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Tofas vs Bahcesehir Kol. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 88-86
24-26 24-20 19-17 21-23
Position#11
Record6-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game85.8
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#12
Record6-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game89.7
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 14· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tofas v Bahcesehir Kol.
09 Apr 2027
TOF v BKO
upcoming
26 Dec 2025
TOF92
BKO82
02 Jun 2025
TOF92
BKO96
29 May 2025
TOF94
BKO80
03 May 2025
TOF75
BKO86
29 Dec 2023
TOF88
BKO86
20 May 2023
TOF92
BKO79
05 Feb 2022
TOF78
BKO96
09 Jan 2021
TOF87
BKO80
26 Feb 2020
TOF77
BKO76
27 Apr 2019
TOF87
BKO85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bahcesehir Kol. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Murcia
#2
L
89-115
89
115
-26
79avg 80
A14/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
W
79-62
79
62
+17
76avg 80
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 80
A26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
82avg 80
A29/11
Champions League
Bursaspor
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
96avg 80
H03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
82-84
82
84
-2
74avg 80
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
99-65
99
65
+34
107avg 80
H12/12
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
102-82
102
82
+20
102avg 80
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
71avg 80
H20/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
71-98
71
98
-27
57avg 80
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
23-23
22-31
23-30
19-12
27-18
19-15
14-17
19-18
13-17
23-19
27-22
25-23
19-18
17-21
20-19
23-24
24-17
29-17
15-27
12-14
26-30
21-21
23-19
18-11
28-19
27-17
26-18
18-30
33-17
30-7
21-28
17-23
28-25
11-26
19-16
19-26
14-17
17-22
21-33
170.3Avg total
85.5Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.685.8170.5-1.246%
Season at home (6)89.884.0173.8+5.867%
Season away (7)80.187.4167.6-7.329%
Last 10 (10)85.584.8170.3+0.750%
Last 5 (5)85.883.8169.6+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.789.9168.6-11.218%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.685.3172.9+2.258%
vs Weaker (7)97.484.3181.7+13.1100%
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bahcesehir Kol.TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKol.
Date
Competition
Sabah Baku
#28
W
99-80
99
80
+19
102avg 83
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
98-90
98
90
+8
88avg 83
H19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mornar Bar
#44
W
103-68
103
68
+35
112avg 83
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
80-74
80
74
+6
76avg 83
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
85-93
85
93
-8
83avg 83
H01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Legia
#6
W
100-90
100
90
+10
94avg 83
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Besiktas
#3
L
94-95
94
95
-1
93avg 83
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Sporting CP
#29
W
82-67
82
67
+15
74avg 83
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#5
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 83
A17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
98-69
98
69
+29
104avg 83
H23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
33-17
20-21
17-27
24-15
26-26
24-24
24-25
28-7
24-22
33-19
18-20
19-16
15-20
18-17
28-21
22-22
27-28
22-22
14-21
25-26
34-26
20-16
21-22
27-26
28-18
20-35
19-16
30-22
12-16
18-18
22-11
25-21
18-32
27-20
22-13
29-19
11-19
18-21
40-10
174.3Avg total
93.1Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.589.7180.2+0.846%
Season at home (6)89.785.3175.0+4.350%
Season away (7)91.193.4184.6-2.343%
Last 10 (10)93.181.2174.3+11.980%
Last 5 (5)93.281.4174.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)87.894.8182.6-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.186.4174.6+1.764%
vs Weaker (11)90.377.9168.2+12.482%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.9+3.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.9+3.9
TofasBahcesehir Kol.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A14/11
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H18/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A29/11
Champions League
Bursaspor
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H12/12
Champions League
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Murcia
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/12
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A24/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.9Avg total
42.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.583.5+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.442.186.5+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.740.980.6-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.383.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.485.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.344.483.6-5.118%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.540.285.7+5.367%-
vs Weaker (7)40.639.179.7+1.457%-
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabah Baku
#28
W
62-32
62
32
+30
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mornar Bar
#44
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A25/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H01/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Legia
#6
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Besiktas
#3
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Sporting CP
#29
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Galatasaray
#5
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
89.9Avg total
48.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.643.188.7+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.841.988.6+4.957%-
Last 30 away (16)44.544.288.8+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)48.641.389.9+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)47.845.092.8+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)45.448.894.2-3.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.143.688.7+1.450%-
vs Weaker (11)46.339.986.2+6.464%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.2
50.9%
53.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.7
37.2%
36.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.318.0
80.7%
74.7%18.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bahcesehir Kol.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bahcesehir Kol.: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.4
56.7%
53.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.012.2
42.1%
36.3%36.6
🏀 Free throws18.815.2
80.9%
74.7%15.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLWWLWLWWL
Bahcesehir Kol.
WWWLWLWWWW
#11
League position
#12
+0.7
Net rating
+17.2
112.8
Offensive rating
126.2
112.2
Defensive rating
109.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
59.5%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
18.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.2%
3-point %
42.1%
67.5%
Assist %
69.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 126.2Defence112.2 · 109.1Shooting52.7% · 59.5%3-point %37.2% · 42.1%Ball care18.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds33.4% · 34.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Tofas   ■ Bahcesehir Kol.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tofas wins
4
Bahcesehir Kol. wins
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23AKarsiyaka71-98
20/12/23HMurcia75-90
16/12/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor102-82
12/12/23HIgokea99-65
09/12/23ABuyukcekmece82-84
03/12/23HBursaspor91-85
29/11/23ATortona85-91 OT
26/11/23ADarussafaka82-76
18/11/23HTurk Telekom79-62
14/11/23AMurcia89-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HSamsunspor98-69
17/12/23AGalatasaray92-86
13/12/23ASporting CP82-67
09/12/23ABesiktas94-95
06/12/23HLegia100-90
01/12/23HKarsiyaka85-93
25/11/23AÇağdaş Bodrum Spor80-74
22/11/23HMornar Bar103-68
19/11/23HBuyukcekmece98-90
15/11/23HSabah Baku99-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL46%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game84.689.880.1
Allowed / game85.884.087.4
Point differential-1.2+5.8-7.3
Avg total170.5173.8167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Bahcesehir Kol.
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW46%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game90.589.791.1
Allowed / game89.785.393.4
Point differential+0.8+4.3-2.3
Avg total180.2175.0184.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes1311285%86.679.2+7.4
2 Fenerbahce1310377%88.371.9+16.4
3 Karsiyaka1410471%89.582.9+6.6
4 Besiktas139469%78.474.1+4.3
5 Bursaspor137654%82.281.2+1.0
6 Manisa137654%83.283.8-0.5
7 Petkim Spor136746%84.281.1+3.1
8 Bahcesehir Kol.136746%90.589.7+0.8
9 Tofas136746%84.685.8-1.2
10 Buyukcekmece136746%79.180.4-1.3
11 Turk Telekom136746%79.080.7-1.7
12 Darussafaka136746%77.883.7-5.8
13 Galatasaray146843%79.079.1-0.1
14 Çağdaş Bodrum Spor134931%76.984.3-7.4
15 Merkezefendi1441029%78.187.5-9.4
16 Samsunspor1421214%74.485.4-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2424192188
Bahcesehir Kol.2620172386
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