PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Donar Groningen vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 82-76
12-19 26-22 22-18 22-17
Position#7
Record4-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#13
Record2-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game88.7
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 9· MartiniPlaza
Other2025-26
Meetings · Donar Groningen v Leuven Bears
06 Oct 2026
DGR81
LEUV78
11 Nov 2025
DGR82
LEUV76
26 Jan 2025
DGR82
LEUV76
02 Apr 2022
DGR68
LEUV72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donar Groningen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
87avg 74
A27/09
BNXT League
Tal Tech
#14
W
93-71
93
71
+22
92avg 74
H01/10
ENBL
BAL Weert
#18
W
85-61
85
61
+24
79avg 74
H04/10
BNXT League
Bristol Flyers
#19
W
70-69
70
69
+1
62avg 74
A08/10
ENBL
Oostende
#2
L
76-86
76
86
-10
70avg 74
A11/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
94avg 74
H18/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
75avg 74
A24/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
86-59
86
59
+27
84avg 74
H28/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
91-97
91
97
-6
93avg 74
A04/11
ENBL
Leiden
#10
L
72-101
72
101
-29
68avg 74
A08/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
21-18
28-32
25-15
27-14
29-24
20-16
17-17
17-24
17-10
22-17
29-10
23-16
21-21
11-13
15-19
25-22
15-24
16-20
20-20
17-19
19-25
27-17
22-17
17-21
21-7
20-27
18-25
18-15
21-15
29-19
18-10
23-33
21-17
23-20
24-27
21-19
10-31
22-28
19-23
161.6Avg total
82.7Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.978.9160.7+3.057%
Season at home (3)85.366.0151.3+19.3100%
Season away (4)79.288.5167.8-9.225%
Last 10 (10)82.778.9161.6+3.860%
Last 5 (5)82.083.0165.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.785.1160.8-9.429%
vs Similar ◀ (4)88.080.0168.0+8.075%
vs Weaker (8)85.073.5158.5+11.575%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 73
A13/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 73
H15/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 73
A17/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
L
69-71
69
71
-2
57avg 73
A26/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
74avg 73
H04/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
52-104
52
104
-52
40avg 73
H11/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
59avg 73
A17/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-96 OT
100
96
+4
93avg 73
H25/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
87-83 OT
87
83
+4
76avg 73
A02/11
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 73
H08/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
24-21
18-19
20-19
20-20
27-24
29-24
14-15
20-23
13-24
17-27
29-13
13-19
18-14
19-10
19-28
22-27
23-19
14-16
23-20
16-24
13-27
12-25
11-28
25-11
13-24
17-31
20-18
11-17
31-28
21-15
20-23
18-16
22-27
23-20
12-12
21-20
17-24
23-18
22-26
168.5Avg total
80.8Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.688.7168.3-9.129%
Season at home (4)81.595.8177.2-14.225%
Season away (3)77.079.3156.3-2.333%
Last 10 (10)80.887.7168.5-6.930%
Last 5 (5)79.491.0170.4-11.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.280.8147.0-14.717%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.180.9164.0+2.347%
vs Weaker (9)84.372.6156.9+11.878%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
Donar GroningenLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/09
BNXT League
Tal Tech
#14
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H01/10
ENBL
BAL Weert
#18
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H04/10
BNXT League
Bristol Flyers
#19
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A08/10
ENBL
Oostende
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A11/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H18/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A24/10
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H28/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/11
ENBL
Leiden
#10
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/11
BNXT League
79.9Avg total
40.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.980.2-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.138.578.6+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)38.742.881.5-4.135%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.779.9+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.478.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.642.781.3-4.141%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.240.880.0-1.550%-
vs Weaker (8)40.936.977.8+4.050%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A13/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H15/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/05
Pro Basketball League
Kortrijk
#4
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A26/09
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H04/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H11/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A17/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H25/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A02/11
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H08/11
BNXT League
82.3Avg total
38.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.478.9+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.540.782.2+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)37.538.175.6-0.533%-
Last 10 (10)38.743.682.3-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.681.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.240.373.5-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.142.182.2-1.933%-
vs Weaker (9)42.834.277.0+8.667%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.2
54.2%
54.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.2
33.7%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.015.5
73.8%
72.4%15.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.7
53.6%
54.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.2
30.4%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws26.517.0
64.2%
72.4%17.0
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donar Groningen
LLWLWLWWWW
Leuven Bears
LWWLLLLLWL
#7
League position
#13
+4.1
Net rating
-9.1
105.2
Offensive rating
105.0
101.0
Defensive rating
114.0
52.6%
Effective FG%
50.6%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
22.5%
Turnover %
18.9%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.43
33.7%
3-point %
30.4%
67.3%
Assist %
50.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 105.0Defence101.0 · 114.0Shooting52.6% · 50.6%3-point %33.7% · 30.4%Ball care22.5% · 18.9%Off. rebounds33.0% · 33.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Donar Groningen   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Donar Groningen wins
3
Leuven Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25ALeiden72-101
04/11/25AVoluntari91-97
28/10/25HRotterdam86-59
24/10/25AKortrijk76-80
18/10/25HOkapi Aalst85-78
11/10/25AOostende76-86
08/10/25ABristol Flyers70-69
04/10/25HBAL Weert85-61
01/10/25HTal Tech93-71
27/09/25ABelfius Mons93-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HBrussels Basketball83-88
02/11/25AZwolle87-83 OT
25/10/25HLWD Basket100-96 OT
17/10/25ALimburg75-84
11/10/25HAntwerp Giants52-104
04/10/25HSpirou Charleroi91-95 OT
26/09/25AKortrijk69-71
17/05/25AKortrijk79-87
15/05/25HKortrijk90-83
13/05/25AKortrijk82-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game81.985.379.2
Allowed / game78.966.088.5
Point differential+3.0+19.3-9.2
Avg total160.7151.3167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL29%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game79.681.577.0
Allowed / game88.795.879.3
Point differential-9.1-14.2-2.3
Avg total168.3177.2156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %43%50%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen660100%87.371.8+15.5
2 Oostende770100%91.678.7+12.9
3 Antwerp Giants76186%98.673.6+25.0
4 Leiden76186%93.975.6+18.3
5 Den Bosch64267%85.882.8+3.0
6 Okapi Aalst85362%92.888.1+4.6
7 Limburg74357%87.678.4+9.1
8 Donar Groningen74357%81.978.9+3.0
9 Brussels Basketball74357%87.486.1+1.3
10 Belfius Mons74357%88.091.0-3.0
11 Spirou Charleroi74357%83.388.4-5.1
12 Kortrijk73443%85.487.4-2.0
13 Zwolle72529%77.781.4-3.7
14 Leuven Bears72529%79.688.7-9.1
15 Den Helder71614%79.689.7-10.1
16 LWD Basket81712%86.899.9-13.1
17 BAL Weert7070%67.487.7-20.3
18 Rotterdam7070%72.995.1-22.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Donar Groningen1226222282
Leuven Bears1922181776
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.