Chernomorets vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 93-83

28-18 32-22 22-19 11-24

Position#4

Record6-9

FormWLLWL

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game83.9

Chernomorets 🏆

Balkan

Position#1

Record11-3

FormWLWWW

Points / game84.8

Allowed / game72.1

NBLRound 17

Other2022-23

Meetings · Chernomorets v Balkan

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Balkan winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chernomorets Bulgaria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cherno More

#10

96-84

+12

A12/11

NBL

Balkan

78-83

-5

A19/11

NBL

CSKA Sofia

63-80

-17

A05/12

NBL

Beroe

71-78

-7

H10/12

NBL

Yambol

88-70

+18

H17/12

NBL

Shumen

#11

94-79

+15

A21/12

NBL

Academic Plovdiv

82-87

-5

A28/12

NBL

Rilski Sportist

69-102

102

-33

A09/01

NBL

Spartak Pleven

88-81

H14/01

NBL

Levski

70-80

-10

A18/01

NBL

26-13

31-20

21-24

18-27

24-23

14-24

19-12

21-24

17-18

18-15

9-19

19-28

17-19

16-21

22-11

16-27

26-21

21-17

20-14

21-18

17-25

27-20

23-20

27-14

20-27

25-21

15-16

22-23

15-28

20-20

20-22

14-32

29-14

19-20

24-22

16-25

12-24

16-16

17-21

25-19

162.3Avg total

79.9Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	81.8	83.9	165.7	-2.1	40%
Season at home (7)	85.4	82.7	168.1	+2.7	57%
Season away (8)	78.6	84.9	163.5	-6.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	82.4	162.3	-2.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	85.8	166.4	-5.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	72.0	91.4	163.4	-19.4	0%
vs Similar (8)	76.1	79.4	155.5	-3.2	50%
vs Weaker (14)	85.6	82.1	167.7	+3.4	57%

This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Balkan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Yambol

81-55

+26

A26/11

NBL

Keravnos

#31

61-82

-21

A30/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Cherno More

#10

98-87

+11

H03/12

NBL

Shumen

#11

88-63

+25

A07/12

NBL

Academic Plovdiv

89-59

+30

H10/12

NBL

Spartak Pleven

81-60

+21

H17/12

NBL

Rilski Sportist

68-83

-15

H28/12

NBL

CSKA Sofia

81-67

+14

H07/01

NBL

Levski

83-71

+12

A14/01

NBL

Beroe

105-71

105

+34

H18/01

NBL

17-16

16-16

19-7

29-16

22-18

7-21

17-22

15-21

29-17

14-29

30-18

25-23

24-14

14-25

25-12

23-6

26-16

25-18

15-19

23-14

19-15

19-18

20-13

15-23

23-25

9-18

21-17

22-21

23-16

17-15

19-15

14-17

19-12

26-15

24-27

21-16

27-18

24-15

33-22

153.3Avg total

83.5Scored

69.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	84.8	72.1	156.9	+12.6	79%
Season at home (8)	86.8	71.1	157.9	+15.6	88%
Season away (6)	82.2	73.5	155.7	+8.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	69.8	153.3	+13.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	70.4	154.0	+13.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	77.2	69.8	147.0	+7.5	75%
vs Similar (12)	74.0	76.8	150.8	-2.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	84.4	68.7	153.1	+15.7	92%

This opponent (Chernomorets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ChernomoretsBalkan

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.7	42.8	-2.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	22.5	44.3	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	22.9	41.3	-4.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.6	42.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.9	26.6	44.4	-8.7	14%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	29%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	16.4	36.2	+3.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	16.2	37.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	75%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.4	18.5	35.9	-1.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.7	39.1	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.6	23.7	42.3	-5.1	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.5	36.6	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	18.9	38.8	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.8	17.9	33.7	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.2	39.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	14.5	32.8	+3.8	75%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	18.5	18.1	36.6	+0.5	54%	-

ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cherno More

#10

57-33

+24

A12/11

NBL

Balkan

38-47

-9

A19/11

NBL

CSKA Sofia

35-33

A05/12

NBL

Beroe

33-40

-7

H10/12

NBL

Yambol

47-38

H17/12

NBL

Shumen

#11

44-45

-1

A21/12

NBL

Academic Plovdiv

45-48

-3

A28/12

NBL

Rilski Sportist

35-48

-13

A09/01

NBL

Spartak Pleven

48-34

+14

H14/01

NBL

Levski

28-40

-12

A18/01

NBL

81.6Avg total

41.0Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	43.0	82.7	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	42.2	83.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	43.7	81.9	-5.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	40.6	81.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	43.0	83.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	36.4	50.3	86.7	-13.9	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.8	38.2	76.0	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	42.8	42.1	84.9	+0.6	43%	-

This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Yambol

33-32

A26/11

NBL

Keravnos

#31

29-39

-10

A30/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Cherno More

#10

43-46

-3

H03/12

NBL

Shumen

#11

38-39

-1

A07/12

NBL

Academic Plovdiv

49-22

+27

H10/12

NBL

Spartak Pleven

42-29

+13

H17/12

NBL

Rilski Sportist

38-48

-10

H28/12

NBL

CSKA Sofia

45-37

H07/01

NBL

Levski

33-29

A14/01

NBL

Beroe

48-34

+14

H18/01

NBL

75.3Avg total

39.8Scored

35.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	36.3	74.2	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.6	35.4	75.0	+4.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.5	37.6	73.2	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	35.5	75.3	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	35.4	76.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.8	33.0	71.8	+5.8	75%	-
vs Similar (12)	35.0	38.5	73.5	-3.5	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	40.5	35.1	75.6	+5.5	69%	-

