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Bursaspor vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 113-115 (OT)
26-26 24-29 28-21 25-27 10-12
Position#12
Record6-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
Position#9
Record9-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game83.1
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 22· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Bursaspor v Tofas
30 Apr 2027
BUR v TOF
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
BUR113
TOF115
08 Mar 2025
BUR98
TOF93
29 Mar 2024
BUR89
TOF95
12 May 2023
BUR77
TOF92
06 Nov 2021
BUR87
TOF75
24 Oct 2020
BUR83
TOF70
29 Sep 2019
BUR80
TOF76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#13
W
99-88
99
88
+11
97avg 72
H21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
88-91
88
91
-3
82avg 72
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
77-105
77
105
-28
71avg 72
H03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
86-84
86
84
+2
78avg 72
H10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
no box
H16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
80-95
80
95
-15
68avg 72
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
64avg 72
H02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
76-94
76
94
-18
67avg 72
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
61-88
61
88
-27
50avg 72
H14/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
61-100
61
100
-39
52avg 72
A07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
24-23
23-20
32-23
17-19
15-22
27-22
29-28
13-31
27-32
17-21
20-21
20-16
24-24
21-24
21-20
22-21
13-28
20-18
35-23
12-20
18-25
23-29
27-21
18-17
14-23
23-22
20-21
13-22
23-27
11-16
29-29
15-25
11-18
15-25
20-20
17-20
12-30
19-27
13-23
174.1Avg total
80.6Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.788.3167.0-9.629%
Season at home (11)81.886.8168.6-5.045%
Season away (10)75.389.9165.2-14.610%
Last 10 (10)80.693.5174.1-12.920%
Last 5 (5)70.692.0162.6-21.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.190.5164.6-16.412%
vs Similar (12)83.682.4166.0+1.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#11
L
90-94
90
94
-4
85avg 81
H20/01
Champions League
Galatasaray
#7
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 81
H24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
W
93-79
93
79
+14
91avg 81
A27/01
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
L
78-95
78
95
-17
75avg 81
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#1
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
85avg 81
H03/02
Champions League
Mersin SK
#13
L
83-88
83
88
-5
78avg 81
H07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#11
L
60-69
60
69
-9
47avg 81
A10/02
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
91-81
91
81
+10
89avg 81
A14/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
81-91
81
91
-10
78avg 81
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#1
L
88-96
88
96
-8
86avg 81
A11/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
23-22
25-26
22-34
16-31
14-20
27-23
21-17
19-22
30-24
26-16
18-17
23-26
27-16
15-27
13-26
20-27
24-15
14-12
19-23
20-32
24-21
20-14
19-21
18-11
15-22
14-18
13-18
19-7
22-21
21-33
29-20
19-24
23-20
21-28
18-19
18-19
33-30
17-23
20-24
170.9Avg total
83.2Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.183.1166.2+0.043%
Season at home (10)84.078.4162.4+5.670%
Season away (11)82.487.4169.7-5.018%
Last 10 (10)83.287.7170.9-4.520%
Last 5 (5)80.685.0165.6-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.885.3166.1-4.529%
vs Similar (10)81.185.3166.4-4.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)90.380.5170.8+9.883%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -7.1-7.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -7.1-7.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
BursasporTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
40-63
40
63
-23
H03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H14/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.3Avg total
34.8Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.981.4-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.242.182.4-1.931%-
Last 30 away (14)36.643.780.4-7.129%-
Last 10 (10)34.846.581.3-11.710%-
Last 5 (5)30.645.476.0-14.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.745.582.2-8.818%-
vs Similar (12)40.939.980.8+1.042%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H20/01
Champions League
Galatasaray
#7
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A27/01
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#5
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H03/02
Champions League
Mersin SK
#13
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#11
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A10/02
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A14/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AEK Athens
#1
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A11/03
Champions League
84.9Avg total
42.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.481.8-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.141.381.4-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)40.741.482.1-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.284.9+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.483.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.441.081.4-0.650%-
vs Similar (10)37.843.481.2-5.60%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.838.883.7+6.0100%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.1
54.0%
54.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.7
29.0%
35.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.617.9
79.2%
76.0%17.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.7
56.4%
54.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.1
33.5%
35.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.217.0
76.6%
76.0%17.0
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bursaspor
LLLLLLWLLW
Tofas
LLWLLLLWLL
#12
League position
#9
-16.4
Net rating
-5.8
99.7
Offensive rating
96.2
116.2
Defensive rating
102.0
50.0%
Effective FG%
53.9%
60.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.0%
3-point %
33.5%
65.7%
Assist %
68.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 96.2Defence116.2 · 102.0Shooting50.0% · 53.9%3-point %29.0% · 33.5%Ball care15.1% · 15.1%Off. rebounds30.0% · -Free throws0.37 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Bursaspor   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bursaspor wins
6
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
08/11/25Tofas v Bursaspor84-70
08/03/25Bursaspor v Tofas98-93
03/11/24Tofas v Bursaspor94-71
29/03/24Bursaspor v Tofas89-95
03/12/23Tofas v Bursaspor91-85
12/05/23Bursaspor v Tofas77-92
07/01/23Tofas v Bursaspor82-83
06/03/22Tofas v Bursaspor83-90
06/11/21Bursaspor v Tofas87-75
07/02/21Tofas v Bursaspor84-77
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26ABahcesehir Kol.61-100
14/02/26HBesiktas61-88
08/02/26AManisa76-94
02/02/26HTrabzonspor75-83
25/01/26AAnadolu Efes80-95
16/01/26HMerkezefendi103-107 OT
10/01/26HKarsiyaka86-84
03/01/26HEsenler Erokspor77-105
28/12/25ABuyukcekmece88-91
21/12/25HMersin SK99-88
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26AAEK Athens88-96
08/03/26HEsenler Erokspor81-91
14/02/26ABuyukcekmece91-81
10/02/26AAlba Berlin60-69
07/02/26HMersin SK83-88
03/02/26HAEK Athens90-93 OT
31/01/26ATurk Telekom78-95
27/01/26AAS Karditsas93-79
24/01/26HGalatasaray78-91
20/01/26HAlba Berlin90-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLWLLL45%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%45%10%
Points / game78.781.875.3
Allowed / game88.386.889.9
Point differential-9.6-5.0-14.6
Avg total167.0168.6165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %10%18%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeWWLLL70%
AwayLWLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%70%18%
Points / game83.184.082.4
Allowed / game83.178.487.4
Point differential+0.0+5.6-5.0
Avg total166.2162.4169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2220291%89.078.6+10.5
2 Besiktas2218482%85.976.1+9.8
3 Bahcesehir Kol.2216673%82.076.1+5.9
4 Trabzonspor2216673%87.682.2+5.5
5 Anadolu Efes2214864%88.081.5+6.4
6 Turk Telekom2214864%85.680.2+5.4
7 Esenler Erokspor2213959%81.478.0+3.4
8 Galatasaray22121055%85.784.0+1.8
9 Tofas2191243%83.183.1+0.0
10 Mersin SK2291341%85.086.4-1.3
11 Merkezefendi2281436%80.286.9-6.7
12 Manisa2271532%79.584.0-4.4
13 Bursaspor2161529%78.788.3-9.6
14 Petkim Spor2261627%80.188.0-7.9
15 Karsiyaka2241818%79.089.0-10.0
16 Buyukcekmece2231914%79.888.9-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bursaspor2624282510113
Tofas2629212712115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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