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Horsens vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-80
17-16 24-20 20-27 25-17
Position#2
Record10-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game72.0
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#1
Record12-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game74.9
DenmarkBasketligaen· Forum Horsens (Horsens)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Horsens v Bakken Bears
27 Dec 2026
HORS v BBE
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
HORS64
BBE103
26 Mar 2026
HORS93
BBE82
19 Feb 2026
HORS79
BBE88
05 May 2025
HORS83
BBE88
28 Apr 2025
HORS85
BBE90
13 Mar 2025
HORS86
BBE84
27 Dec 2024
HORS95
BBE91
04 Mar 2024
HORS88
BBE77
28 Dec 2023
HORS86
BBE80
27 Apr 2023
HORS69
BBE77
03 Mar 2023
HORS78
BBE94
27 Dec 2022
HORS87
BBE89
11 Mar 2022
HORS70
BBE80
02 Dec 2021
HORS72
BBE85
27 May 2021
HORS87
BBE96
21 May 2021
HORS84
BBE75
13 May 2021
HORS70
BBE77
03 Apr 2021
HORS80
BBE82
21 Mar 2021
HORS107
BBE105
31 Jan 2021
HORS92
BBE119
15 Mar 2020
HORS v BBE
upcoming
23 Jan 2020
HORS70
BBE103
13 May 2019
HORS76
BBE91
06 May 2019
HORS76
BBE83
08 Mar 2019
HORS86
BBE75
08 Feb 2019
HORS94
BBE101
03 May 2018
HORS68
BBE79
26 Apr 2018
HORS57
BBE71
14 Feb 2018
HORS85
BBE98
03 May 2017
HORS85
BBE93
27 Apr 2017
HORS76
BBE94
02 Feb 2017
HORS74
BBE69
11 Dec 2016
HORS90
BBE89
03 Nov 2016
HORS104
BBE98
09 May 2016
HORS84
BBE78
02 May 2016
HORS101
BBE64
25 Apr 2016
HORS69
BBE57
18 Apr 2016
HORS66
BBE88
08 Mar 2016
HORS66
BBE84
10 Dec 2015
HORS73
BBE62
15 May 2015
HORS72
BBE55
09 May 2015
HORS93
BBE67
30 Apr 2015
HORS79
BBE72
11 Dec 2014
HORS81
BBE86
16 Oct 2014
HORS77
BBE93
17 Apr 2014
HORS87
BBE104
10 Apr 2014
HORS79
BBE72
12 Dec 2013
HORS84
BBE78
04 Apr 2013
HORS71
BBE97
28 Mar 2013
HORS82
BBE78
10 Jan 2013
HORS79
BBE78
28 Oct 2012
HORS81
BBE92
28 Mar 2012
HORS87
BBE93
02 Feb 2012
HORS72
BBE81
03 Feb 2011
HORS59
BBE68
25 Nov 2010
HORS64
BBE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
W
84-65
84
65
+19
78avg 87
A12/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
88-56
88
56
+32
86avg 87
H29/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
114-51
114
51
+63
118avg 87
H05/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
95-79
95
79
+16
98avg 87
A09/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#12
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Bears Academy
#8
W
88-56
88
56
+32
88avg 87
A19/11
Basketligaen
Falcon
#7
W
85-58
85
58
+27
no box
A03/12
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
56avg 87
H11/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
91-77
91
77
+14
86avg 87
A14/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
101-83
101
83
+18
98avg 87
A20/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
24-11
28-20
16-17
15-16
25-12
29-11
19-17
28-9
28-10
20-13
38-19
30-19
15-13
26-16
24-31
17-15
31-21
20-19
22-16
21-15
24-16
22-7
21-18
–
–
–
–
13-14
17-27
12-14
33-26
23-22
29-25
16-16
23-14
28-27
20-15
32-15
21-26
158.8Avg total
91.1Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.772.0162.7+18.777%
Season at home (6)92.767.0159.7+25.783%
Season away (7)89.076.3165.3+12.771%
Last 10 (10)91.167.7158.8+23.490%
Last 5 (5)88.071.0159.0+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.491.4166.8-16.00%
vs Similar (3)96.389.3185.7+7.0100%
vs Weaker (14)89.968.8158.6+21.186%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#12
W
113-99 OT
113
99
+14
107avg 90
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
98-77
98
77
+21
94avg 90
H19/11
Basketligaen
Norrkoping
#43
W
89-82
89
82
+7
74avg 90
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
109-52
109
52
+57
98avg 90
A29/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
W
122-61
122
61
+61
no box
H03/12
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#15
W
103-79
103
79
+24
104avg 90
A06/12
ENBL
Copenhagen
#4
W
102-92
102
92
+10
97avg 90
A09/12
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
87-70
87
70
+17
90avg 90
H15/12
ENBL
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
101-67
101
67
+34
104avg 90
H17/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
113-60
113
60
+53
123avg 90
A19/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
26-23
17-13
25-21
22-16
22-22
25-21
29-18
26-27
27-23
18-22
18-10
20-12
29-15
34-10
26-15
32-9
33-24
35-15
22-13
31-22
20-20
30-12
22-25
22-23
31-22
25-15
24-32
16-20
24-18
22-12
25-20
31-17
31-13
22-17
17-20
23-14
23-15
41-15
26-16
177.6Avg total
103.7Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)100.774.9175.6+25.8100%
Season at home (6)101.076.2177.2+24.8100%
Season away (6)100.373.7174.0+26.7100%
Last 10 (10)103.773.9177.6+29.8100%
Last 5 (5)101.273.6174.8+27.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)95.594.0189.5+1.550%
vs Similar (2)78.083.5161.5-5.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)94.474.0168.3+20.492%
This opponent (Horsens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-7+0+7+15Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: +7.1+7.1Q3Q3: +8.2+8.2Q3: +11.7+11.7Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +4.4+4.4
