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Holbaek-Stenhus vs BMS Herlev Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-77
21-26 16-12 25-16 18-23
Position#7
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game101.0
vs
Position#12
Record1-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game94.3
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BMS Herlev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Vejen
#9
L
90-93
90
93
-3
80avg 69
H21/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
65avg 69
A28/03
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
80-65
80
65
+15
no box
A01/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
L
86-98
86
98
-12
69avg 69
A08/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
85-101
85
101
-16
75avg 69
H12/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
103-83
103
83
+20
99avg 69
A17/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
83-89
83
89
-6
72avg 69
H23/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
84-100
84
100
-16
67avg 69
H17/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
56-117
56
117
-61
40avg 69
A24/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
61avg 69
A26/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
15-30
32-27
25-24
24-23
13-20
21-15
22-29
16-24
24-18
14-9
26-14
23-21
18-27
28-17
17-33
20-23
32-21
18-27
15-30
24-25
19-25
29-20
31-13
12-24
23-23
26-19
22-23
22-21
32-33
12-26
18-20
21-27
10-32
10-27
15-31
29-20
20-22
16-22
10-22
174.1Avg total
82.2Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.7101.0172.7-29.30%
Season at home (1)84.0100.0184.0-16.00%
Season away (2)65.5101.5167.0-36.00%
Last 10 (10)82.291.9174.1-9.720%
Last 5 (5)80.295.0175.2-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.299.5174.7-24.46%
vs Similar (13)87.886.1173.9+1.838%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS HerlevDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHerlev
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
66-120
66
120
-54
no box
H16/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
52-99
52
99
-47
no box
A20/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
65-80
65
80
-15
no box
H01/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
60-103
60
103
-43
no box
A08/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
89-110
89
110
-21
77avg 74
H11/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
97-74
97
74
+23
95avg 74
A19/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
75-61
75
61
+14
66avg 74
H23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 74
A20/09
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
L
70-102
70
102
-32
49avg 74
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#8
L
95-106
95
106
-11
85avg 74
H26/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-34
16-29
28-28
9-29
11-20
21-27
9-29
11-23
24-16
18-24
9-14
14-26
14-21
10-24
17-30
19-28
17-29
22-21
24-31
26-29
27-23
27-14
21-19
22-18
15-18
24-11
19-23
17-9
26-14
25-24
19-18
12-19
22-21
10-33
13-21
25-27
25-31
18-36
27-16
25-23
168.1Avg total
75.1Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.394.3176.7-12.033%
Season at home (2)82.5104.0186.5-21.50%
Season away (1)82.075.0157.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.193.0168.1-17.930%
Last 5 (5)83.883.6167.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.796.1172.8-19.416%
vs Similar (6)84.080.7164.7+3.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -5.1-5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -5.1-5.1
Holbaek-StenhusBMS Herlev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vejen
#9
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H21/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A28/03
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A01/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A08/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H12/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A17/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H23/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H17/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
31-59
31
59
-28
A24/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A26/09
Basketligaen
88.6Avg total
41.5Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.646.587.1-5.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.746.988.6-5.236%-
Last 30 away (16)39.746.185.8-6.431%-
Last 10 (10)41.547.188.6-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)42.450.492.8-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.249.689.8-9.529%-
vs Similar (13)41.242.483.6-1.238%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS HerlevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
29-63
29
63
-34
H16/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A20/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H01/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A08/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H11/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A19/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A20/09
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#8
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H26/09
Basketligaen
85.5Avg total
38.5Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)40.846.987.7-6.132%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.546.887.3-6.336%-
Last 30 away (11)41.247.088.2-5.827%-
Last 10 (10)38.547.085.5-8.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.088.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.649.689.2-10.016%-
vs Similar (6)44.738.383.0+6.383%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.8
51.5%
55.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.2
31.2%
31.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.214.4
71.3%
68.0%14.4
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BMS Herlevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.820.0
47.8%
55.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.3
33.3%
31.2%28.0
🏀 Free throws25.216.7
66.2%
68.0%16.7
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLLWLLWLL
BMS Herlev
LLWWWLLLLL
#7
League position
#12
-11.2
Net rating
-3.1
88.4
Offensive rating
91.2
99.7
Defensive rating
94.3
49.7%
Effective FG%
48.7%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
18.3%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.2%
3-point %
33.3%
42.0%
Assist %
58.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence88.4 · 91.2Defence99.7 · 94.3Shooting49.7% · 48.7%3-point %31.2% · 33.3%Ball care18.3% · 14.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ BMS Herlev
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
1
BMS Herlev wins
DateGameScore
01/04/26BMS Herlev v Holbaek-Stenhus65-80
06/10/25BMS Herlev v Holbaek-Stenhus92-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26ASvendborg75-86
24/09/26ATeam FOG Naestved56-117
17/09/26HRanders84-100
23/04/26HVaerlose83-89
17/04/26AVejen103-83
12/04/26HBears Academy85-101
08/04/26AAmager86-98
01/04/26ABMS Herlev80-65
28/03/26AVaerlose80-87
21/03/26HVejen90-93
BMS Herlevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26HVejen95-106
23/09/26HGladsaxe70-102
20/09/26ABears Academy82-75
23/04/26HAmager75-61
19/04/26AVaerlose97-74
11/04/26HVejen89-110
08/04/26ABears Academy60-103
01/04/26HHolbaek-Stenhus65-80
20/01/26ABakken Bears52-99
16/01/26HBakken Bears66-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.784.065.5
Allowed / game101.0100.0101.5
Point differential-29.3-16.0-36.0
Avg total172.7184.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
BMS Herlev
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game82.382.582.0
Allowed / game94.3104.075.0
Point differential-12.0-21.5+7.0
Avg total176.7186.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved330100%102.765.0+37.7
2 Bakken Bears330100%101.074.3+26.7
3 Randers32167%90.788.3+2.3
4 Copenhagen32167%77.075.3+1.7
5 Svendborg32167%84.083.3+0.7
6 Vejen21150%83.093.5-10.5
7 Bears Academy31233%83.783.3+0.3
8 Vaerlose31233%82.385.0-2.7
9 Horsens31233%76.384.7-8.3
10 BMS Herlev31233%82.394.3-12.0
11 Gladsaxe41325%79.286.8-7.5
12 Holbaek-Stenhus3030%71.7101.0-29.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus2116251880
BMS Herlev2612162377
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