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Balkan vs Rilski Sportist Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 69-68
20-14 20-23 17-21 12-10
Position#4
Record26-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.6
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Position#1
Record31-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game75.2
BulgariaNBLNBL - Final· Arena Botevgrad
Other2023-24
Meetings · Balkan v Rilski Sportist
04 Dec 2026
BAL v RSP
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
BAL79
RSP78
26 Oct 2025
BAL75
RSP70
15 Mar 2025
BAL94
RSP83
09 Nov 2024
BAL68
RSP76
30 May 2024
BAL69
RSP81
28 May 2024
BAL69
RSP68
31 Mar 2024
BAL86
RSP79
28 Oct 2023
BAL81
RSP70
28 Dec 2022
BAL68
RSP83
03 Oct 2022
BAL60
RSP70
09 Jun 2022
BAL66
RSP54
07 Jun 2022
BAL88
RSP65
18 Feb 2022
BAL74
RSP73
14 Dec 2020
BAL80
RSP87
18 Mar 2020
BAL v RSP
upcoming
08 Feb 2020
BAL82
RSP75
26 Oct 2019
BAL85
RSP83
16 Mar 2019
BAL91
RSP80
13 Oct 2018
BAL89
RSP90
24 Apr 2018
BAL92
RSP80
10 Feb 2018
BAL83
RSP78
29 Apr 2017
BAL100
RSP75
18 Dec 2016
BAL85
RSP72
05 Mar 2016
BAL93
RSP80
19 Dec 2015
BAL99
RSP97
19 May 2015
BAL84
RSP65
11 May 2015
BAL72
RSP77
09 May 2015
BAL91
RSP66
25 Apr 2015
BAL82
RSP85
05 Dec 2014
BAL120
RSP90
23 Mar 2014
BAL97
RSP74
02 Mar 2014
BAL90
RSP96
05 Jan 2014
BAL90
RSP70
30 May 2013
BAL75
RSP88
23 May 2013
BAL84
RSP76
21 Oct 2012
BAL93
RSP67
11 Feb 2012
BAL72
RSP58
05 Nov 2011
BAL62
RSP84
04 Feb 2011
BAL84
RSP70
10 Nov 2010
BAL71
RSP65
31 Oct 2010
BAL73
RSP61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rilski Sportist winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
62-89
62
89
-27
50avg 71
A23/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
91-76
91
76
+15
90avg 71
H29/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
71avg 71
A01/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
94-74
94
74
+20
94avg 71
H03/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 71
A08/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
57-70
57
70
-13
47avg 71
A10/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
82-79
82
79
+3
75avg 71
H13/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
94-78
94
78
+16
92avg 71
H15/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
62-75
62
75
-13
49avg 71
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
97-102
97
102
-5
88avg 71
A25/05
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
18-20
9-26
22-20
18-26
29-13
26-25
18-12
16-26
18-21
20-21
23-14
31-4
19-24
22-21
22-25
25-22
14-16
22-21
23-20
14-18
12-18
18-19
13-15
19-17
25-23
12-17
26-22
26-23
21-11
27-26
20-18
30-12
15-19
4-26
13-18
27-26
23-24
24-24
23-28
160.4Avg total
80.0Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)81.878.6160.4+3.263%
Season at home (20)85.076.3161.2+8.790%
Season away (21)78.980.8159.7-2.038%
Last 10 (10)80.080.4160.4-0.450%
Last 5 (5)78.480.8159.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.785.4163.1-7.643%
vs Similar (9)82.375.8158.1+6.667%
vs Weaker (6)86.371.8158.2+14.5100%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Balkan
#4
W
89-62
89
62
+27
93avg 81
H23/04
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
113-60
113
60
+53
119avg 81
H29/04
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
96-67
96
67
+29
90avg 81
A01/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
95-84
95
84
+11
86avg 81
H07/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
71-77
71
77
-6
55avg 81
H09/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 81
A12/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
81-83
81
83
-2
83avg 81
A14/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
84-52
84
52
+32
80avg 81
H17/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
75-62
75
62
+13
71avg 81
H23/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
102-97
102
97
+5
99avg 81
H25/05
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
20-18
26-9
20-22
25-16
34-16
26-10
28-18
25-8
27-27
28-13
16-19
21-23
25-25
31-18
18-18
22-21
15-12
16-27
18-17
20-20
27-18
15-20
28-24
22-19
20-19
21-26
18-19
25-20
10-14
18-12
31-6
12-30
19-15
26-4
18-13
26-27
24-23
24-24
28-23
162.2Avg total
89.6Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)86.175.2161.3+10.976%
Season at home (22)86.472.5158.9+14.091%
Season away (19)85.778.3164.1+7.458%
Last 10 (10)89.672.6162.2+17.080%
Last 5 (5)86.475.2161.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.075.0148.0-2.00%
vs Similar (2)83.583.0166.5+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)89.075.0164.0+14.085%
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +4.4+4.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +4.4+4.4
BalkanRilski Sportist
