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Bakken Bears vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 137-77
39-16 30-29 31-19 37-13
Position#1
Record12-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game99.1
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#9
Record2-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game88.9
DenmarkBasketligaen· Vejlby-Risskov Hallen (Aarhus)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bakken Bears v Herlev Wolfpack
01 Feb 2025
BBE101
HERL95
30 Dec 2023
BBE137
HERL77
20 Apr 2023
BBE111
HERL71
07 Jan 2023
BBE95
HERL66
09 Oct 2021
BBE106
HERL69
08 Nov 2020
BBE109
HERL57
15 Dec 2019
BBE96
HERL99
25 Feb 2019
BBE111
HERL72
29 Mar 2018
BBE109
HERL106
18 Mar 2018
BBE103
HERL68
03 Jan 2018
BBE111
HERL81
12 Mar 2015
BBE95
HERL83
01 Nov 2014
BBE95
HERL89
03 Feb 2014
BBE103
HERL83
09 Feb 2012
BBE82
HERL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
98-77
98
77
+21
94avg 89
H19/11
Basketligaen
Norrkoping
#43
W
89-82
89
82
+7
74avg 89
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
109-52
109
52
+57
98avg 89
A29/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
W
122-61
122
61
+61
no box
H03/12
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#15
W
103-79
103
79
+24
104avg 89
A06/12
ENBL
Copenhagen
#4
W
102-92
102
92
+10
97avg 89
A09/12
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
87-70
87
70
+17
90avg 89
H15/12
ENBL
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
101-67
101
67
+34
104avg 89
H17/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
113-60
113
60
+53
123avg 89
A19/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
80-86
80
86
-6
73avg 89
A28/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
22-22
25-21
29-18
26-27
27-23
18-22
18-10
20-12
29-15
34-10
26-15
32-9
33-24
35-15
22-13
31-22
20-20
30-12
22-25
22-23
31-22
25-15
24-32
16-20
24-18
22-12
25-20
31-17
31-13
22-17
17-20
23-14
23-15
41-15
26-16
16-17
20-24
27-20
17-25
173.0Avg total
100.4Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)99.175.8174.8+23.392%
Season at home (6)101.076.2177.2+24.8100%
Season away (7)97.475.4172.9+22.086%
Last 10 (10)100.472.6173.0+27.890%
Last 5 (5)96.675.0171.6+21.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)95.594.0189.5+1.550%
vs Similar (2)78.083.5161.5-5.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)94.075.0168.9+19.088%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
L
70-79
70
79
-9
52avg 59
H14/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
51-82
51
82
-31
42avg 59
H22/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
86-99
86
99
-13
76avg 59
A27/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
73-61
73
61
+12
64avg 59
A02/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
A11/11
Denmark Cup
Randers
#6
L
76-86
76
86
-10
65avg 59
A19/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
68avg 59
H29/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
96-98
96
98
-2
87avg 59
A16/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
83-101
83
101
-18
73avg 59
H20/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
70-118
70
118
-48
52avg 59
A28/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
12-20
18-22
19-24
8-23
19-22
14-20
10-17
17-19
24-24
24-35
21-21
13-24
20-13
18-11
22-13
14-19
28-21
19-31
23-15
24-14
21-29
14-21
17-22
17-27
20-20
20-24
16-17
18-21
29-24
25-30
24-23
27-28
15-20
15-32
26-21
11-35
19-23
20-26
20-34
166.0Avg total
76.2Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.988.9159.8-18.015%
Season at home (7)67.687.1154.7-19.614%
Season away (6)74.891.0165.8-16.217%
Last 10 (10)76.289.8166.0-13.610%
Last 5 (5)79.698.2177.8-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)69.092.9162.0-23.94%
vs Similar (3)74.075.3149.3-1.367%
vs Weaker (2)85.583.0168.5+2.550%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +12.0+12.0Q3: -6.5-6.5Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +12.0+12.0Q3: -6.5-6.5Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
Bakken BearsHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H19/11
Basketligaen
Norrkoping
#43
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A29/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
W
65-33
65
33
+32
H03/12
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#15
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A06/12
ENBL
Copenhagen
#4
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A09/12
