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Baerum W vs Ammerud W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 67-55
27-10 18-13 13-17 9-15
Position#4
Record2-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game58.0
Allowed / game71.8
Baerum W 🏆
Norway
vs
Ammerud W
Norway
Position#5
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game56.8
NorwayKvinneligaen W· Nadderudhallen (Bekkestua)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Baerum W v Ammerud W
15 Mar 2024
BAER84
AMME67
27 Feb 2024
BAER69
AMME37
12 Nov 2023
BAER67
AMME55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baerum W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ammerud W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Baerum WNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Asker W
#3
L
60-74
60
74
-14
no box
H26/03
Kvinneligaen W
Tromso W
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
no box
H14/04
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
84-68
84
68
+16
no box
H15/04
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
46-66
46
66
-20
no box
A16/04
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
30-60
30
60
-30
18avg 49
H06/10
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
59-91
59
91
-32
47avg 49
H15/10
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
L
47-78
47
78
-31
33avg 49
A22/10
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
81-54
81
54
+27
74avg 49
A28/10
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
53-78
53
78
-25
45avg 49
A29/10
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
78-70
78
70
+8
79avg 49
H05/11
Kvinneligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
8-21
23-18
9-19
11-12
15-7
15-14
13-10
25-7
20-23
20-16
19-22
13-15
12-19
10-18
11-14
8-24
5-7
6-15
11-14
12-17
17-20
11-24
19-30
11-17
8-12
15-25
13-24
17-10
22-10
21-18
21-16
10-27
15-20
13-24
15-7
17-16
24-18
22-16
15-20
127.4Avg total
59.2Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)58.071.8129.8-13.833%
Season at home (3)55.773.7129.3-18.033%
Season away (3)60.370.0130.3-9.733%
Last 10 (10)59.268.2127.4-9.040%
Last 5 (5)63.674.2137.8-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)55.169.4124.5-14.225%
vs Similar (5)68.470.6139.0-2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)67.247.7114.9+19.588%
This opponent (Ammerud W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ammerud WNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Asker W
#5
W
51-44
51
44
+7
no box
A04/03
Kvinneligaen W
Hoybraten W
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
no box
H06/03
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#5
W
80-51
80
51
+29
no box
H13/03
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#5
W
56-42
56
42
+14
no box
H20/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#1
L
46-85
46
85
-39
no box
A21/03
Kvinneligaen W
Gimle W
#2
L
51-71
51
71
-20
no box
H22/03
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
70-48
70
48
+22
67avg 54
H08/10
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
46avg 54
A14/10
Kvinneligaen W
Baerum W
#4
W
78-47
78
47
+31
73avg 54
H22/10
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
40-66
40
66
-26
30avg 54
H05/11
Kvinneligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-11
12-8
15-14
12-11
15-10
10-12
16-9
12-10
19-7
20-11
18-15
23-18
–
–
–
–
14-28
6-20
9-29
17-8
14-24
16-17
10-15
11-15
22-10
18-16
18-9
12-13
23-10
11-20
12-21
10-15
17-11
12-8
25-15
24-13
5-17
8-20
12-17
15-12
114.2Avg total
58.1Scored
56.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)61.056.8117.8+4.250%
Season at home (3)62.753.7116.3+9.067%
Season away (1)56.066.0122.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)58.156.1114.2+2.060%
Last 5 (5)59.059.6118.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)55.270.2125.4-15.112%
vs Similar (1)78.038.0116.0+40.0100%
vs Weaker (11)60.445.7106.1+14.691%
This opponent (Baerum W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
Baerum WAmmerud W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Baerum WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Asker W
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H26/03
Kvinneligaen W
Tromso W
#7
W
26-19
26
19
+7
H14/04
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H15/04
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A16/04
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
13-31
13
31
-18
H06/10
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H15/10
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
L
19-29
19
29
-10
A22/10
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A28/10
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A29/10
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H05/11
Kvinneligaen W
60.8Avg total