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A23/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A01/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H03/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A08/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A10/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H15/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A25/05
NBL
79.9Avg total
41.3Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.282.6+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.138.480.5+3.773%-
Last 30 away (15)40.744.184.7-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.679.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.280.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.343.984.2-3.636%-
vs Similar (9)43.239.983.1+3.356%-
vs Weaker (6)41.838.380.2+3.583%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#4
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H23/04
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
59-32
59
32
+27
H29/04
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A01/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H07/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H09/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A12/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A14/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H17/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H23/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H25/05
NBL
82.6Avg total
44.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.338.983.2+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.238.182.3+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)44.439.984.3+4.664%-
Last 10 (10)44.238.482.6+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.082.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.037.067.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (2)40.540.080.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.239.284.3+6.073%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.918.2
57.1%
54.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.0
31.5%
31.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.915.4
70.3%
71.1%15.4
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.023.4
60.0%
54.3%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.8
33.9%
31.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.018.8
81.7%
71.1%18.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
LLWWLWWLWL
Rilski Sportist
WWWLWLWWWW
#4
League position
#1
-1.1
Net rating
+23.0
104.1
Offensive rating
115.1
105.1
Defensive rating
92.1
52.4%
Effective FG%
56.6%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.3%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.5%
3-point %
33.9%
63.2%
Assist %
56.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 115.1Defence105.1 · 92.1Shooting52.4% · 56.6%3-point %31.5% · 33.9%Ball care17.8% · 18.3%Off. rebounds22.8% · 27.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Balkan   ■ Rilski Sportist
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Balkan wins
8
Rilski Sportist wins
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/24ARilski Sportist97-102
23/05/24ARilski Sportist62-75
15/05/24HChernomorets94-78
13/05/24HChernomorets82-79
10/05/24AChernomorets57-70
08/05/24AChernomorets84-79
03/05/24HCSKA Sofia94-74
01/05/24ACSKA Sofia77-82
29/04/24HCSKA Sofia91-76
23/04/24ARilski Sportist62-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/24HBalkan102-97
23/05/24HBalkan75-62
17/05/24HSpartak Pleven84-52
14/05/24ASpartak Pleven81-83
12/05/24ASpartak Pleven90-82
09/05/24HSpartak Pleven71-77
07/05/24HSpartak Pleven95-84
01/05/24AShumen96-67
29/04/24HShumen113-60
23/04/24HBalkan89-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL63%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %63%90%38%
Points / game81.885.078.9
Allowed / game78.676.380.8
Point differential+3.2+8.7-2.0
Avg total160.4161.2159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%45%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)100% (6)33% (9)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Rilski Sportist
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayWLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412219
Win %76%91%58%
Points / game86.186.485.7
Allowed / game75.272.578.3
Point differential+10.9+14.0+7.4
Avg total161.3158.9164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)100% (7)29% (7)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist41311076%86.175.2+10.9
2 Chernomorets41301173%83.975.8+8.1
3 Spartak Pleven43281565%85.379.7+5.5
4 Balkan41261563%81.878.6+3.2
5 CSKA Sofia35161946%83.383.3+0.0
6 Shumen34151944%84.583.6+0.9
7 Levski34142041%75.677.7-2.1
8 Academic Plovdiv32131941%81.984.4-2.5
9 Yambol32122038%79.584.7-5.2
10 Minyor32112134%77.481.5-4.1
11 Cherno More35122334%81.189.2-8.1
12 Beroe3282425%80.594.6-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan2020171269
Rilski Sportist1423211068
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