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Balkan vs Beroe Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 91-92
16-25 27-20 33-20 15-27
Position#2
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Balkan
Bulgaria
vs
Beroe 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#6
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BulgariaNBLRound 1· Arena Botevgrad
Other2024-25
Meetings · Balkan v Beroe
27 Mar 2027
BAL v BERO
upcoming
13 Feb 2026
BAL94
BERO74
02 Mar 2025
BAL77
BERO74
06 Oct 2024
BAL91
BERO92
03 Feb 2024
BAL97
BERO60
02 May 2023
BAL89
BERO78
01 Apr 2023
BAL82
BERO83
18 Jan 2023
BAL105
BERO71
21 Mar 2022
BAL85
BERO76
10 Jan 2022
BAL106
BERO78
01 May 2021
BAL82
BERO67
21 Apr 2021
BAL94
BERO58
20 Mar 2021
BAL106
BERO84
14 Nov 2020
BAL72
BERO79
25 Mar 2020
BAL v BERO
upcoming
09 Nov 2019
BAL86
BERO94
13 May 2019
BAL110
BERO91
11 May 2019
BAL96
BERO101
08 Dec 2018
BAL82
BERO90
12 Nov 2017
BAL87
BERO80
10 Dec 2016
BAL84
BERO65
27 Feb 2016
BAL72
BERO80
12 Dec 2015
BAL93
BERO70
14 Mar 2015
BAL79
BERO65
29 Dec 2014
BAL134
BERO76
15 Feb 2014
BAL86
BERO70
06 Apr 2013
BAL96
BERO87
02 Feb 2013
BAL84
BERO68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beroe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
71avg 71
A01/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
94-74
94
74
+20
94avg 71
H03/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 71
A08/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
57-70
57
70
-13
47avg 71
A10/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
82-79
82
79
+3
75avg 71
H13/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
94-78
94
78
+16
92avg 71
H15/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
62-75
62
75
-13
49avg 71
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
97-102
97
102
-5
88avg 71
A25/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
69-68
69
68
+1
59avg 71
H28/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
60avg 71
H30/05
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
18-21
20-21
23-14
31-4
19-24
22-21
22-25
25-22
14-16
22-21
23-20
14-18
12-18
18-19
13-15
19-17
25-23
12-17
26-22
26-23
21-11
27-26
20-18
30-12
15-19
4-26
13-18
27-26
23-24
24-24
23-28
20-14
20-23
17-21
12-10
18-18
9-12
21-20
21-31
157.3Avg total
78.5Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.578.8157.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)78.280.8159.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.184.5160.5-8.440%
vs Similar (9)82.375.8158.1+6.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.672.8159.4+13.8100%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
L
84-101
84
101
-17
58avg 70
A02/03
NBL
Levski
#7
L
59-90
59
90
-31
46avg 70
A06/03
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
81-106
81
106
-25
65avg 70
A10/03
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
74-122
74
122
-48
59avg 70
A21/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
83-113
83
113
-30
74avg 70
H30/03
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
91-104
91
104
-13
76avg 70
H06/04
NBL
Levski
#7
L
70-115
70
115
-45
56avg 70
H10/04
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
66-113
66
113
-47
54avg 70
H13/04
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
81-123
81
123
-42
66avg 70
H19/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
92-125
92
125
-33
72avg 70
A23/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
17-23
16-24
23-27
16-23
4-23
19-25
20-19
21-28
17-21
20-33
23-24
18-31
25-25
20-28
11-38
14-28
23-33
24-29
22-23
30-26
26-29
22-26
13-23
22-25
18-30
18-29
12-31
17-30
15-23
18-24
16-36
22-25
20-29
17-34
22-35
21-39
27-34
23-29
21-23
189.3Avg total
78.1Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.1111.2189.3-33.10%
Last 5 (5)80.0116.0196.0-36.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)80.495.5175.9-15.123%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -8.4-8.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -9.6-9.6
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -8.4-8.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -9.6-9.6
BalkanBeroe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A01/05
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H03/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A08/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A10/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H13/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H15/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A25/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H30/05
NBL
77.3Avg total
40.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.181.8-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.037.978.9+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)40.444.885.1-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.177.3+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.478.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.243.182.3-3.933%-
vs Similar (9)43.239.983.1+3.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.239.280.4+2.080%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A02/03
NBL
Levski
#7
L
20-46
20
46
-26
A06/03
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/03
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A21/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
37-61
37
61
-24
H30/03
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H06/04
NBL
Levski
#7
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H10/04
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H13/04
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H19/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
48-73
48
73
-25
A23/04
NBL
95.3Avg total
40.1Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.348.488.7-8.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.146.188.2-4.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.550.689.1-12.17%-
Last 10 (10)40.155.295.3-15.110%-
Last 5 (5)43.658.0101.6-14.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)40.348.488.7-8.123%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.617.7
57.8%
53.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.7
30.0%
32.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.416.0
71.4%
71.3%16.0
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.0
46.4%
53.9%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.310.7
31.2%
32.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws14.111.2
79.4%
71.3%11.2
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
LWLLWWLWWL
Beroe
LLLLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#6
-0.4
Net rating
-39.1
104.7
Offensive rating
91.8
105.1
Defensive rating
130.9
51.6%
Effective FG%
46.6%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
60.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.20
30.0%
3-point %
31.2%
61.4%
Assist %
45.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 91.8Defence105.1 · 130.9Shooting51.6% · 46.6%3-point %30.0% · 31.2%Ball care17.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds23.6% · 22.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Balkan   ■ Beroe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Balkan wins
3
Beroe wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24Balkan v Beroe97-60
29/11/23Beroe v Balkan75-74
05/05/23Beroe v Balkan72-91
02/05/23Balkan v Beroe89-78
01/04/23Balkan v Beroe82-83
18/01/23Balkan v Beroe105-71
04/11/22Beroe v Balkan85-86
21/03/22Balkan v Beroe85-76
10/01/22Balkan v Beroe106-78
23/10/21Beroe v Balkan92-87
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/24HRilski Sportist69-81
28/05/24HRilski Sportist69-68
25/05/24ARilski Sportist97-102
23/05/24ARilski Sportist62-75
15/05/24HChernomorets94-78
13/05/24HChernomorets82-79
10/05/24AChernomorets57-70
08/05/24AChernomorets84-79
03/05/24HCSKA Sofia94-74
01/05/24ACSKA Sofia77-82
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/24AAcademic Plovdiv92-125
19/04/24HShumen81-123
13/04/24HMinyor66-113
10/04/24HLevski70-115
06/04/24HYambol91-104
30/03/24HAcademic Plovdiv83-113
21/03/24AShumen74-122
10/03/24AMinyor81-106
06/03/24ALevski59-90
02/03/24AYambol84-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Beroe
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist110100%99.081.0+18.0
2 Minyor110100%90.074.0+16.0
3 Shumen1010%74.090.0-16.0
4 Spartak Pleven1010%81.099.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan1627331591
Beroe2520202792
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