Balkan vs Levski Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 77-68

24-15 19-24 19-20 15-9

Position#1

Record16-6

FormWLLWL

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game75.1

Balkan 🏆

Levski

Position#6

Record12-10

FormLLWWW

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game77.0

NBLRound 26

Other2022-23

Meetings · Balkan v Levski

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Levski winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Balkan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chernomorets

83-93

-10

A23/01

NBL

Yambol

98-76

+22

H28/01

NBL

Cherno More

#10

88-85

A04/02

NBL

Shumen

#11

109-80

109

+29

H08/02

NBL

Academic Plovdiv

74-70

A13/02

NBL

Spartak Pleven

88-81 OT

A17/02

NBL

Rilski Sportist

76-77 OT

-1

A11/03

NBL

CSKA Sofia

71-81

-10

H15/03

NBL

Yambol

97-66

+31

H21/03

Bulgarian Cup

CSKA Sofia

80-82 OT

-2

A22/03

Bulgarian Cup

18-28

22-32

19-22

24-11

27-19

28-23

27-15

16-19

32-23

18-23

19-18

19-21

30-18

26-23

22-14

31-25

20-18

18-17

15-19

21-16

12-20

19-18

20-23

24-14

22-27

23-10

15-20

5-8

16-27

15-19

23-12

17-23

31-14

24-17

19-14

23-21

22-14

16-20

8-21

26-17

165.5Avg total

86.4Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	85.2	75.1	160.3	+10.0	73%
Season at home (11)	88.4	73.3	161.6	+15.1	82%
Season away (11)	82.0	77.0	159.0	+5.0	64%
Last 10 (10)	86.4	79.1	165.5	+7.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	77.4	159.8	+5.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	74.9	78.9	153.8	-4.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	86.3	74.3	160.6	+12.0	80%

This opponent (Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Levski

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Yambol

69-86

-17

A12/02

NBL

Shumen

#11

78-67

+11

A16/02

NBL

Bashkimi

79-84

-5

H21/02

BIBL

Peja

74-86

-12

H01/03

BIBL

Rilski Sportist

70-81

-11

A04/03

NBL

Spartak Pleven

85-86

-1

H11/03

NBL

Peja

0-20

-20

A16/03

BIBL

Beroe

85-78

H21/03

Bulgarian Cup

Chernomorets

77-73

A22/03

Bulgarian Cup

CSKA Sofia

86-81

H24/03

Bulgarian Cup

22-24

16-29

13-18

18-15

17-17

25-13

21-12

15-25

17-17

26-24

14-16

22-27

17-23

12-23

21-20

24-20

17-11

15-26

21-18

17-26

24-20

24-15

20-23

17-28

–

23-14

22-20

18-15

22-29

25-11

17-27

18-19

17-16

20-27

24-15

24-14

18-25

144.5Avg total

70.3Scored

74.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	78.7	77.0	155.6	+1.7	55%
Season at home (11)	84.5	75.9	160.5	+8.6	73%
Season away (11)	72.8	78.0	150.8	-5.2	36%
Last 10 (10)	70.3	74.2	144.5	-3.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	66.6	67.6	134.2	-1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	68.1	77.5	145.6	-9.5	18%
vs Similar (7)	80.1	80.3	160.4	-0.1	57%
vs Weaker (11)	83.4	72.1	155.5	+11.3	82%

This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BalkanLevski

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.2	40.6	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	17.8	40.4	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.5	40.9	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.2	18.9	41.0	+3.3	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.1	19.3	40.4	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.3	45%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.6	38.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.9	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.3	20.4	38.7	-2.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.0	18.1	41.1	+4.9	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.3	36.5	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.4	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.6	19.6	39.2	-0.1	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	55%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	61%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.5	45%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	15.3	20.4	35.7	-5.1	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.9	18.7	41.6	+4.1	86%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.5	20.2	42.7	+2.4	64%	-

BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chernomorets

40-60

-20

A23/01

NBL

Yambol

55-42

+13

H28/01

NBL

Cherno More

#10

50-46

A04/02

NBL

Shumen

#11

56-41

+15

H08/02

NBL

Academic Plovdiv

38-35

A13/02

NBL

Spartak Pleven

31-38

-7

A17/02

NBL

Rilski Sportist

45-37

A11/03

NBL

CSKA Sofia

31-46

-15

H15/03

NBL

Yambol

55-31

+24

H21/03

Bulgarian Cup

CSKA Sofia

38-34

A22/03

Bulgarian Cup

84.9Avg total

43.9Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	38.7	79.4	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.9	37.5	81.4	+6.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	39.8	77.4	-2.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	41.0	84.9	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	37.2	77.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	36.9	40.0	76.9	-3.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.8	38.5	80.2	+3.3	65%	-

This opponent (Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LevskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Yambol

38-53

-15

A12/02

NBL

Shumen

#11

42-30

+12

A16/02

NBL

Bashkimi

43-41

H21/02

BIBL

Peja

29-46

-17

H01/03

BIBL

Rilski Sportist

32-37

-5

A04/03

NBL

Spartak Pleven

48-35

+13

H11/03

NBL

Beroe

45-34

+11

H21/03

Bulgarian Cup

Chernomorets

42-38

A22/03

Bulgarian Cup

CSKA Sofia

44-42

H24/03

Bulgarian Cup

79.9Avg total

40.3Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.1	38.9	80.0	+2.2	66%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.5	39.1	80.6	+2.4	72%	-
Last 30 away (11)	40.4	38.6	79.0	+1.7	55%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.3	39.6	79.9	+0.8	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	37.2	79.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	35.7	39.9	75.6	-4.2	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.1	39.1	80.3	+2.0	86%	-
vs Weaker (11)	45.5	38.3	83.8	+7.3	82%	-

This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	16.7	36.4	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	15.3	35.9	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.8	36.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	17.6	17.1	34.7	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.8	16.6	37.4	+4.2	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.8	52%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	18.1	17.7	35.8	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.4	16.9	35.3	+1.5	45%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.9	20.5	39.4	-1.6	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.7	18.9	35.6	-2.1	14%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.5	13.8	32.4	+4.7	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	18.8	40.3	+2.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.5	38.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.6	35.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	17.7	19.9	37.6	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.8	18.4	41.2	+4.3	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	41%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.9	21.4	43.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	16.8	21.7	38.5	-4.9	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.9	23.4	42.3	-4.6	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.8	43.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.3	22.9	43.2	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.7	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	35.6	76.6	+5.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	34.5	76.0	+7.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	36.8	77.3	+3.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	35.3	74.6	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	34.6	70.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	35.2	37.0	72.2	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.5	35.0	78.6	+8.5	85%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.2	38.9	77.1	-0.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	40.1	39.1	79.1	+1.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (11)	35.2	38.6	73.8	-3.5	18%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.8	40.7	78.4	-2.9	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	42.6	81.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	39.2	43.4	82.6	-4.2	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.1	39.7	76.9	-2.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	37.8	33.8	71.6	+4.0	55%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 63.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀60%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 60% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game

51%

29%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	19.0	51.4%	54.7%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	6.0	22.2%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	11.0	7.0	63.6%	71.4%	7.0

They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Levskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Levski: 56.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀25%

🏀🏀🏀64%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers14.0 pts a game · 25% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 64% of the points

🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game

51%

29%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	28.0	7.0	25.0%	54.7%	14.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.0	12.0	37.5%	32.1%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	7.0	6.0	85.7%	71.4%	6.0