-15-7+0+7+15Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: +7.1+7.1Q3Q3: +8.2+8.2Q3: +11.7+11.7Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +4.4+4.4
HorsensBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A12/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H29/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
56-19
56
19
+37
H05/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A09/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A12/11
Denmark Cup
Bears Academy
#8
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A19/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H11/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A14/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A20/12
Basketligaen
78.7Avg total
44.9Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.440.884.3+2.662%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.338.283.5+7.267%-
Last 30 away (17)42.142.784.8-0.659%-
Last 10 (9)44.933.878.7+11.189%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.484.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.247.088.2-5.842%-
vs Similar (3)48.039.787.7+8.367%-
vs Weaker (13)44.235.879.9+8.477%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#12
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H19/11
Basketligaen
Norrkoping
#43
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A29/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#8
W
65-33
65
33
+32
H03/12
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#15
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A06/12
ENBL
Copenhagen
#4
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A09/12
Basketligaen
Spartak Pleven
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H15/12
ENBL
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
62-30
62
30
+32
H17/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A19/12
Basketligaen
88.7Avg total
50.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.338.885.1+7.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.137.484.5+9.765%-
Last 30 away (13)45.240.785.9+4.562%-
Last 10 (10)50.538.288.7+12.390%-
Last 5 (5)50.436.887.2+13.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.049.087.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (2)40.544.585.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)47.438.185.5+9.272%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.527.4
54.3%
51.8%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.8
34.2%
31.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.110.9
60.2%
67.0%10.9
They take 76.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 98.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.429.2
65.8%
51.8%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.7
34.3%
31.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.513.8
64.2%
67.0%13.8
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Horsens
WWLWWWWWWW
Bakken Bears
WWWWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#1
+26.8
Net rating
+27.7
115.9
Offensive rating
121.6
89.1
Defensive rating
93.9
53.3%
Effective FG%
60.5%
45.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.2%
46.4%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.2%
3-point %
34.3%
60.2%
Assist %
56.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 121.6Defence89.1 · 93.9Shooting53.3% · 60.5%3-point %34.2% · 34.3%Ball care17.9% · 15.2%Off. rebounds46.4% · 30.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 100%
■ Horsens   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Horsens wins
9
Bakken Bears wins
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23AHerlev Wolfpack101-83
14/12/23ARanders91-77
11/12/23HSvendborg75-81
03/12/23AFalcon85-58
19/11/23ABears Academy88-56
12/11/23AVaerlose90-71
09/11/23ATeam FOG Naestved95-79
05/11/23HAmager114-51
29/10/23HVaerlose88-56
12/10/23ACopenhagen84-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23ABears Academy113-60
17/12/23HHolbaek-Stenhus101-67
15/12/23HSpartak Pleven87-70
09/12/23ACopenhagen102-92
06/12/23ASvendborg103-79
03/12/23HSvendborg122-61
29/11/23AHolbaek-Stenhus109-52
22/11/23ANorrkoping89-82
19/11/23HTeam FOG Naestved98-77
15/11/23HFC Porto113-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW77%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%83%71%
Points / game90.792.789.0
Allowed / game72.067.076.3
Point differential+18.7+25.7+12.7
Avg total162.7159.7165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%67%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.7101.0100.3
Allowed / game74.976.273.7
Point differential+25.8+24.8+26.7
Avg total175.6177.2174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%83%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears12120100%100.774.9+25.8
2 Svendborg1311285%88.377.2+11.2
3 Horsens1310377%90.772.0+18.7
4 Team FOG Naestved1310377%97.380.5+16.8
5 Randers127558%95.485.3+10.1
6 Copenhagen136746%83.180.0+3.1
7 Vaerlose125742%81.186.5-5.4
8 Bears Academy1331023%73.985.2-11.3
9 Herlev Wolfpack1221017%71.086.5-15.5
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1221017%67.892.8-25.0
11 Amager131128%71.7100.8-29.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens1724202586
Bakken Bears1620271780
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