29.0Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.828.760.5+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.929.963.8+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)30.027.757.7+2.356%-
Last 10 (10)29.031.860.8-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)30.633.464.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.134.161.2-7.025%-
vs Similar (5)35.234.469.6+0.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)33.124.557.5+8.676%-
This opponent (Ammerud W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ammerud WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Asker W
#5
W
24-19
24
19
+5
A04/03
Kvinneligaen W
Hoybraten W
#8
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H06/03
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#5
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H13/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#1
L
20-48
20
48
-28
A21/03
Kvinneligaen W
Gimle W
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H22/03
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H08/10
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A14/10
Kvinneligaen W
Baerum W
#4
W
29-19
29
19
+10
H22/10
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
13-37
13
37
-24
H05/11
Kvinneligaen W
57.1Avg total
28.2Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)29.430.660.0-1.144%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.126.957.9+4.257%-
Last 30 away (13)27.634.562.2-6.931%-
Last 10 (9)28.228.957.1-0.767%-
Last 5 (5)29.230.659.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)26.736.563.2-9.818%-
vs Similar (1)44.016.060.0+28.0100%-
vs Weaker (9)32.921.053.9+11.989%-
This opponent (Baerum W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baerum Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baerum W: 57.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.7 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
52%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.515.8
40.1%
41.9%31.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.85.8
25.5%
28.3%17.5
🏀 Free throws13.38.2
61.3%
68.5%8.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ammerud Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ammerud W: 60.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.5 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
52%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.516.2
41.1%
41.9%32.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.06.5
24.1%
28.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws13.28.5
64.2%
68.5%8.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/4 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baerum W
WLWLLLLWWL
Ammerud W
LWLWLLWWWW
#4
League position
#5
-16.2
Net rating
+6.1
68.8
Offensive rating
77.1
85.0
Defensive rating
71.1
39.4%
Effective FG%
39.1%
40.3%
Opp. effective FG%
35.3%
33.2%
Turnover %
23.2%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.20
25.5%
3-point %
24.1%
60.8%
Assist %
69.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence68.8 · 77.1Defence85.0 · 71.1Shooting39.4% · 39.1%3-point %25.5% · 24.1%Ball care33.2% · 23.2%Off. rebounds30.8% · 29.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Baerum W   ■ Ammerud W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Baerum W wins
1
Ammerud W wins
DateGameScore
22/10/23Ammerud W v Baerum W78-47
Baerum Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HAsker W78-70
29/10/23AUlriken W53-78
28/10/23ABergen W81-54
22/10/23AAmmerud W47-78
15/10/23HUlriken W59-91
06/10/23HUllern W30-60
16/04/23AUlriken W46-66
15/04/23HAsker W84-68
14/04/23HTromso W54-43
26/03/23HAsker W60-74
Ammerud Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HUllern W40-66
22/10/23HBaerum W78-47
14/10/23AAsker W56-66
08/10/23HBergen W70-48
22/03/15HGimle W51-71
21/03/15AUllern W46-85
20/03/15HAsker W56-42
13/03/15HAsker W80-51
06/03/15HHoybraten W53-41
04/03/15AAsker W51-44

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baerum W
Kvinneligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game58.055.760.3
Allowed / game71.873.770.0
Point differential-13.8-18.0-9.7
Avg total129.8129.3130.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ammerud W
Kvinneligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game61.062.756.0
Allowed / game56.853.766.0
Point differential+4.2+9.0-10.0
Avg total117.8116.3122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ullern W440100%72.553.5+19.0
2 Ulriken W54180%84.857.2+27.6
3 Ammerud W42250%61.056.8+4.2
4 Asker W63350%63.862.8+1.0
5 Baerum W62433%58.071.8-13.8
6 Bergen W5050%46.677.4-30.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baerum W271813967
Ammerud W1013171555
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