This opponent (Chernomorets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.9	40.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.7	20.6	38.3	-2.9	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.1	19.6	38.8	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.1	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	16.7	36.7	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.8	16.4	35.1	+2.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.6	17.1	38.7	+4.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	15.8	36.9	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.2	35.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.2	18.8	42.0	+4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.9	17.2	35.2	+0.7	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.0	15.4	36.4	+5.6	85%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	19.3	38.6	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	22.1	42.9	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	23.7	43.6	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.9	20.6	38.4	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.2	21.5	40.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.7	38.4	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+2.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.5	41.1	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.8	42.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.2	18.0	33.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.8	18.2	41.1	+4.6	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	40.7	80.8	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	38.8	78.6	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	42.5	83.0	-2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	41.8	80.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	42.8	83.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	35.6	41.1	76.7	-5.6	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.4	41.1	79.5	-2.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (14)	42.8	40.0	82.8	+2.8	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	35.4	75.1	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.2	32.9	71.1	+5.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.6	38.6	80.2	+3.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	34.3	78.0	+9.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	35.0	77.4	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.5	36.8	75.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.8	37.2	74.0	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	43.8	33.6	77.5	+10.2	92%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 63.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀60%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 60% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game

51%

29%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	19.0	51.4%	54.8%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	6.0	22.2%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	11.0	7.0	63.6%	71.4%	7.0

They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.0	22.0	40.7%	54.8%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.0	6.0	35.3%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	12.0	11.0	91.7%	71.4%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.0	22.0	40.7%	54.8%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.0	6.0	35.3%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	12.0	11.0	91.7%	71.4%	11.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Chernomorets wins

Balkan wins

Date	Game	Score
19/11/22	Balkan v Chernomorets	83-78
18/04/22	Balkan v Chernomorets	92-70
31/01/22	Chernomorets v Balkan	83-78
13/12/21	Balkan v Chernomorets	49-59
11/03/21	Balkan v Chernomorets	84-71
27/02/21	Balkan v Chernomorets	92-86
04/01/21	Chernomorets v Balkan	76-92
11/11/20	Balkan v Chernomorets	79-87 OT
29/02/20	Chernomorets v Balkan	77-94
06/12/19	Chernomorets v Balkan	79-88

Chernomoretslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/01/23	A	Levski	70-80
14/01/23	H	Spartak Pleven	88-81
09/01/23	A	Rilski Sportist	69-102
28/12/22	A	Academic Plovdiv	82-87
21/12/22	A	Shumen	94-79
17/12/22	H	Yambol	88-70
10/12/22	H	Beroe	71-78
05/12/22	A	CSKA Sofia	63-80
19/11/22	A	Balkan	78-83
12/11/22	A	Cherno More	96-84

Balkanlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/01/23	H	Beroe	105-71
14/01/23	A	Levski	83-71
07/01/23	H	CSKA Sofia	81-67
28/12/22	H	Rilski Sportist	68-83
17/12/22	H	Spartak Pleven	81-60
10/12/22	H	Academic Plovdiv	89-59
07/12/22	A	Shumen	88-63
03/12/22	H	Cherno More	98-87
30/11/22	A	Keravnos	61-82
26/11/22	A	Yambol	81-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets

NBL 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	40%
Home	LLLWW	57%
Away	LWLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	40%	57%	25%
Points / game	81.8	85.4	78.6
Allowed / game	83.9	82.7	84.9
Point differential	-2.1	+2.7	-6.2
Avg total	165.7	168.1	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	29%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Balkan

NBL 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	79%
Home	WWLWW	88%
Away	LWWWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	79%	88%	67%
Points / game	84.8	86.8	82.2
Allowed / game	72.1	71.1	73.5
Point differential	+12.6	+15.6	+8.7
Avg total	156.9	157.9	155.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	75%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rilski Sportist	16	16	0	100%	93.0	75.6	+17.4
2	Balkan	14	11	3	79%	84.8	72.1	+12.6
3	Levski	15	9	6	60%	79.3	77.3	+2.0
4	CSKA Sofia	15	8	7	53%	77.9	77.6	+0.3
5	Spartak Pleven	15	7	8	47%	80.5	79.5	+0.9
6	Beroe	16	7	9	44%	84.2	87.1	-2.8
7	Chernomorets	15	6	9	40%	81.8	83.9	-2.1
8	Academic Plovdiv	15	6	9	40%	80.2	84.1	-3.9
9	Yambol	14	5	9	36%	77.4	85.4	-8.1
10	Cherno More	15	5	10	33%	85.7	89.4	-3.7
11	Shumen	16	3	13	19%	74.2	86.8	-12.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Chernomorets	28	32	22	11	93
Balkan	18	22	19	24	83

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Chernomorets vs Balkan Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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