Bakken Bears vs BMS Herlev Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Jan 2026

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 99-52

20-11 27-21 29-9 23-11

Position#1

Record15-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game105.1

Allowed / game74.2

Bakken Bears 🏆

BMS Herlev

Position#10

Record4-12

FormLLLWL

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game93.8

Basketligaen· Vejlby-Risskov Hallen

Other2025-26

Meetings · Bakken Bears v BMS Herlev

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BMS Herlev winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken Bears Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBears

Date

Competition

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

105-75

105

+30

107avg 90

A14/11

Basketligaen

Basket Zaragoza

75-105

105

-30

57avg 90

A19/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Horsens

90-83

88avg 90

H21/11

Basketligaen

Vejen

100-44

100

+56

106avg 90

A03/12

Basketligaen

Randers

91-96

-5

86avg 90

A11/12

Basketligaen

Randers

92-76

+16

87avg 90

H18/12

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

87-70

+17

83avg 90

A29/12

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

114-70

114

+44

115avg 90

H03/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

101-100

101

100

96avg 90

H08/01

Basketligaen

BMS Herlev

#10

120-66

120

+54

no box

A16/01

Basketligaen

31-17

28-22

29-18

17-18

26-29

20-25

16-31

13-20

25-18

22-19

23-17

20-29

24-13

28-13

22-12

26-6

13-27

29-28

25-23

24-18

30-19

18-19

24-16

20-22

29-14

14-18

24-14

20-24

31-22

27-13

30-15

26-20

27-26

22-28

25-18

27-28

34-13

29-16

28-28

29-9

176.0Avg total

97.5Scored

78.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	105.1	74.2	179.3	+30.9	94%
Season at home (9)	109.1	76.0	185.1	+33.1	100%
Season away (7)	100.0	71.9	171.9	+28.1	86%
Last 10 (10)	97.5	78.5	176.0	+19.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	102.8	76.4	179.2	+26.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	82.5	91.5	174.0	-9.0	50%
vs Similar (8)	85.6	81.6	167.2	+4.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	103.4	75.4	178.8	+27.9	89%

This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BMS Herlev Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormHerlev

Date

Competition

Svendborg

72-94

-22

no box

H01/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

76-93

-17

no box

A06/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

73-89

-16

no box

A16/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

84-101

101

-17

no box

H20/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

93-134

134

-41

no box

A10/12

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

72-96

-24

no box

H18/12

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

67-69

-2

no box

A21/12

Basketligaen

Randers

79-107

107

-28

no box

A04/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#13

80-74

no box

A09/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

66-120

120

-54

no box

H16/01

Basketligaen

13-30

21-22

21-20

17-22

25-19

17-25

20-26

14-23

15-20

21-30

16-18

21-21

17-28

25-29

27-21

15-23

20-34

35-32

23-31

15-37

11-22

27-29

20-21

14-24

27-13

10-28

21-15

9-13

18-23

25-28

21-23

15-33

23-19

19-21

24-19

14-15

13-34

16-29

28-28

9-29

173.9Avg total

76.2Scored

97.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	79.8	93.8	173.6	-13.9	25%
Season at home (9)	81.1	92.7	173.8	-11.6	33%
Season away (7)	78.1	95.1	173.3	-17.0	14%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	97.7	173.9	-21.5	10%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	93.2	166.0	-20.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	77.1	97.5	174.5	-20.4	8%
vs Similar (3)	91.7	77.7	169.3	+14.0	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bakken BearsBMS Herlev

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.8	20.7	46.5	+5.1	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	27.2	21.2	48.4	+6.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.1	20.1	44.2	+3.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.0	19.8	46.8	+7.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	18.8	49.0	+11.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	24.5	47.5	-1.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.5	22.2	43.8	-0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	27.9	19.8	47.7	+8.1	89%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	20.1	23.7	43.8	-3.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.9	24.8	44.7	-4.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (7)	20.3	22.3	42.6	-2.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	24.2	42.4	-6.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.2	40.6	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.2	24.8	44.0	-5.7	23%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.0	18.7	42.7	+5.3	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	19.2	42.5	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	19.9	43.0	+3.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	18.5	41.9	+4.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	20.1	43.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.0	24.0	48.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	24.4	18.2	42.6	+6.2	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	21.4	24.1	45.6	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	21.4	21.3	42.8	+0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (7)	21.4	27.7	49.1	-6.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	27.3	48.9	-5.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	27.0	46.4	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.5	25.5	46.0	-4.9	23%	-
vs Similar (3)	25.3	18.3	43.7	+7.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

59-39

+20

A14/11

Basketligaen

Basket Zaragoza

46-54

-8

A19/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Horsens

47-37

+10

H21/11

Basketligaen

Vejen

52-26

+26

A03/12

Basketligaen

Randers

42-55

-13

A11/12

Basketligaen

Randers

48-38

+10

H18/12

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

43-32

+11

A29/12

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

58-35

+23

H03/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

49-54

-5

H08/01

Basketligaen

BMS Herlev

#10

63-29

+34

A16/01

Basketligaen

90.6Avg total

50.7Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.0	39.9	88.9	+9.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	50.4	41.1	91.4	+9.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	47.4	38.6	86.1	+8.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.7	39.9	90.6	+10.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.2	37.6	89.8	+14.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	47.0	48.5	95.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.8	42.1	83.9	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	52.3	38.0	90.3	+14.3	79%	-

This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BMS HerlevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

