-68
06/04/25HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits72-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BA CoE
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%100%71%
Points / game86.085.386.7
Allowed / game70.269.171.3
Point differential+15.8+16.1+15.4
Avg total156.2154.4158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%71%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%71%20%
Points / game78.879.178.4
Allowed / game78.271.687.6
Point differential+0.6+7.6-9.2
Avg total157.1150.7166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE1412286%86.070.2+15.8
2 Sydney Comets129375%78.371.4+6.9
3 Illawarra Hawks 2118373%85.780.7+5.0
4 Canberra139469%91.581.2+10.3
5 Sutherland Sharks127558%85.979.9+6.0
6 Maitland M.126650%89.482.8+6.7
7 Newcastle Falcons126650%78.878.2+0.6
8 Manly W.136746%81.884.2-2.4
9 Bankstown Bruins136746%82.085.2-3.2
10 Central Coast Crusaders125742%84.084.7-0.7
11 Hills Hornets125742%76.780.4-3.8
12 Norths Bears125742%73.378.2-4.9
13 Hornsby S.114736%81.188.5-7.4
14 Inner West Bulls124833%83.087.2-4.2
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits123925%77.992.3-14.4
16 Penrith P.1331023%75.888.3-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BA CoE2913271786
Newcastle Falcons2114202580
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