Rilski Sportist vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 77-76 (OT)

27-22 10-23 20-15 8-5 12-11

Position#2

Record20-1

FormWLWWW

Points / game90.8

Allowed / game75.0

Rilski Sportist 🏆

Balkan

Position#1

Record16-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game86.3

Allowed / game74.8

NBLRound 24

Other2022-23

Meetings · Rilski Sportist v Balkan

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rilski Sportist winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Balkan winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rilski Sportist Bulgaria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Balkan

83-68

+15

A28/12

NBL

Chernomorets

102-69

102

+33

H09/01

NBL

CSKA Sofia

82-76

A16/01

NBL

Cherno More

#10

85-76

H18/01

NBL

Beroe

95-92

A21/01

NBL

Academic Plovdiv

79-78

A28/01

NBL

Yambol

80-86

-6

A04/02

NBL

Spartak Pleven

87-68

+19

H08/02

NBL

Shumen

#11

92-63

+29

A12/02

NBL

Levski

81-70

+11

H04/03

NBL

23-15

25-23

18-9

17-21

28-15

20-20

22-20

32-14

21-15

12-19

31-26

18-16

17-17

26-19

26-22

16-18

25-18

21-18

20-24

29-32

17-27

24-19

12-11

26-21

19-15

20-22

24-19

17-30

23-17

26-19

22-18

16-14

20-11

24-13

26-24

22-15

11-17

26-15

18-21

26-17

161.2Avg total

86.6Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	90.8	75.0	165.8	+15.8	95%
Season at home (11)	92.6	72.1	164.7	+20.5	100%
Season away (10)	88.8	78.2	167.0	+10.6	90%
Last 10 (10)	86.6	74.6	161.2	+12.0	90%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	73.0	156.8	+10.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	69.6	90.1	159.8	-20.5	12%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	86.0	75.5	161.5	+10.5	100%
vs Weaker (19)	91.3	74.9	166.3	+16.4	95%

This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Balkan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rilski Sportist

68-83

-15

H28/12

NBL

CSKA Sofia

81-67

+14

H07/01

NBL

Levski

83-71

+12

A14/01

NBL

Beroe

105-71

105

+34

H18/01

NBL

Chernomorets

83-93

-10

A23/01

NBL

Yambol

98-76

+22

H28/01

NBL

Cherno More

#10

88-85

A04/02

NBL

Shumen

#11

109-80

109

+29

H08/02

NBL

Academic Plovdiv

74-70

A13/02

NBL

Spartak Pleven

88-81 OT

A17/02

NBL

15-23

23-25

9-18

21-17

22-21

23-16

17-15

19-15

14-17

19-12

26-15

24-27

21-16

27-18

24-15

33-22

18-28

22-32

19-22

24-11

27-19

28-23

27-15

16-19

32-23

18-23

19-18

19-21

30-18

26-23

22-14

31-25

20-18

18-17

15-19

21-16

12-20

19-18

20-23

24-14

165.4Avg total

87.7Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	86.3	74.8	161.1	+11.6	80%
Season at home (10)	90.1	72.5	162.6	+17.6	90%
Season away (10)	82.6	77.0	159.6	+5.6	70%
Last 10 (10)	87.7	77.7	165.4	+10.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	91.4	78.4	169.8	+13.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	80.0	67.0	147.0	+13.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	74.8	79.1	153.9	-4.4	38%
vs Weaker (18)	87.6	73.5	161.1	+14.1	89%

This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Rilski SportistBalkan

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.3	41.4	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	16.7	37.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.4	35.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.5	24.2	39.8	-8.8	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	23.6	18.9	42.5	+4.6	79%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	17.2	39.1	+4.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	19.6	43.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	17.7	39.3	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.6	18.7	41.2	+3.9	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.3	40.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	18.9	40.4	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.7	41.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	17.6	41.6	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.0	22.1	38.1	-6.1	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	24.0	18.5	42.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (19)	23.3	18.3	41.6	+4.9	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	19.2	40.4	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	19.8	36.6	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.7	43.0	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	14.7	33.7	+4.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.5	20.8	38.2	-3.2	12%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	61%	-

Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Balkan

48-38

+10

A28/12

NBL

Chernomorets

48-35

+13

H09/01

NBL

CSKA Sofia

33-34

-1

A16/01

NBL

Cherno More

#10

43-36

H18/01

NBL

Beroe

46-36

+10

A21/01

NBL

Academic Plovdiv

41-46

-5

A28/01

NBL

Yambol

39-37

A04/02

NBL

Spartak Pleven

49-36

+13

H08/02

NBL

Shumen

#11

44-24

+20

A12/02

NBL

Levski

37-32

H04/03

NBL

78.2Avg total

42.8Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	39.6	82.1	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	38.5	80.8	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	40.7	83.3	+2.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	35.4	78.2	+7.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	35.0	77.0	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	31.5	46.4	77.9	-14.9	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	46.5	37.0	83.5	+9.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (19)	46.8	37.3	84.1	+9.6	84%	-

