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Vaerlose vs BMS Herlev Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 74-97
23-27 14-27 19-21 18-22
Position#6
Record16-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#10
Record4-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game94.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vaerlose v BMS Herlev
18 Feb 2027
VAER v BMS
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
VAER74
BMS 97
06 Nov 2025
VAER93
BMS 76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BMS Herlev winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#3
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A14/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A19/02
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H07/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
95-88
95
88
+7
A11/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
109-107 OT
109
107
+2
A14/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H21/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H28/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A31/03
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A08/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
96-90
96
90
+6
H12/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
17-28
19-23
17-21
23-15
18-19
18-26
28-19
20-22
20-25
20-25
19-20
19-27
15-23
22-22
39-16
26-35
15-15
26-21
26-22
22-26
13-26
29-15
21-13
23-24
20-13
15-21
29-22
26-21
12-24
15-17
8-13
18-22
25-27
18-24
22-13
23-19
21-24
24-22
28-25
172.8Avg total
85.1Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.089.0169.0-8.953%
Season at home (15)81.187.9169.0-6.960%
Season away (15)79.090.0169.0-11.047%
Last 10 (10)85.187.7172.8-2.660%
Last 5 (5)82.482.2164.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.698.8168.4-29.28%
vs Similar (17)86.682.8169.4+3.982%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)93.076.0169.0+17.0100%
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS HerlevDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
93-134
93
134
-41
A10/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
72-96
72
96
-24
H18/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A21/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
79-107
79
107
-28
A04/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A09/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
66-120
66
120
-54
H16/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
52-99
52
99
-47
A20/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H01/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
60-103
60
103
-43
A08/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
89-110
89
110
-21
H11/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-34
35-32
23-31
15-37
11-22
27-29
20-21
14-24
27-13
10-28
21-15
9-13
18-23
25-28
21-23
15-33
23-19
19-21
24-19
14-15
13-34
16-29
28-28
9-29
11-20
21-27
9-29
11-23
24-16
18-24
9-14
14-26
14-21
10-24
17-30
19-28
17-29
22-21
24-31
26-29
171.5Avg total
72.3Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.294.6171.8-17.420%
Season at home (11)80.493.1173.5-12.727%
Season away (9)73.296.4169.7-23.211%
Last 10 (10)72.399.2171.5-26.910%
Last 5 (5)66.4102.4168.8-36.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.397.9172.2-23.77%
vs Similar (5)85.884.6170.4+1.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -11.1-11.1
VaerloseBMS Herlev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#3
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A14/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A19/02
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H07/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A11/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A14/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H21/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H28/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A31/03
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A08/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H12/04
Basketligaen
85.5Avg total
39.2Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.346.284.5-7.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.145.584.6-6.547%-
Last 30 away (15)37.546.984.5-9.427%-
Last 10 (10)39.246.385.5-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.645.285.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.251.985.2-18.70%-
vs Similar (17)41.542.584.0-0.959%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)44.042.086.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS HerlevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A10/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H18/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A21/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A09/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
29-63
29
63
-34
H16/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A20/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H01/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A08/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H11/04
Basketligaen
87.5Avg total
38.1Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)40.047.487.4-7.325%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.245.987.1-4.736%-
Last 30 away (9)38.749.187.8-10.411%-
Last 10 (10)38.149.487.5-11.320%-
Last 5 (5)33.249.082.2-15.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.149.787.9-11.67%-
vs Similar (5)45.840.286.0+5.680%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.9
55.1%
54.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.1
34.9%
32.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.718.3
71.2%
70.1%18.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BMS Herlevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.026.0
54.2%
54.6%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.0
25.0%
32.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.016.0
72.7%
70.1%16.0
They take 76.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
WLLWWWWLWL
BMS Herlev
LLLLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#10
-3.5
Net rating
-22.3
90.4
Offensive rating
94.5
93.9
Defensive rating
116.8
54.1%
Effective FG%
48.0%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
69.0%
21.5%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.9%
3-point %
25.0%
57.6%
Assist %
57.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence90.4 · 94.5Defence93.9 · 116.8Shooting54.1% · 48.0%3-point %34.9% · 25.0%Ball care21.5% · 13.2%Free throws0.42 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Vaerlose   ■ BMS Herlev
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vaerlose wins
0
BMS Herlev wins
DateGameScore
06/11/25Vaerlose v BMS Herlev93-76
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26HAmager96-90
08/04/26AVejen83-86
31/03/26ABears Academy61-75
28/03/26HHolbaek-Stenhus87-80
21/03/26HBears Academy85-80
14/03/26AAmager109-107 OT
11/03/26AHerlev Wolfpack95-88
07/03/26HVejen79-92
19/02/26AHerlev Wolfpack87-79
14/02/26ASvendborg69-100
BMS Herlevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/26HVejen89-110
08/04/26ABears Academy60-103
01/04/26HHolbaek-Stenhus65-80
20/01/26ABakken Bears52-99
16/01/26HBakken Bears66-120
09/01/26AAmager80-74
04/01/26ARanders79-107
21/12/25ABears Academy67-69
18/12/25HCopenhagen72-96
10/12/25ATeam FOG Naestved93-134

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeWLWWW60%
AwayWWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%60%47%
Points / game80.081.179.0
Allowed / game89.087.990.0
Point differential-8.9-6.9-11.0
Avg total169.0169.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%7%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
BMS Herlev
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %20%27%11%
Points / game77.280.473.2
Allowed / game94.693.196.4
Point differential-17.4-12.7-23.2
Avg total171.8173.5169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears3126584%100.877.9+22.9
2 Team FOG Naestved3125681%103.490.0+13.4
3 Svendborg3122971%91.777.1+14.6
4 Horsens31211068%86.478.5+7.9
5 Randers31201165%93.586.5+6.9
6 Vaerlose30161453%80.089.0-8.9
7 Copenhagen31141745%87.186.9+0.2
8 Bears Academy31121939%83.290.9-7.7
9 Vejen31102132%79.990.4-10.4
10 Holbaek-Stenhus3172423%81.592.8-11.4
11 Herlev Wolfpack102820%77.290.2-13.0
12 BMS Herlev2041620%77.294.6-17.4
13 Amager3162519%83.095.3-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2314191874
BMS Herlev2727212297
← all games of the day
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