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Bakken Bears vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-82 (OT)
21-19 21-17 15-21 17-17 14-8
Position#30
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game65.0
Bakken Bears 🏆
vs
FMP Beograd
Position#6
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game70.0
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#1
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
no box
H17/04
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
77-65
77
65
+12
no box
A19/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
104-77
104
77
+27
no box
H22/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
A25/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
111-97
111
97
+14
no box
H30/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
118-72
118
72
+46
no box
H09/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
A12/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
91-74
91
74
+17
no box
H16/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A19/05
Basketligaen
Swans Gmunden
#20
W
83-65
83
65
+18
51avg 51
H23/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
18-15
26-23
20-21
23-20
15-23
27-6
12-16
17-17
38-23
23-21
26-16
21-27
21-14
23-15
29-13
18-20
29-27
37-28
27-22
36-21
28-14
29-11
25-26
26-21
27-23
21-20
21-18
27-16
13-24
30-20
21-14
24-17
12-17
26-21
19-22
22-7
23-19
10-20
28-19
170.4Avg total
93.9Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.065.0148.0+18.0100%
Season at home (1)83.065.0148.0+18.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)93.976.5170.4+17.490%
Last 5 (5)93.674.0167.6+19.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)82.094.0176.0-12.00%
vs Similar (7)77.677.3154.9+0.357%
vs Weaker (21)96.282.1178.3+14.190%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Split
#13
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
no box
A02/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
77-79
77
79
-2
67avg 74
H08/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
77avg 74
A11/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 74
H22/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 74
A30/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
69avg 74
H04/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
71-110
71
110
-39
no box
A17/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
59-71
59
71
-12
no box
H19/06
Super League
Breogan
#45
W
76-64
76
64
+12
74avg 74
H21/09
Champions League
Opava
#47
W
92-76
92
76
+16
84avg 74
A23/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
18-21
14-13
22-22
14-19
20-24
23-19
20-17
25-21
25-30
12-24
20-15
23-24
11-21
24-15
17-17
14-24
15-13
21-15
20-24
25-25
21-15
10-19
18-20
18-24
11-29
23-26
19-31
9-15
22-19
14-25
14-12
20-17
12-17
23-13
21-17
21-17
22-24
27-19
22-16
157.3Avg total
76.6Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.070.0154.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)76.064.0140.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)92.076.0168.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.680.7157.3-4.130%
Last 5 (5)74.480.0154.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.584.7159.3-10.20%
vs Similar (6)75.376.7152.0-1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.680.0167.6+7.680%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
Bakken BearsFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H17/04
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A19/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H22/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A25/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H30/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
64-35
64
35
+29
H09/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A12/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H16/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A19/05
Basketligaen
Swans Gmunden
#20
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H23/09
Champions League
84.0Avg total
45.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.587.4+2.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.942.989.8+3.944%-
Last 30 away (14)42.642.184.6+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)45.438.684.0+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)47.635.883.4+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)38.549.588.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (7)40.037.677.6+2.457%-
vs Weaker (21)47.143.590.6+3.648%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A02/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H08/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A11/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H22/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A30/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H04/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A17/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H19/06
Super League
Breogan
#45
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H21/09
Champions League
Opava
#47
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/09
Champions League
78.3Avg total
36.6Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.481.5-1.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.181.6-0.733%-
Last 30 away (15)39.741.781.4-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)36.641.778.3-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.240.476.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.243.580.6-6.318%-
vs Similar (6)37.839.076.8-1.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.243.088.2+2.240%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.323.2
56.2%
51.4%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.7
34.9%
35.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.611.0
66.3%
74.3%11.0
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.5
52.9%
51.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.26.8
33.7%
35.2%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.113.8
72.3%
74.3%13.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Sep 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bakken Bears
WWWWWWWWWL
FMP Beograd
WWLLLLLLLW
#30
League position
#6
+9.4
Net rating
+6.1
114.0
Offensive rating
104.7
104.7
Defensive rating
98.6
54.6%
Effective FG%
52.2%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
16.6%
Turnover %
20.2%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.9%
3-point %
33.7%
56.8%
Assist %
58.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 104.7Defence104.7 · 98.6Shooting54.6% · 52.2%3-point %34.9% · 33.7%Ball care16.6% · 20.2%Off. rebounds34.8% · 34.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Bakken Bears   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bakken Bears wins
0
FMP Beograd wins
No previous meetings.
Bakken Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/22HSwans Gmunden83-65
19/05/22ASvendborg81-77
16/05/22HSvendborg91-74
12/05/22ASvendborg95-82
09/05/22HSvendborg118-72
30/04/22HRanders111-97
25/04/22ARanders94-69
22/04/22HRanders104-77
19/04/22ATeam FOG Naestved77-65
17/04/22HSvendborg85-87 OT
FMP Beogradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/22AOpava92-76
21/09/22HBreogan76-64
19/06/22HCrvena zvezda59-71
17/06/22ACrvena zvezda71-110
04/05/22HBuducnost74-79
30/04/22ABuducnost70-76
22/04/22HCedevita Olimpija75-77
11/04/22ACrvena zvezda82-90
08/04/22HBuducnost77-79
02/04/22ASplit90-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears
Champions League 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+18.0+18.0-
Avg total148.0148.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
FMP Beograd
Champions League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.076.092.0
Allowed / game70.064.076.0
Point differential+14.0+12.0+16.0
Avg total154.0140.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja220100%102.565.5+37.0
2 Chemnitz220100%94.573.5+21.0
3 Bakken Bears110100%83.065.0+18.0
4 Benfica330100%84.068.3+15.7
5 FMP Beograd220100%84.070.0+14.0
6 Tofas110100%68.057.0+11.0
7 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
8 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
9 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
10 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
11 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
12 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
13 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
14 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
15 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
16 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
17 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
18 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
19 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
20 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
21 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
22 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
23 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
24 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bakken Bears212115171488
FMP Beograd19172117882
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