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Baerum W vs Ullern W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 44-57
11-17 16-6 6-12 11-22
Position#4
Record6-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game61.1
Allowed / game65.6
Baerum W
Norway
vs
Ullern W 🏆
Norway
Position#2
Record12-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game54.9
NorwayKvinneligaen W· Nadderudhallen (Bekkestua)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Baerum W v Ullern W
28 Jan 2024
BAER44
ULLE57
06 Oct 2023
BAER30
ULLE60
20 Dec 2022
BAER60
ULLE47
16 Oct 2022
BAER60
ULLE59
13 Mar 2022
BAER67
ULLE60
05 Dec 2021
BAER69
ULLE52
06 Dec 2020
BAER76
ULLE62
10 Nov 2019
BAER66
ULLE42
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baerum W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ullern W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Baerum WNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ammerud W
#5
L
47-78
47
78
-31
33avg 51
A22/10
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
81-54
81
54
+27
74avg 51
A28/10
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
53-78
53
78
-25
45avg 51
A29/10
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
78-70
78
70
+8
79avg 51
H05/11
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
67-55
67
55
+12
56avg 51
H12/11
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
51-71
51
71
-20
39avg 51
A03/12
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
86-44
86
44
+42
85avg 51
H10/12
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
60-82
60
82
-22
45avg 51
A16/12
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
59-57
59
57
+2
48avg 51
A06/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
62-47
62
47
+15
51avg 51
A14/01
Kvinneligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
8-12
15-25
13-24
17-10
22-10
21-18
21-16
10-27
15-20
13-24
15-7
17-16
24-18
22-16
15-20
27-10
18-13
13-17
9-15
18-18
12-17
9-15
12-21
29-12
19-15
23-4
15-13
14-13
17-22
16-17
13-30
13-13
12-16
24-13
10-15
13-14
13-9
21-10
15-14
128.0Avg total
64.4Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)61.165.6126.7-4.550%
Season at home (5)64.064.0128.0+0.060%
Season away (7)59.066.7125.7-7.743%
Last 10 (10)64.463.6128.0+0.860%
Last 5 (5)63.660.2123.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)55.569.3124.8-13.830%
vs Similar (4)66.069.8135.8-3.850%
vs Weaker (16)67.848.4116.2+19.388%
This opponent (Ullern W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ullern WNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bergen W
#6
W
91-41
91
41
+50
92avg 63
A18/11
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
45-77
45
77
-32
35avg 63
A19/11
Kvinneligaen W
Baerum W
#4
W
71-51
71
51
+20
70avg 63
H03/12
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
78-63
78
63
+15
63avg 63
A06/12
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
81-52
81
52
+29
77avg 63
H09/12
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
83-52
83
52
+31
77avg 63
H16/12
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
69-66
69
66
+3
58avg 63
H13/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
59-86
59
86
-27
47avg 63
A20/01
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
71-30
71
30
+41
60avg 63
A21/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
89-36
89
36
+53
88avg 63
H24/01
Kvinneligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
22-7
20-14
27-7
15-28
11-26
9-13
10-10
18-18
17-12
15-9
21-12
20-15
22-19
16-18
20-11
32-12
18-8
18-13
13-19
13-17
27-14
24-10
19-11
16-18
15-17
18-19
20-12
14-27
18-26
16-11
11-22
10-11
30-3
18-5
13-11
28-9
15-2
23-17
23-8
129.1Avg total
73.7Scored
55.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.454.9128.2+18.586%
Season at home (7)79.657.3136.9+22.3100%
Season away (7)67.152.4119.6+14.771%
Last 10 (10)73.755.4129.1+18.380%
Last 5 (5)74.254.0128.2+20.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)59.477.2136.6-17.817%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (18)74.249.3123.5+24.9100%
This opponent (Baerum W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +5.4+5.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +5.4+5.4
Baerum WUllern W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Baerum WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ammerud W
#5
L
19-29
19
29
-10
A22/10
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A28/10
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A29/10
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H05/11
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H12/11
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A03/12
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H10/12
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A16/12
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A06/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A14/01
Kvinneligaen W
63.1Avg total
