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Mechelen vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 93-84
24-18 20-24 27-16 22-26
Position#8
Record8-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#7
Record6-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game81.1
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 12· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mechelen v Donar Groningen
11 Apr 2027
MECH v DGR
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
MECH93
DGR84
12 Apr 2025
MECH85
DGR62
19 Apr 2023
MECH74
DGR72
03 Jun 2022
MECH85
DGR89
30 Mar 2022
MECH86
DGR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
W
70-66
70
66
+4
70avg 72
H11/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
92-74
92
74
+18
75avg 72
A17/10
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-71
77
71
+6
68avg 72
A25/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
118-83
118
83
+35
120avg 72
H01/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
93-76
93
76
+17
84avg 72
A08/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants 2
#13
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
A12/11
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#13
L
57-81
57
81
-24
42avg 72
H15/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 72
H22/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
76-93
76
93
-17
57avg 72
A06/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
78avg 72
A13/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
12-15
21-13
15-16
21-24
18-28
26-9
27-13
19-16
17-19
22-17
19-19
26-27
35-20
27-13
30-23
26-19
21-18
22-15
24-24
28-22
26-12
24-17
14-16
11-15
16-20
15-16
15-30
20-22
25-21
16-16
24-22
23-23
10-30
22-17
21-23
23-13
23-16
19-19
11-20
159.6Avg total
83.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.875.4157.2+6.480%
Season at home (5)80.874.4155.2+6.480%
Season away (5)82.876.4159.2+6.480%
Last 10 (10)83.676.0159.6+7.680%
Last 5 (5)77.278.0155.2-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.184.4160.6-8.343%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.277.4156.6+1.860%
vs Weaker (10)87.072.8159.8+14.290%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
75avg 75
A24/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
86-59
86
59
+27
84avg 75
H28/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
91-97
91
97
-6
93avg 75
A04/11
ENBL
Leiden
#10
L
72-101
72
101
-29
68avg 75
A08/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
72avg 75
H11/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
82-79
82
79
+3
79avg 75
A14/11
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
76-91
76
91
-15
76avg 75
A07/12
BNXT League
Fyllingen
#25
W
88-80
88
80
+8
86avg 75
H10/12
ENBL
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
66avg 75
H14/12
BNXT League
Alkar
#21
W
90-71
90
71
+19
89avg 75
H16/12
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
21-7
20-27
18-25
18-15
21-15
29-19
18-10
23-33
21-17
23-20
24-27
21-19
10-31
22-28
19-23
12-19
26-22
22-18
22-17
13-20
24-24
21-13
24-22
19-30
15-24
20-28
22-9
18-15
24-25
24-23
22-17
20-31
15-22
21-21
18-20
19-20
24-14
26-13
21-24
164.5Avg total
81.7Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.681.1161.7-0.555%
Season at home (5)82.473.6156.0+8.880%
Season away (6)79.287.3166.5-8.233%
Last 10 (10)81.782.8164.5-1.150%
Last 5 (5)82.083.0165.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.483.9160.3-7.636%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.081.2166.2+3.867%
vs Weaker (9)85.174.2159.3+10.978%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
MechelenDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A17/10
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A25/10
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H01/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A08/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants 2
#13
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A12/11
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#13
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H15/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H22/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A06/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A13/12
BNXT League
82.4Avg total
42.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.083.1-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.842.584.2-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)40.241.581.7-1.343%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.282.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.879.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.945.784.6-6.821%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.839.680.4+1.240%-
vs Weaker (10)42.838.981.7+3.960%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A24/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H28/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/11
ENBL
Leiden
#10
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H11/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/11
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A07/12
BNXT League
Fyllingen
#25
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/12
ENBL
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H14/12
BNXT League
Alkar
#21
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/12
ENBL
80.5Avg total
38.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.080.2-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.338.377.6+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)39.143.782.9-4.627%-
Last 10 (10)38.142.480.5-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.245.083.2-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.742.581.2-3.836%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.243.081.2-4.833%-
vs Weaker (9)40.837.077.8+3.856%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.2
51.5%
54.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.3
34.8%
34.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.216.5
77.8%
72.4%16.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.0
54.3%
54.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.7
33.1%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.416.6
68.0%
72.4%16.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WLWLWWWWWW
Donar Groningen
WLWLWWLLWL
#8
League position
#7
+8.7
Net rating
-2.2
109.3
Offensive rating
103.9
100.6
Defensive rating
106.1
51.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
23.1%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.40
34.8%
3-point %
33.1%
50.9%
Assist %
69.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 103.9Defence100.6 · 106.1Shooting51.7% · 52.3%3-point %34.8% · 33.1%Ball care17.0% · 23.1%Off. rebounds28.5% · 34.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Mechelen   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mechelen wins
3
Donar Groningen wins
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25ADen Helder76-68
06/12/25AOkapi Aalst76-93
22/11/25HLimburg85-81
15/11/25HLeuven Bears57-81
12/11/25AAntwerp Giants 292-67
08/11/25ABelfius Mons93-76
01/11/25HSpirou Charleroi118-83
25/10/25ABAL Weert77-71
17/10/25ARotterdam92-74
11/10/25HZwolle70-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25HAlkar90-71
14/12/25HAntwerp Giants74-94
10/12/25HFyllingen88-80
07/12/25ABrussels Basketball76-91
14/11/25ALimburg82-79
11/11/25HLeuven Bears82-76
08/11/25ALeiden72-101
04/11/25AVoluntari91-97
28/10/25HRotterdam86-59
24/10/25AKortrijk76-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW80%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game81.880.882.8
Allowed / game75.474.476.4
Point differential+6.4+6.4+6.4
Avg total157.2155.2159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL55%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game80.682.479.2
Allowed / game81.173.687.3
Point differential-0.5+8.8-8.2
Avg total161.7156.0166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants1211192%98.176.8+21.2
2 Oostende1211192%89.880.1+9.8
3 Mechelen108280%81.875.4+6.4
4 Leiden129375%92.379.9+12.4
5 Brussels Basketball129375%87.981.8+6.1
6 Den Bosch117464%87.582.2+5.3
7 Okapi Aalst117464%92.688.0+4.6
8 Kortrijk127558%85.581.2+4.2
9 Donar Groningen116555%80.681.1-0.5
10 Limburg126650%86.479.0+7.4
11 Belfius Mons125742%91.095.1-4.1
12 Spirou Charleroi125742%81.089.5-8.5
13 Leuven Bears124833%78.883.4-4.6
14 Zwolle123925%79.284.0-4.8
15 LWD Basket123925%88.797.2-8.5
16 Den Helder1221017%78.886.5-7.7
17 BAL Weert111109%67.590.4-22.9
18 Rotterdam121118%78.894.8-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen2420272293
Donar Groningen1824162684
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