They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.0	22.0	40.7%	54.7%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.0	6.0	35.3%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	12.0	11.0	91.7%	71.4%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.0	32.0	64.0%	54.7%	64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	6.0	20.0%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	12.0	80.0%	71.4%	12.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.0	22.0	40.7%	54.7%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.0	6.0	35.3%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	12.0	11.0	91.7%	71.4%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.0	32.0	64.0%	54.7%	64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	6.0	20.0%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	12.0	80.0%	71.4%	12.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Balkan

LWLLWWWWWL

Levski

WWWLLLLLWL

League position

-14.5

Net rating

-50.1

91.2

Offensive rating

73.8

105.7

Defensive rating

123.9

43.8%

Effective FG%

41.7%

43.7%

Opp. effective FG%

51.2%

15.8%

Turnover %

26.3%

Off. rebound %

17.1%

0.17

Free-throw rate

0.12

22.2%

3-point %

37.5%

84.0%

Assist %

100.0%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Balkan ■ Levski

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Balkan wins

Levski wins

Date	Game	Score
14/01/23	Levski v Balkan	71-83
30/10/22	Balkan v Levski	89-64
29/05/22	Levski v Balkan	76-78
17/05/22	Levski v Balkan	66-56
14/05/22	Balkan v Levski	76-72
12/05/22	Balkan v Levski	80-74 OT
26/04/22	Balkan v Levski	74-68
26/03/22	Balkan v Levski	73-74
12/02/22	Levski v Balkan	59-72
27/12/21	Balkan v Levski	80-69

Balkanlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/23	A	CSKA Sofia	80-82 OT
21/03/23	H	Yambol	97-66
15/03/23	H	CSKA Sofia	71-81
11/03/23	A	Rilski Sportist	76-77 OT
17/02/23	A	Spartak Pleven	88-81 OT
13/02/23	A	Academic Plovdiv	74-70
08/02/23	H	Shumen	109-80
04/02/23	A	Cherno More	88-85
28/01/23	H	Yambol	98-76
23/01/23	A	Chernomorets	83-93

Levskilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/23	H	CSKA Sofia	86-81
22/03/23	A	Chernomorets	77-73
21/03/23	H	Beroe	85-78
16/03/23	A	Peja	0-20
11/03/23	H	Spartak Pleven	85-86
04/03/23	A	Rilski Sportist	70-81
01/03/23	H	Peja	74-86
21/02/23	H	Bashkimi	79-84
16/02/23	A	Shumen	78-67
12/02/23	A	Yambol	69-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan

NBL 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	73%
Home	WWWWL	82%
Away	LWWWL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	73%	82%	64%
Points / game	85.2	88.4	82.0
Allowed / game	75.1	73.3	77.0
Point differential	+10.0	+15.1	+5.0
Avg total	160.3	161.6	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	73%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (1)	75% (4)
Overtime %	9%	0%	18%

Levski

NBL 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	55%
Home	LWWWL	73%
Away	LLLWL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	55%	73%	36%
Points / game	78.7	84.5	72.8
Allowed / game	77.0	75.9	78.0
Point differential	+1.7	+8.6	-5.2
Avg total	155.6	160.5	150.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	64%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rilski Sportist	23	21	2	91%	89.4	75.6	+13.8
2	Balkan	22	16	6	73%	85.2	75.1	+10.0
3	CSKA Sofia	23	15	8	65%	83.0	78.6	+4.4
4	Chernomorets	23	14	9	61%	85.4	81.3	+4.0
5	Levski	22	12	10	55%	78.7	77.0	+1.7
6	Spartak Pleven	23	12	11	52%	82.1	80.9	+1.2
7	Beroe	24	11	13	46%	85.5	88.6	-3.1
8	Academic Plovdiv	23	7	16	30%	79.1	85.3	-6.2
9	Yambol	23	7	16	30%	79.2	86.4	-7.2
10	Cherno More	22	6	16	27%	86.0	90.7	-4.7
11	Shumen	24	5	19	21%	75.8	88.9	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Balkan	24	19	19	15	77
Levski	15	24	20	9	68

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Balkan vs Levski Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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