32.9Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.428.459.8+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.928.664.4+7.371%-
Last 30 away (16)27.428.355.8-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)32.930.263.1+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.029.861.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)27.133.660.7-6.520%-
vs Similar (4)32.834.267.0-1.550%-
vs Weaker (16)33.723.857.4+9.981%-
This opponent (Ullern W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ullern WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bergen W
#6
W
44-20
44
20
+24
A18/11
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A19/11
Kvinneligaen W
Baerum W
#4
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H03/12
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/12
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H09/12
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H16/12
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H13/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A20/01
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
40-14
40
14
+26
A21/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
43-11
43
11
+32
H24/01
Kvinneligaen W
68.5Avg total
38.3Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.429.263.6+5.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.727.163.8+9.669%-
Last 30 away (14)31.931.663.4+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.330.268.5+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)37.228.866.0+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.139.668.7-10.58%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.022.360.3+15.794%-
This opponent (Baerum W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baerum Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baerum W: 63.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
52%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.117.1
41.6%
41.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.9
29.1%
28.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws14.78.7
59.2%
68.5%8.7
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ullern Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ullern W: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
52%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.2
48.4%
41.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.4
30.4%
28.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws11.67.9
68.1%
68.5%7.9
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baerum W
WWLWLWWLWL
Ullern W
WWLWWWWWLW
#4
League position
#2
+0.5
Net rating
+23.1
77.3
Offensive rating
93.2
76.8
Defensive rating
70.0
42.4%
Effective FG%
47.2%
39.5%
Opp. effective FG%
39.5%
29.1%
Turnover %
22.1%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.17
29.1%
3-point %
30.4%
64.2%
Assist %
69.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence77.3 · 93.2Defence76.8 · 70.0Shooting42.4% · 47.2%3-point %29.1% · 30.4%Ball care29.1% · 22.1%Off. rebounds30.5% · 31.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Baerum W   ■ Ullern W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Baerum W wins
2
Ullern W wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Ullern W v Baerum W71-51
06/10/23Baerum W v Ullern W30-60
01/03/23Ullern W v Baerum W51-63
20/12/22Baerum W v Ullern W60-47
03/12/22Ullern W v Baerum W54-66
16/10/22Baerum W v Ullern W60-59
13/03/22Baerum W v Ullern W67-60
23/01/22Ullern W v Baerum W45-69
05/12/21Baerum W v Ullern W69-52
06/12/20Baerum W v Ullern W76-62
Baerum Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24AAmmerud W62-47
06/01/24AAsker W59-57
16/12/23AAsker W60-82
10/12/23HBergen W86-44
03/12/23AUllern W51-71
12/11/23HAmmerud W67-55
05/11/23HAsker W78-70
29/10/23AUlriken W53-78
28/10/23ABergen W81-54
22/10/23AAmmerud W47-78
Ullern Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HAmmerud W89-36
21/01/24ABergen W71-30
20/01/24AUlriken W59-86
13/01/24HAsker W69-66
16/12/23HAmmerud W83-52
09/12/23HBergen W81-52
06/12/23AAsker W78-63
03/12/23HBaerum W71-51
19/11/23AUlriken W45-77
18/11/23ABergen W91-41

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baerum W
Kvinneligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%60%43%
Points / game61.164.059.0
Allowed / game65.664.066.7
Point differential-4.5+0.0-7.7
Avg total126.7128.0125.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ullern W
Kvinneligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%100%71%
Points / game73.479.667.1
Allowed / game54.957.352.4
Point differential+18.5+22.3+14.7
Avg total128.2136.9119.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%71%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulriken W1211192%93.453.8+39.7
2 Ullern W1412286%73.454.9+18.5
3 Baerum W126650%61.165.6-4.5
4 Asker W136746%67.664.8+2.8
5 Ammerud W1431121%56.674.1-17.4
6 Bergen W131128%46.282.6-36.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baerum W111661144
Ullern W176122257
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