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Balkan vs Academic Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 104-83
23-20 31-22 25-27 25-14
Position#2
Record1-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game83.5
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Academic Plovdiv
Bulgaria
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game77.3
BulgariaNBLRound 4· Arena Botevgrad
Other2024-25
Meetings · Balkan v Academic Plovdiv
05 Oct 2025
BAL87
ACAD66
22 Mar 2025
BAL66
ACAD75
27 Oct 2024
BAL104
ACAD83
16 Feb 2024
BAL86
ACAD85
10 Dec 2022
BAL89
ACAD59
09 May 2022
BAL61
ACAD55
03 May 2022
BAL80
ACAD73
05 Mar 2022
BAL79
ACAD63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academic Plovdiv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#2
W
94-78
94
78
+16
92avg 70
H15/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
62-75
62
75
-13
49avg 70
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
97-102
97
102
-5
88avg 70
A25/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
69-68
69
68
+1
59avg 70
H28/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
60avg 70
H30/05
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
91-92
91
92
-1
79avg 70
H06/10
NBL
Bilbao
#2
L
55-95
55
95
-40
46avg 70
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#3
W
80-75
80
75
+5
65avg 70
A13/10
NBL
BC Prievidza
#10
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 70
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kutaisi
#28
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 70
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
21-11
27-26
20-18
30-12
15-19
4-26
13-18
27-26
23-24
24-24
23-28
20-14
20-23
17-21
12-10
18-18
9-12
21-20
21-31
16-25
27-20
33-20
15-27
16-27
13-17
17-18
9-33
20-18
20-13
24-19
16-25
11-26
17-23
18-23
24-17
19-11
17-17
25-29
17-29
160.6Avg total
76.5Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.583.5169.0+2.050%
Season at home (1)91.092.0183.0-1.00%
Season away (1)80.075.0155.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.584.1160.6-7.630%
Last 5 (5)74.887.4162.2-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.183.6158.7-8.540%
vs Similar (10)82.175.7157.8+6.470%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)88.081.0169.0+7.075%
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Minyor
#10
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 75
A24/03
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
113-83
113
83
+30
120avg 75
A30/03
NBL
Levski
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
71avg 75
A04/04
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
67avg 75
A10/04
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 75
H13/04
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
81-78
81
78
+3
78avg 75
H19/04
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
125-92
125
92
+33
136avg 75
H23/04
NBL
Levski
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
80avg 75
H07/10
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
73-85
73
85
-12
72avg 75
A14/10
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
67-64
67
64
+3
64avg 75
H18/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
18-24
27-23
19-18
28-14
33-23
29-24
23-22
14-18
20-19
20-17
19-27
24-25
21-22
22-21
13-20
29-19
14-19
9-18
22-16
21-18
22-13
17-18
21-29
39-21
34-27
29-23
23-21
22-24
26-20
23-19
13-20
15-30
20-17
18-12
20-26
18-23
16-5
20-17
13-19
166.8Avg total
85.8Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.777.3152.0-2.767%
Season at home (2)75.573.5149.0+2.0100%
Season away (1)73.085.0158.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)85.881.0166.8+4.870%
Last 5 (5)86.080.4166.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.079.4151.4-7.438%
vs Similar (15)79.583.1162.6-3.540%
vs Weaker (6)100.588.0188.5+12.583%
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -6.6-6.6Q4: -3.2-3.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -6.6-6.6Q4: -3.2-3.2
BalkanAcademic Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#2
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H15/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A25/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H30/05
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H06/10
NBL
Bilbao
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#3
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A13/10
NBL
BC Prievidza
#10
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kutaisi
#28
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
76.4Avg total
38.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.180.1-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.737.777.4+2.065%-
Last 30 away (13)40.443.383.7-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.976.4+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.474.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.641.278.8-3.640%-
vs Similar (10)42.939.081.9+3.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.240.883.0+1.575%-
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minyor
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A24/03
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
61-37
61
37
+24
A30/03
NBL
Levski
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/04
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A10/04
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H13/04
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H19/04
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H23/04
NBL
Levski
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H07/10
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A14/10
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H18/10
NBL
85.8Avg total
45.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.184.2+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.139.483.5+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)40.144.784.9-4.67%-
Last 10 (10)45.840.085.8+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.686.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.540.877.2-4.225%-
vs Similar (15)41.340.781.9+0.633%-
vs Weaker (6)53.547.0100.5+6.583%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.7
54.9%
53.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.5
28.4%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
71.3%13.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academic Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academic Plovdiv: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.5
59.1%
53.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.7
36.6%
32.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.111.7
68.4%
71.3%11.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
LLWLLLWLLW
Academic Plovdiv
WLWWWWLLWW
#2
League position
#5
-9.7
Net rating
+6.0
101.9
Offensive rating
110.1
111.6
Defensive rating
104.1
49.7%
Effective FG%
57.2%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
17.2%
Turnover %
20.2%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.4%
3-point %
36.6%
56.6%
Assist %
70.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 110.1Defence111.6 · 104.1Shooting49.7% · 57.2%3-point %28.4% · 36.6%Ball care17.2% · 20.2%Off. rebounds26.5% · 30.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Balkan   ■ Academic Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Balkan wins
3
Academic Plovdiv wins
DateGameScore
16/02/24Balkan v Academic Plovdiv86-85
09/12/23Academic Plovdiv v Balkan75-73
22/04/23Academic Plovdiv v Balkan67-74
13/02/23Academic Plovdiv v Balkan70-74
10/12/22Balkan v Academic Plovdiv89-59
09/05/22Balkan v Academic Plovdiv61-55
06/05/22Academic Plovdiv v Balkan87-72
03/05/22Balkan v Academic Plovdiv80-73
03/04/22Academic Plovdiv v Balkan70-65
05/03/22Balkan v Academic Plovdiv79-63
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/24HKutaisi78-86
16/10/24HBC Prievidza70-89
13/10/24ACherno More80-75
09/10/24ABilbao55-95
06/10/24HBeroe91-92
30/05/24HRilski Sportist69-81
28/05/24HRilski Sportist69-68
25/05/24ARilski Sportist97-102
23/05/24ARilski Sportist62-75
15/05/24HChernomorets94-78
Academic Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/24HCherno More67-64
14/10/24ABeroe73-85
07/10/24HLevski84-83
23/04/24HBeroe125-92
19/04/24HMinyor81-78
13/04/24HYambol74-72
10/04/24AShumen80-88
04/04/24ALevski73-81
30/03/24ABeroe113-83
24/03/24AMinyor88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game85.591.080.0
Allowed / game83.592.075.0
Point differential+2.0-1.0+5.0
Avg total169.0183.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Academic Plovdiv
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game74.775.573.0
Allowed / game77.373.585.0
Point differential-2.7+2.0-12.0
Avg total152.0149.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist440100%92.871.5+21.2
2 Beroe43175%84.091.5-7.5
3 Academic Plovdiv32167%74.777.3-2.7
4 Balkan21150%85.583.5+2.0
5 Spartak Pleven21150%85.087.0-2.0
6 Cherno More31233%76.076.0+0.0
7 Levski31233%81.083.0-2.0
8 Minyor31233%80.083.3-3.3
9 Shumen4040%84.292.0-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan23312525104
Academic Plovdiv2022271483
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