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BAL Weert vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-86
17-16 12-28 17-22 27-20
Position#18
Record1-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game90.9
vs
Position#7
Record7-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game82.5
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 16
Other2025-26
Meetings · BAL Weert v Donar Groningen
17 Jan 2026
BAL 73
DGR86
15 Apr 2025
BAL 71
DGR92
10 May 2024
BAL 85
DGR71
23 Dec 2023
BAL 59
DGR64
15 Jan 2023
BAL 52
DGR78
20 Jan 2022
BAL 0
DGR20
06 Feb 2021
BAL 55
DGR96
27 Feb 2020
BAL 53
DGR76
25 Jan 2020
BAL 48
DGR97
21 Mar 2019
BAL 60
DGR78
18 Nov 2018
BAL 60
DGR105
17 Mar 2018
BAL 66
DGR79
06 Jan 2018
BAL 67
DGR93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BAL Weert winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BAL WeertLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWeert
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
64-88
64
88
-24
49avg 59
A01/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
72-86
72
86
-14
64avg 59
H08/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
47-98
47
98
-51
36avg 59
A14/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
60-97
60
97
-37
48avg 59
A21/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
78-110
78
110
-32
67avg 59
H06/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
85-75
85
75
+10
82avg 59
H13/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
73-108
73
108
-35
62avg 59
A20/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
73-83
73
83
-10
63avg 59
H23/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
58-87
58
87
-29
41avg 59
A27/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
64-91
64
91
-27
56avg 59
A10/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
13-14
10-23
19-23
16-22
21-26
20-14
15-24
11-13
11-23
17-32
8-30
4-28
13-18
26-28
17-23
25-29
25-26
10-22
18-33
20-16
22-27
22-19
21-13
16-20
22-27
23-30
12-31
20-30
17-12
15-23
21-18
15-28
21-24
11-20
11-15
12-26
19-28
21-22
12-15
159.7Avg total
67.4Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)67.390.9158.2-23.57%
Season at home (7)72.186.6158.7-14.414%
Season away (8)63.194.6157.8-31.50%
Last 10 (10)67.492.3159.7-24.910%
Last 5 (5)70.688.8159.4-18.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)68.888.9157.6-20.111%
vs Similar (2)85.076.0161.0+9.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
72avg 75
H11/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
82-79
82
79
+3
79avg 75
A14/11
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
76-91
76
91
-15
76avg 75
A07/12
BNXT League
Fyllingen
#25
W
88-80
88
80
+8
86avg 75
H10/12
ENBL
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
66avg 75
H14/12
BNXT League
Alkar
#21
W
90-71
90
71
+19
89avg 75
H16/12
ENBL
Mechelen
#8
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 75
A20/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
88-87
88
87
+1
82avg 75
A23/12
BNXT League
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
104-106
104
106
-2
103avg 75
A06/01
ENBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#22
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
A14/01
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
26-22
22-18
22-17
13-20
24-24
21-13
24-22
19-30
15-24
20-28
22-9
18-15
24-25
24-23
22-17
20-31
15-22
21-21
18-20
19-20
24-14
26-13
21-24
18-24
24-20
16-27
26-22
22-20
23-22
20-28
23-17
23-24
24-32
30-20
27-30
14-20
20-25
28-15
27-21
171.5Avg total
85.7Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.582.5163.9-1.054%
Season at home (5)82.473.6156.0+8.880%
Season away (8)80.988.0168.9-7.138%
Last 10 (10)85.785.8171.5-0.160%
Last 5 (5)91.087.6178.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)79.586.1165.6-6.540%
vs Similar (5)83.687.8171.4-4.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.974.6161.4+12.389%
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -7.1-7.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -7.1-7.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
BAL WeertDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BAL WeertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A01/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H08/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A14/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
17-46
17
46
-29
A21/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H06/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H13/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A20/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H23/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A27/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A10/01
