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Bakken Bears vs BMS Herlev Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 105-67
19-20 34-19 27-14 25-14
Position#2
Record5-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game105.8
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#12
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game95.5
DenmarkBasketligaen· Vejlby-Risskov Hallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Bakken Bears v BMS Herlev
24 Oct 2026
BBE105
BMS 67
20 Jan 2026
BBE99
BMS 52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BMS Herlev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#46
W
89-78
89
78
+11
76avg 91
H16/09
Champions League
Salon Vilpas
#16
L
72-90
72
90
-18
57avg 91
A18/09
Champions League
Horsens
#3
W
83-64
83
64
+19
76avg 91
H24/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
108-84
108
84
+24
110avg 91
A27/09
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
112-75
112
75
+37
118avg 91
H30/09
Basketligaen
Benfica
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
70avg 91
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Randers
#5
W
103-86
103
86
+17
95avg 91
H10/10
Basketligaen
Geneva Lions
#18
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 91
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
123-82
123
82
+41
120avg 91
A18/10
Basketligaen
Absheron Lions
#43
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
86avg 91
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-33
21-12
22-16
24-17
19-23
21-26
21-26
11-15
27-13
19-21
10-21
27-9
23-16
24-20
33-22
28-26
29-19
32-16
26-20
25-20
16-19
20-19
14-27
31-26
27-27
27-14
25-25
24-20
27-20
10-22
26-12
15-19
31-23
25-18
33-19
34-22
17-19
15-18
30-22
19-22
175.1Avg total
94.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)105.878.2184.0+27.6100%
Season at home (3)99.375.0174.3+24.3100%
Season away (2)115.583.0198.5+32.5100%
Last 10 (10)94.081.1175.1+12.980%
Last 5 (5)95.284.0179.2+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.590.5167.0-14.00%
vs Similar (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)96.382.3178.5+14.077%
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS HerlevDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHerlev
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
L
60-103
60
103
-43
no box
A08/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
89-110
89
110
-21
77avg 66
H11/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
97-74
97
74
+23
95avg 66
A19/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
75-61
75
61
+14
66avg 66
H23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 66
A20/09
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
L
70-102
70
102
-32
49avg 66
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#8
L
95-106
95
106
-11
85avg 66
H26/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
63avg 66
A01/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
55-117
55
117
-62
33avg 66
H10/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
71-93
71
93
-22
55avg 66
A18/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
10-24
17-30
19-28
17-29
22-21
24-31
26-29
27-23
27-14
21-19
22-18
15-18
24-11
19-23
17-9
26-14
25-24
19-18
12-19
22-21
10-33
13-21
25-27
25-31
18-36
27-16
25-23
26-21
12-16
16-25
23-18
17-27
12-35
11-30
15-25
22-18
14-31
23-19
12-25
169.2Avg total
77.1Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.095.5170.5-20.517%
Season at home (3)73.3108.3181.7-35.00%
Season away (3)76.782.7159.3-6.033%
Last 10 (10)77.192.1169.2-15.030%
Last 5 (5)73.699.6173.2-26.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)75.596.2171.7-20.714%
vs Similar (6)84.080.7164.7+3.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -7.1-7.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -7.1-7.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
Bakken BearsBMS Herlev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#46
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/09
Champions League
Salon Vilpas
#16
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A18/09
Champions League
Horsens
#3
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H24/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A27/09
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H30/09
Basketligaen
Benfica
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Randers
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H10/10
Basketligaen
Geneva Lions
#18
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vaerlose
#10
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A18/10
Basketligaen
Absheron Lions
#43
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
85.0Avg total
45.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.339.787.1+7.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.038.386.3+9.780%-
Last 30 away (15)46.741.287.9+5.560%-
Last 10 (10)45.239.885.0+5.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.882.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.043.581.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (1)37.042.079.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)48.639.287.8+9.581%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS HerlevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A08/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H11/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A19/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A20/09
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#8
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H26/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
H10/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A18/10
Basketligaen
85.3Avg total
38.5Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.147.187.2-7.032%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.747.887.5-8.133%-
Last 30 away (13)40.546.486.9-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)38.546.885.3-8.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.653.889.4-18.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.949.588.4-10.718%-
vs Similar (6)44.738.383.0+6.383%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.025.6
65.6%
55.2%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.79.6
29.4%
31.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.114.0
66.4%
68.0%14.0
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BMS Herlevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.7 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.3
47.3%
55.2%38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.7
30.0%
31.2%26.0
🏀 Free throws22.114.1
63.8%
68.0%14.1
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bakken Bears
WWWWLWWWLW
BMS Herlev
LLLLLWWWLL
#2
League position
#12
+13.4
Net rating
-11.8
98.1
Offensive rating
82.7
84.7
Defensive rating
94.5
55.8%
Effective FG%
46.3%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.4%
3-point %
30.0%
52.8%
Assist %
57.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 82.7Defence84.7 · 94.5Shooting55.8% · 46.3%3-point %29.4% · 30.0%Ball care15.8% · 16.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Bakken Bears   ■ BMS Herlev
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bakken Bears wins
0
BMS Herlev wins
DateGameScore
20/01/26Bakken Bears v BMS Herlev99-52
16/01/26BMS Herlev v Bakken Bears66-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26HAbsheron Lions91-88 OT
18/10/26AVaerlose123-82
14/10/26AGeneva Lions78-73
10/10/26HRanders103-86
07/10/26HBenfica81-91
30/09/26HGladsaxe112-75
27/09/26ABears Academy108-84
24/09/26HHorsens83-64
18/09/26ASalon Vilpas72-90
16/09/26HZwolle89-78
BMS Herlevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26ARanders71-93
10/10/26HTeam FOG Naestved55-117
01/10/26AHolbaek-Stenhus77-80
26/09/26HVejen95-106
23/09/26HGladsaxe70-102
20/09/26ABears Academy82-75
23/04/26HAmager75-61
19/04/26AVaerlose97-74
11/04/26HVejen89-110
08/04/26ABears Academy60-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game105.899.3115.5
Allowed / game78.275.083.0
Point differential+27.6+24.3+32.5
Avg total184.0174.3198.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
BMS Herlev
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game75.073.376.7
Allowed / game95.5108.382.7
Point differential-20.5-35.0-6.0
Avg total170.5181.7159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved660100%103.069.2+33.8
2 Bakken Bears550100%105.878.2+27.6
3 Svendborg75271%89.480.3+9.1
4 Horsens75271%85.681.3+4.3
5 Copenhagen53260%75.674.4+1.2
6 Randers74357%93.186.6+6.6
7 Gladsaxe62433%79.385.2-5.8
8 Holbaek-Stenhus62433%77.790.7-13.0
9 Vejen62433%81.094.2-13.2
10 Vaerlose61517%81.394.8-13.5
11 BMS Herlev61517%75.095.5-20.5
12 Bears Academy71614%77.090.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bakken Bears19342725105
BMS Herlev2019141467
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