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H15/12
ENBL
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
62-30
62
30
+32
H17/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A19/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A28/12
Basketligaen
87.2Avg total
49.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.938.984.8+7.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.137.484.4+9.762%-
Last 30 away (14)44.640.785.3+3.957%-
Last 10 (10)49.937.387.2+12.690%-
Last 5 (5)47.436.684.0+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.049.087.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (2)40.544.585.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)46.938.285.1+8.668%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H14/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H22/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A02/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A11/11
Denmark Cup
Randers
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A19/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H29/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A16/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H20/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
30-58
30
58
-28
A28/12
Basketligaen
81.6Avg total
37.7Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.345.380.5-10.020%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.443.477.8-9.121%-
Last 30 away (16)36.146.982.9-10.819%-
Last 10 (10)37.743.981.6-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.288.4-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)34.646.781.3-12.012%-
vs Similar (3)33.740.774.3-7.00%-
vs Weaker (2)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 98.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.629.6
64.9%
51.8%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.3
33.1%
31.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.214.2
67.0%
67.0%14.2
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.6
48.6%
51.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.1
27.5%
31.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.115.3
69.2%
67.0%15.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bakken Bears
LWWWWWWWWW
Herlev Wolfpack
LLLLLLWLLL
#1
League position
#9
+27.2
Net rating
-18.5
119.9
Offensive rating
92.4
92.7
Defensive rating
110.9
59.5%
Effective FG%
45.6%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
22.6%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.1%
3-point %
27.5%
54.6%
Assist %
58.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence119.9 · 92.4Defence92.7 · 110.9Shooting59.5% · 45.6%3-point %33.1% · 27.5%Ball care16.1% · 22.6%Off. rebounds32.2% · 29.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)90% · 10%
■ Bakken Bears   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Bakken Bears wins
1
Herlev Wolfpack wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23AHorsens80-86
19/12/23ABears Academy113-60
17/12/23HHolbaek-Stenhus101-67
15/12/23HSpartak Pleven87-70
09/12/23ACopenhagen102-92
06/12/23ASvendborg103-79
03/12/23HSvendborg122-61
29/11/23AHolbaek-Stenhus109-52
22/11/23ANorrkoping89-82
19/11/23HTeam FOG Naestved98-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23ATeam FOG Naestved70-118
20/12/23HHorsens83-101
16/12/23AAmager96-98
29/11/23HSvendborg73-88
19/11/23ARanders76-86
11/11/23ASvendborg84-86
02/11/23AHolbaek-Stenhus73-61
27/10/23ACopenhagen86-99
22/10/23HBears Academy51-82
14/10/23HVaerlose70-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %92%100%86%
Points / game99.1101.097.4
Allowed / game75.876.275.4
Point differential+23.3+24.8+22.0
Avg total174.8177.2172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%83%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %15%14%17%
Points / game70.967.674.8
Allowed / game88.987.191.0
Point differential-18.0-19.6-16.2
Avg total159.8154.7165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1312192%99.175.8+23.3
2 Svendborg1311285%88.377.2+11.2
3 Team FOG Naestved1411379%98.879.8+19.0
4 Horsens1411379%90.472.6+17.8
5 Randers127558%95.485.3+10.1
6 Copenhagen136746%83.180.0+3.1
7 Vaerlose136746%81.886.7-4.8
8 Bears Academy1331023%73.985.2-11.3
9 Holbaek-Stenhus1221017%67.892.8-25.0
10 Herlev Wolfpack1321115%70.988.9-18.0
11 Amager141137%72.9100.1-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bakken Bears39303137137
Herlev Wolfpack1629191377
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