34-52

-18

H01/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

42-44

-2

A06/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

36-50

-14

A16/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

42-57

-15

H20/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

55-66

-11

A10/12

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

38-51

-13

H18/12

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

37-41

-4

A21/12

Basketligaen

Randers

43-51

-8

A04/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#13

42-40

A09/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

29-63

-34

H16/01

Basketligaen

91.3Avg total

39.8Scored

51.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	41.5	47.8	89.3	-6.3	25%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	41.3	46.1	87.4	-4.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (7)	41.7	50.0	91.7	-8.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	51.5	91.3	-11.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	49.2	87.0	-11.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	39.7	50.3	90.0	-10.6	8%	-
vs Similar (3)	49.3	37.0	86.3	+12.3	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	17.8	41.1	+5.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.8	15.9	40.6	+8.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	20.1	41.6	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	19.2	43.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	18.2	44.4	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	22.5	39.0	-6.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.0	15.9	35.9	+4.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	25.5	18.0	43.5	+7.5	74%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	23.1	21.8	44.9	+1.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (7)	20.6	22.3	42.9	-1.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	22.2	44.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.8	22.5	43.3	-1.6	31%	-
vs Similar (3)	27.0	20.0	47.0	+7.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	19.8	43.4	+3.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.1	21.9	46.9	+3.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	17.4	39.3	+4.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	20.6	45.0	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	20.6	41.8	+0.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	25.5	19.4	44.9	+6.1	63%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	16.3	23.9	40.2	-7.6	6%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	16.7	24.8	41.4	-8.1	0%	-
Last 30 away (7)	15.9	22.9	38.7	-7.0	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.3	24.0	38.3	-9.7	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.2	22.8	35.0	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.5	24.7	41.2	-8.2	8%	-
vs Similar (3)	15.3	20.7	36.0	-5.3	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.9	37.6	84.5	+9.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	49.8	37.8	87.6	+12.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.5	37.4	80.9	+6.1	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.8	38.6	85.4	+8.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.6	38.8	89.4	+11.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.5	43.0	78.5	-7.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.1	36.5	77.6	+4.6	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	51.1	37.4	88.5	+13.6	84%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	38.3	45.9	84.2	-7.6	19%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	39.8	46.6	86.3	-6.8	11%	-
Last 30 away (7)	36.4	45.1	81.6	-8.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	46.2	82.6	-9.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	44.0	79.0	-9.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.4	47.2	84.5	-9.8	8%	-
vs Similar (3)	42.3	40.7	83.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 92.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	21.7	63.3%	54.6%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.6	11.1	32.1%	32.9%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	23.3	15.9	68.2%	70.1%	15.9

They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

BMS Herlevtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.1	20.9	48.5%	54.6%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.4	8.4	35.9%	32.9%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	19.1	13.1	68.6%	70.1%	13.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	22.6	62.7%	54.6%	45.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.9	11.5	33.1%	32.9%	34.6
🏀 Free throws	21.8	15.7	72.0%	70.1%	15.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	19.9	48.1%	54.6%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	8.0	31.4%	32.9%	23.9
🏀 Free throws	20.4	13.9	68.3%	70.1%	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bakken Bears wins

BMS Herlev wins

Date	Game	Score
16/01/26	BMS Herlev v Bakken Bears	66-120

Bakken Bearslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/01/26	A	BMS Herlev	120-66
08/01/26	H	Svendborg	101-100
03/01/26	H	Vaerlose	114-70
29/12/25	A	Vaerlose	87-70
18/12/25	H	Randers	92-76
11/12/25	A	Randers	91-96
03/12/25	A	Vejen	100-44
21/11/25	H	Horsens	90-83
19/11/25	A	Basket Zaragoza	75-105
14/11/25	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	105-75

BMS Herlevlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/01/26	H	Bakken Bears	66-120
09/01/26	A	Amager	80-74
04/01/26	A	Randers	79-107
21/12/25	A	Bears Academy	67-69
18/12/25	H	Copenhagen	72-96
10/12/25	A	Team FOG Naestved	93-134
20/11/25	H	Team FOG Naestved	84-101
16/11/25	A	Horsens	73-89
06/11/25	A	Vaerlose	76-93
01/11/25	H	Svendborg	72-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears

Basketligaen 2025-26

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	94%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	94%	100%	86%
Points / game	105.1	109.1	100.0
Allowed / game	74.2	76.0	71.9
Point differential	+30.9	+33.1	+28.1
Avg total	179.3	185.1	171.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	67%	86%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BMS Herlev

Basketligaen 2025-26

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	25%
Home	WLLLL	33%
Away	LLLLW	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	25%	33%	14%
Points / game	79.8	81.1	78.1
Allowed / game	93.8	92.7	95.1
Point differential	-13.9	-11.6	-17.0
Avg total	173.6	173.8	173.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	16	15	1	94%	105.1	74.2	+30.9
2	Team FOG Naestved	17	15	2	88%	109.1	85.1	+23.9
3	Randers	18	14	4	78%	94.7	82.4	+12.3
4	Horsens	18	14	4	78%	87.3	75.3	+12.0
5	Svendborg	17	13	4	76%	94.4	76.3	+18.1
6	Copenhagen	18	11	7	61%	88.4	83.2	+5.3
7	Vaerlose	18	9	9	50%	76.1	88.5	-12.4
8	BMS Herlev	16	4	12	25%	79.8	93.8	-13.9
9	Bears Academy	18	4	14	22%	78.9	97.6	-18.7
10	Vejen	17	2	15	12%	74.3	92.4	-18.1
11	Amager	18	2	16	11%	79.0	97.7	-18.7
12	Holbaek-Stenhus	17	1	16	6%	76.1	94.7	-18.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bakken Bears	20	27	29	23	99
BMS Herlev	11	21	9	11	52

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Bakken Bears vs BMS Herlev Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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