BNXT League
81.0Avg total
34.5Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.443.879.2-8.413%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.744.480.1-8.86%-
Last 30 away (14)35.143.178.2-8.121%-
Last 10 (10)34.546.581.0-12.00%-
Last 5 (5)36.847.684.4-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)34.944.479.2-9.511%-
vs Similar (2)43.036.079.0+7.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H11/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/11
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A07/12
BNXT League
Fyllingen
#25
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/12
ENBL
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H14/12
BNXT League
Alkar
#21
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/12
ENBL
Mechelen
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A20/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A23/12
BNXT League
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A06/01
ENBL
Kapfenberg Bulls
#22
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A14/01
ENBL
85.0Avg total
39.7Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.682.0-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.039.378.3-0.354%-
Last 30 away (17)39.645.184.8-5.524%-
Last 10 (10)39.745.385.0-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.286.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.244.183.3-4.933%-
vs Similar (5)37.646.283.8-8.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.737.978.6+2.856%-
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BAL Weerttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BAL Weert: 66.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.815.0
45.7%
54.3%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.1
29.8%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.212.1
63.0%
72.4%12.1
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.5
55.1%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.9
33.1%
34.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.815.1
66.2%
72.4%15.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BAL Weert
LLLLWLLLLL
Donar Groningen
WLWLWLWLWW
#18
League position
#7
-32.6
Net rating
-6.0
86.3
Offensive rating
107.7
118.9
Defensive rating
113.7
45.2%
Effective FG%
52.8%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
21.0%
Turnover %
19.9%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.8%
3-point %
33.1%
64.1%
Assist %
65.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.3 · 107.7Defence118.9 · 113.7Shooting45.2% · 52.8%3-point %29.8% · 33.1%Ball care21.0% · 19.9%Off. rebounds21.5% · 33.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ BAL Weert   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BAL Weert wins
8
Donar Groningen wins
BAL Weertlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ALeuven Bears64-91
27/12/25AZwolle58-87
23/12/25HDen Helder73-83
20/12/25AOkapi Aalst73-108
13/12/25HRotterdam85-75
06/12/25HAntwerp Giants78-110
21/11/25ADen Bosch60-97
14/11/25AKortrijk47-98
08/11/25HLWD Basket72-86
01/11/25AOostende64-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AKapfenberg Bulls89-81
06/01/26ASyntainics MBC104-106
23/12/25ADen Bosch88-87
20/12/25AMechelen84-93
16/12/25HAlkar90-71
14/12/25HAntwerp Giants74-94
10/12/25HFyllingen88-80
07/12/25ABrussels Basketball76-91
14/11/25ALimburg82-79
11/11/25HLeuven Bears82-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BAL Weert
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL7%
HomeLLLWL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %7%14%0%
Points / game67.372.163.1
Allowed / game90.986.694.6
Point differential-23.5-14.4-31.5
Avg total158.2158.7157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW54%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %54%80%38%
Points / game81.582.480.9
Allowed / game82.573.688.0
Point differential-1.0+8.8-7.1
Avg total163.9156.0168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1513287%91.182.5+8.6
2 Antwerp Giants1613381%96.079.8+16.2
3 Okapi Aalst1611569%96.287.7+8.6
4 Kortrijk1611569%87.680.0+7.6
5 Mechelen1611569%80.680.8-0.2
6 Leiden1510567%90.880.8+10.0
7 Den Bosch1510567%87.682.1+5.5
8 Brussels Basketball159660%85.982.0+3.9
9 Limburg169756%90.479.6+10.8
10 Donar Groningen137654%81.582.5-1.0
11 Leuven Bears157847%81.579.5+2.1
12 Spirou Charleroi136746%82.289.6-7.5
13 Belfius Mons1551033%89.496.3-6.9
14 Zwolle1541127%79.383.6-4.3
15 Den Helder1431121%78.785.4-6.6
16 LWD Basket1431121%87.298.9-11.6
17 Rotterdam141137%77.695.5-17.9
18 BAL Weert151147%67.390.9-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BAL Weert1712172773
Donar Groningen1628222086
← all games of the day
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