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Bakken Bears vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 91-98
25-25 23-18 26-26 17-29
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game75.8
Bakken Bears
vs
Lublin 🏆
Position#11
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game93.2
EuropeENBL· Vejlby-Risskov Hallen
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
W
102-92
102
92
+10
97avg 93
A09/12
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
87-70
87
70
+17
90avg 93
H15/12
ENBL
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
101-67
101
67
+34
104avg 93
H17/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
113-60
113
60
+53
123avg 93
A19/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
73avg 93
A28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
137-77
137
77
+60
144avg 93
H30/12
Basketligaen
Tartu Ulikool
#8
W
94-71
94
71
+23
100avg 93
A03/01
ENBL
Svendborg
#5
W
110-77
110
77
+33
110avg 93
H06/01
Basketligaen
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
82avg 93
A09/01
ENBL
Amager
#11
W
107-69
107
69
+38
108avg 93
A12/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
31-22
25-15
24-32
16-20
24-18
22-12
25-20
31-17
31-13
22-17
17-20
23-14
23-15
41-15
26-16
16-17
20-24
27-20
17-25
39-16
30-29
31-19
37-13
24-24
23-9
25-22
22-16
25-33
31-8
25-23
29-13
19-29
26-15
22-19
20-20
26-17
30-17
25-22
26-13
177.0Avg total
101.8Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.875.8168.5+17.0100%
Season at home (1)87.070.0157.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)94.777.7172.3+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)101.875.2177.0+26.690%
Last 5 (5)107.075.4182.4+31.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)95.594.0189.5+1.550%
vs Similar (3)81.083.3164.3-2.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)98.474.6173.0+23.888%
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Gdynia
#14
W
98-88
98
88
+10
93avg 82
H16/11
Energa Basket Liga
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
85-107
85
107
-22
73avg 82
H21/11
ENBL
Zielona Gora
#15
L
91-95
91
95
-4
80avg 82
H26/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
71-86
71
86
-15
67avg 82
A30/11
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
80avg 82
A09/12
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
81-86
81
86
-5
64avg 82
A16/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
78-100
78
100
-22
67avg 82
H23/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
92-75
92
75
+17
90avg 82
A30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
84-98
84
98
-14
79avg 82
A04/01
Energa Basket Liga
Spartak Pleven
#13
L
95-101
95
101
-6
90avg 82
A09/01
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
27-20
23-20
26-25
20-31
19-19
27-27
19-30
21-29
24-21
22-26
24-19
14-28
20-19
16-18
21-21
21-21
23-23
17-18
20-15
18-30
20-20
26-11
17-25
17-32
23-23
19-15
19-30
22-24
23-17
22-19
25-15
20-25
18-25
24-24
22-24
26-25
29-30
25-23
15-23
176.9Avg total
85.6Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.893.2182.0-4.525%
Season at home (2)79.0105.0184.0-26.00%
Season away (2)98.581.5180.0+17.050%
Last 10 (10)85.691.3176.9-5.730%
Last 5 (5)86.092.0178.0-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.693.5175.2-11.927%
vs Similar (12)86.586.4172.9+0.158%
vs Weaker (7)95.983.4179.3+12.471%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: +9.9+9.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +8.1+8.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: +9.9+9.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +8.1+8.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
Bakken BearsLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A09/12
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H15/12
ENBL
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
62-30
62
30
+32
H17/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A19/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
69-45
69
45
+24
H30/12
Basketligaen
Tartu Ulikool
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A03/01
ENBL
Svendborg
#5
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H06/01
Basketligaen
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A09/01
ENBL
Amager
#11
W
56-34
56
34
+22
A12/01
Basketligaen
89.0Avg total
51.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.338.887.2+9.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.537.187.6+13.573%-
Last 30 away (15)46.140.686.7+5.567%-
Last 10 (10)51.038.089.0+13.090%-
Last 5 (5)54.639.494.0+15.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.049.087.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (3)42.044.386.3-2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)50.037.987.9+12.179%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdynia
#14
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H16/11
Energa Basket Liga
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H21/11
ENBL
Zielona Gora
#15
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H26/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A30/11
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A09/12
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H23/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A04/01
Energa Basket Liga
Spartak Pleven
#13
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A09/01
ENBL
91.2Avg total
42.7Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.045.588.5-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.945.288.1-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)43.145.788.8-2.625%-
Last 10 (10)42.748.591.2-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)43.250.293.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.546.387.8-4.727%-
vs Similar (12)42.046.088.0-4.025%-
vs Weaker (7)47.143.390.4+3.957%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 100.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.730.2
64.7%
53.4%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.3
33.7%
33.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.815.3
70.2%
72.2%15.3
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.1
53.7%
53.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.6
34.0%
33.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.012.8
75.3%
72.2%12.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bakken Bears
WWWWWLWWWW
Lublin
LLWLLWLLLW
#1
League position
#11
+31.2
Net rating
-7.7
122.4
Offensive rating
106.7
91.3
Defensive rating
114.4
59.8%
Effective FG%
52.5%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.2%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.7%
3-point %
34.0%
66.8%
Assist %
65.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence122.4 · 106.7Defence91.3 · 114.4Shooting59.8% · 52.5%3-point %33.7% · 34.0%Ball care15.7% · 17.2%Off. rebounds33.6% · 27.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Bakken Bears   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bakken Bears wins
0
Lublin wins
No previous meetings.
Bakken Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24AAmager107-69
09/01/24ABristol Flyers87-83
06/01/24HSvendborg110-77
03/01/24ATartu Ulikool94-71
30/12/23HHerlev Wolfpack137-77
28/12/23AHorsens80-86
19/12/23ABears Academy113-60
17/12/23HHolbaek-Stenhus101-67
15/12/23HSpartak Pleven87-70
09/12/23ACopenhagen102-92
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24ASpartak Pleven95-101
04/01/24ATorun84-98
30/12/23ALegia92-75
23/12/23HOstrow Wielkopolski78-100
16/12/23ASpojnia Stargard81-86
09/12/23ACzarni Slupsk81-77
30/11/23ADziki Warszawa71-86
26/11/23HZielona Gora91-95
21/11/23HBristol Flyers85-107
16/11/23HGdynia98-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.887.094.7
Allowed / game75.870.077.7
Point differential+17.0+17.0+17.0
Avg total168.5157.0172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lublin
ENBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game88.879.098.5
Allowed / game93.2105.081.5
Point differential-4.5-26.0+17.0
Avg total182.0184.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus550100%93.075.6+17.4
2 Bakken Bears440100%92.875.8+17.0
3 Voluntari65183%83.272.0+11.2
4 Liege54180%91.678.0+13.6
5 Tartu Ulikool54180%82.671.2+11.4
6 Siauliai54180%94.686.8+7.8
7 Zielona Gora43175%95.089.8+5.2
8 Bristol Flyers63350%82.576.0+6.5
9 Newcastle Eagles42250%86.283.2+3.0
10 Keila KK52340%82.889.8-7.0
11 Lublin41325%88.893.2-4.5
12 Zwolle41325%66.877.8-11.0
13 Spartak Pleven51420%79.489.4-10.0
14 Brno61517%75.385.0-9.7
15 Valmiera Glass Via7070%80.396.6-16.3
16 Svendborg5050%67.295.0-27.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bakken Bears2523261791
Lublin2518262998
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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