This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rilski Sportist

38-48

-10

H28/12

NBL

CSKA Sofia

45-37

H07/01

NBL

Levski

33-29

A14/01

NBL

Beroe

48-34

+14

H18/01

NBL

Chernomorets

40-60

-20

A23/01

NBL

Yambol

55-42

+13

H28/01

NBL

Cherno More

#10

50-46

A04/02

NBL

Shumen

#11

56-41

+15

H08/02

NBL

Academic Plovdiv

38-35

A13/02

NBL

Spartak Pleven

31-38

-7

A17/02

NBL

84.4Avg total

43.4Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	38.3	78.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	36.5	79.4	+6.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.3	40.4	77.6	-3.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	41.0	84.4	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	40.4	86.4	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.7	32.3	73.0	+8.3	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	35.9	40.4	76.2	-4.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (18)	42.6	38.3	80.8	+4.3	67%	-

This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.5	39.3	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.7	41.3	+0.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.4	22.9	42.2	-3.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	18.0	15.5	33.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.7	18.7	40.4	+3.0	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	16.6	37.2	+3.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	16.0	36.5	+4.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	17.4	37.9	+3.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.9	16.8	34.6	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.4	40.6	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	18.6	40.4	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.1	40.9	+0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.8	41.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.8	20.9	39.6	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	21.5	23.0	44.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	22.8	19.0	41.8	+3.8	74%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.9	39.7	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	17.6	37.1	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	20.4	42.6	+1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	18.7	41.9	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	18.7	35.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.9	18.3	41.2	+4.6	72%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	39.0	80.9	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	37.1	79.7	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.4	40.8	82.2	+0.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	39.2	83.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	38.0	79.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.1	43.8	81.9	-5.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	39.5	38.5	78.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	44.5	37.7	82.2	+6.8	84%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	35.6	76.8	+5.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.0	33.6	73.6	+6.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.7	37.8	80.5	+4.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	36.1	79.1	+6.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	36.8	79.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.3	34.7	74.0	+4.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	37.1	38.1	75.2	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (18)	44.3	34.9	79.2	+9.4	89%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 63.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀60%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 60% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game

51%

29%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	19.0	51.4%	54.7%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	6.0	22.2%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	11.0	7.0	63.6%	71.4%	7.0

They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.0	22.0	40.7%	54.7%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.0	6.0	35.3%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	12.0	11.0	91.7%	71.4%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	54.0	22.0	40.7%	54.7%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	17.0	6.0	35.3%	32.1%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	12.0	11.0	91.7%	71.4%	11.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rilski Sportist wins

Balkan wins

Date	Game	Score
28/12/22	Balkan v Rilski Sportist	68-83
15/10/22	Rilski Sportist v Balkan	89-83
03/10/22	Balkan v Rilski Sportist	60-70
09/06/22	Balkan v Rilski Sportist	66-54
07/06/22	Balkan v Rilski Sportist	88-65
04/06/22	Rilski Sportist v Balkan	82-86
02/06/22	Rilski Sportist v Balkan	78-69
11/04/22	Rilski Sportist v Balkan	78-74
18/02/22	Balkan v Rilski Sportist	74-73
04/12/21	Rilski Sportist v Balkan	85-73

Rilski Sportistlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/23	H	Levski	81-70
12/02/23	A	Shumen	92-63
08/02/23	H	Spartak Pleven	87-68
04/02/23	A	Yambol	80-86
28/01/23	A	Academic Plovdiv	79-78
21/01/23	A	Beroe	95-92
18/01/23	H	Cherno More	85-76
16/01/23	A	CSKA Sofia	82-76
09/01/23	H	Chernomorets	102-69
28/12/22	A	Balkan	83-68

Balkanlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/02/23	A	Spartak Pleven	88-81 OT
13/02/23	A	Academic Plovdiv	74-70
08/02/23	H	Shumen	109-80
04/02/23	A	Cherno More	88-85
28/01/23	H	Yambol	98-76
23/01/23	A	Chernomorets	83-93
18/01/23	H	Beroe	105-71
14/01/23	A	Levski	83-71
07/01/23	H	CSKA Sofia	81-67
28/12/22	H	Rilski Sportist	68-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rilski Sportist

NBL 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	95%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWLW	90%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	95%	100%	90%
Points / game	90.8	92.6	88.8
Allowed / game	75.0	72.1	78.2
Point differential	+15.8	+20.5	+10.6
Avg total	165.8	164.7	167.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	82%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Balkan

NBL 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	80%
Home	LWWWW	90%
Away	WLWWW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	80%	90%	70%
Points / game	86.3	90.1	82.6
Allowed / game	74.8	72.5	77.0
Point differential	+11.6	+17.6	+5.6
Avg total	161.1	162.6	159.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	80%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (1)	100% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rilski Sportist	21	20	1	95%	90.8	75.0	+15.8
2	Balkan	20	16	4	80%	86.3	74.8	+11.6
3	CSKA Sofia	22	14	8	64%	83.1	79.0	+4.2
4	Chernomorets	21	12	9	57%	84.9	82.3	+2.6
5	Levski	22	12	10	55%	78.7	77.0	+1.7
6	Spartak Pleven	22	11	11	50%	81.1	80.9	+0.2
7	Beroe	21	10	11	48%	84.4	87.3	-2.9
8	Yambol	21	7	14	33%	78.6	85.5	-6.9
9	Cherno More	21	6	15	29%	85.2	90.0	-4.8
10	Academic Plovdiv	21	6	15	29%	79.0	84.9	-5.9
11	Shumen	22	3	19	14%	73.3	88.0	-14.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Rilski Sportist	27	10	20	8	12	77
Balkan	22	23	15	5	11	76

← all games of the day

Rilski Sportist vs Balkan Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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