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Bahcesehir Kol. vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 78-76
19-14 21-20 17-14 21-28
Position#3
Record19-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#9
Record10-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game86.4
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 28· Sinan Erdem Dome
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Bahcesehir Kol. v Tofas
12 Dec 2026
BKO v TOF
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
BKO78
TOF76
31 May 2025
BKO75
TOF65
06 Jan 2025
BKO85
TOF78
28 Apr 2024
BKO85
TOF90
14 Jan 2023
BKO89
TOF84
23 Oct 2021
BKO73
TOF84
27 Sep 2020
BKO84
TOF73
26 Oct 2019
BKO85
TOF92
29 Dec 2018
BKO79
TOF77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bahcesehir Kol. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bahcesehir Kol.TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#12
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H17/03
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A31/03
Eurocup
Besiktas
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H03/04
Eurocup
Manisa
#11
W
112-105
112
105
+7
H06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
30-12
27-19
23-13
15-21
23-17
22-8
19-19
18-18
21-20
22-18
14-16
11-15
26-16
25-18
23-27
21-22
18-22
23-14
19-13
25-14
14-23
15-30
18-24
22-22
14-15
20-26
16-19
30-25
26-31
32-25
24-24
12-22
28-25
20-21
20-19
14-20
21-26
20-20
19-22
162.8Avg total
83.0Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.877.8160.6+5.070%
Season at home (13)86.876.8163.5+10.077%
Season away (14)79.178.8157.9+0.464%
Last 10 (10)83.079.8162.8+3.260%
Last 5 (5)82.090.6172.6-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.278.5154.8-2.250%
vs Similar (10)79.078.9157.9+0.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.278.1164.4+8.162%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A14/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#1
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A11/03
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
W
115-113 OT
115
113
+2
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H18/03
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
71-91
71
91
-20
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
96-100
96
100
-4
A12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
H17/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-7
22-21
21-33
29-20
19-24
23-20
21-28
18-19
18-19
33-30
17-23
20-24
26-26
29-24
21-28
27-25
26-19
21-30
14-30
29-19
24-21
23-27
18-17
23-28
21-21
22-30
27-16
12-25
20-28
10-25
22-13
19-25
30-23
17-26
23-20
26-31
25-29
14-22
30-20
15-27
183.9Avg total
88.6Scored
95.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.586.4170.9-1.937%
Season at home (13)83.382.0165.3+1.354%
Season away (14)85.690.4176.1-4.821%
Last 10 (10)88.695.3183.9-6.720%
Last 5 (5)84.294.8179.0-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)83.187.4170.4-4.329%
vs Similar (10)84.488.3172.7-3.920%
vs Weaker (6)95.392.3187.7+3.067%
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
Bahcesehir Kol.Tofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#12
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H17/03
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A27/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A31/03
Eurocup
Besiktas
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H03/04
Eurocup
Manisa
#11
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A11/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.2Avg total
40.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.580.9-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.840.482.2+1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)39.040.579.5-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.381.2+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.685.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.239.576.8-2.225%-
vs Similar (10)37.740.678.3-2.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.940.683.5+2.238%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A14/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#1
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A11/03
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H18/03
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#10
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H17/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
91.4Avg total
44.2Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.044.186.1-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.544.585.1-4.027%-
Last 30 away (15)43.543.787.2-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)44.247.291.4-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)41.250.491.6-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.642.684.2-1.150%-
vs Similar (10)39.746.586.2-6.80%-
vs Weaker (6)47.043.590.5+3.583%-
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bahcesehir Kol.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bahcesehir Kol.: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.019.1
57.9%
54.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.7
33.1%
35.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws13.99.7
69.8%
76.0%9.7
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.222.3
59.9%
54.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.0
33.8%
35.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws25.819.7
76.4%
76.0%19.7
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bahcesehir Kol.
LLWLLWWWWW
Tofas
LLLLLLWLLW
#3
League position
#9
+8.2
Net rating
-8.1
81.8
Offensive rating
102.1
73.6
Defensive rating
110.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
56.3%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
14.4%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.42
33.1%
3-point %
33.8%
62.9%
Assist %
70.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence81.8 · 102.1Defence73.6 · 110.1Shooting54.2% · 56.3%3-point %33.1% · 33.8%Ball care14.4% · 13.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Bahcesehir Kol.   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bahcesehir Kol. wins
5
Tofas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26HKarsiyaka74-88
11/04/26ABesiktas80-87
06/04/26HManisa112-105
03/04/26HBesiktas72-82
31/03/26ABesiktas72-91
27/03/26ATrabzonspor81-71
21/03/26HAnadolu Efes85-76
17/03/26HCluj-Napoca75-72
13/03/26AMerkezefendi79-65
07/03/26HBursaspor100-61
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/26HBesiktas84-98
12/04/26AManisa96-100
04/04/26HTrabzonspor71-91
29/03/26AAnadolu Efes82-92
21/03/26HMerkezefendi88-93
18/03/26HAS Karditsas90-98
15/03/26ABursaspor115-113 OT
11/03/26AAEK Athens88-96
08/03/26HEsenler Erokspor81-91
14/02/26ABuyukcekmece91-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bahcesehir Kol.
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL70%
HomeWWWWL77%
AwayLWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %70%77%64%
Points / game82.886.879.1
Allowed / game77.876.878.8
Point differential+5.0+10.0+0.4
Avg total160.6163.5157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL37%
HomeLLLLL54%
AwayLWWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %37%54%21%
Points / game84.583.385.6
Allowed / game86.482.090.4
Point differential-1.9+1.3-4.8
Avg total170.9165.3176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2824486%88.479.4+9.1
2 Besiktas2723485%87.276.8+10.4
3 Bahcesehir Kol.2719870%82.877.8+5.0
4 Turk Telekom2819968%87.681.5+6.1
5 Anadolu Efes28181064%87.581.5+6.0
6 Trabzonspor27171063%86.882.6+4.3
7 Esenler Erokspor27161159%82.278.8+3.4
8 Galatasaray27161159%86.483.8+2.6
9 Tofas27101737%84.586.4-1.9
10 Merkezefendi27101737%80.886.8-6.0
11 Mersin SK2791833%84.487.8-3.4
12 Petkim Spor2791833%80.987.6-6.7
13 Manisa2891932%81.586.3-4.8
14 Bursaspor2781930%80.989.4-8.4
15 Karsiyaka2772026%80.788.6-7.9
16 Buyukcekmece2742315%80.989.1-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bahcesehir Kol.1921172178
Tofas1420142876
← all games of the day
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