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Balkan vs Shumen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 103-76
25-22 29-18 28-21 21-15
Position#2
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game81.2
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Position#9
Record1-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game94.1
BulgariaNBLRound 14· Arena Botevgrad
Other2024-25
Meetings · Balkan v Shumen
19 Jan 2027
BAL v SHUM
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
BAL102
SHUM67
11 Jan 2025
BAL103
SHUM76
07 Oct 2023
BAL88
SHUM83
08 Feb 2023
BAL109
SHUM80
05 Feb 2022
BAL112
SHUM76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shumen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Shumen
#9
W
68-67
68
67
+1
52avg 72
A02/11
NBL
BC Prievidza
#10
L
59-83
59
83
-24
49avg 72
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
68-76
68
76
-8
55avg 72
H09/11
NBL
Kutaisi
#28
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
82avg 72
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
96-89
96
89
+7
81avg 72
A17/11
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
82-65
82
65
+17
81avg 72
H02/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
83-71
83
71
+12
74avg 72
A07/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
110-106 OT
110
106
+4
103avg 72
A15/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
95-78
95
78
+17
77avg 72
H22/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
101-91
101
91
+10
105avg 72
A06/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
23-13
15-19
12-19
15-14
13-12
12-30
19-27
16-23
18-17
14-13
20-23
28-22
19-26
15-20
23-17
20-31
24-19
36-20
16-19
19-17
24-14
16-17
23-17
23-20
18-17
20-25
22-9
23-30
25-31
18-20
30-15
21-18
29-23
24-17
21-20
27-25
24-17
31-23
19-26
167.3Avg total
85.4Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.981.2170.1+7.782%
Season at home (5)88.078.8166.8+9.260%
Season away (6)89.783.2172.8+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.481.9167.3+3.570%
Last 5 (5)94.282.2176.4+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.583.8157.4-10.329%
vs Similar (6)88.879.0167.8+9.883%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)91.382.1173.4+9.186%
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Beroe
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
83avg 74
H20/10
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
69avg 74
A25/10
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
67-68
67
68
-1
61avg 74
H02/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
65avg 74
A11/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
73-103
73
103
-30
55avg 74
H29/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
93-97
93
97
-4
84avg 74
A07/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
76-101
76
101
-25
64avg 74
A14/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
72avg 74
H21/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
98-105
98
105
-7
90avg 74
A28/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
108-118 OT
108
118
-10
99avg 74
H04/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
27-17
20-24
14-27
19-15
18-25
19-24
25-25
16-18
13-23
19-15
19-12
24-18
15-29
20-25
18-19
14-25
17-28
19-22
23-28
20-23
28-28
20-21
25-25
22-27
18-21
21-21
15-32
23-23
21-17
17-19
18-19
27-27
30-15
23-29
18-34
25-28
26-24
22-27
29-23
178.6Avg total
84.3Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.094.1178.1-10.18%
Season at home (6)82.091.7173.7-9.717%
Season away (6)86.096.5182.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)84.394.3178.6-10.010%
Last 5 (5)90.899.8190.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)81.095.6176.6-14.60%
vs Similar (8)84.177.6161.8+6.575%
vs Weaker (8)94.680.9175.5+13.862%
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -4.0-4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -4.0-4.0
BalkanShumen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A02/11
NBL
BC Prievidza
#10
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H09/11
NBL
Kutaisi
#28
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/11
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H02/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A07/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A15/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H22/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A06/01
NBL
83.2Avg total
42.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.180.6+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.137.979.0+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)39.942.182.0-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.583.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.489.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.940.177.0-3.141%-
vs Similar (6)44.239.383.5+4.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.941.086.9+4.971%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#6
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H20/10
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A25/10
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H02/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A11/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H29/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A07/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A14/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H21/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A28/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H04/01
NBL
88.9Avg total
43.3Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.986.6+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.141.483.5+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)45.444.389.7+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)43.345.688.9-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)48.046.694.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.646.687.1-6.029%-
vs Similar (8)43.639.282.9+4.475%-
vs Weaker (8)49.440.089.4+9.488%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.920.2
48.2%
53.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.9
32.6%
32.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.313.9
76.0%
71.3%13.9
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.222.6
48.9%
53.9%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.6
29.6%
32.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.215.4
72.6%
71.3%15.4
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
WWWWWWLLLW
Shumen
LLWLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#9
+3.5
Net rating
-12.3
110.1
Offensive rating
103.4
106.6
Defensive rating
115.7
48.5%
Effective FG%
47.3%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
12.6%
Turnover %
17.7%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.6%
3-point %
29.6%
62.8%
Assist %
55.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 103.4Defence106.6 · 115.7Shooting48.5% · 47.3%3-point %32.6% · 29.6%Ball care12.6% · 17.7%Off. rebounds33.2% · 33.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Balkan   ■ Shumen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Balkan wins
0
Shumen wins
DateGameScore
02/11/24Shumen v Balkan67-68
17/12/23Shumen v Balkan90-96 OT
07/10/23Balkan v Shumen88-83
19/04/23Shumen v Balkan89-105
08/02/23Balkan v Shumen109-80
07/12/22Shumen v Balkan63-88
22/04/22Shumen v Balkan67-73
05/02/22Balkan v Shumen112-76
18/12/21Shumen v Balkan54-80
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/25AAcademic Plovdiv101-91
22/12/24HCherno More95-78
15/12/24ABeroe110-106 OT
07/12/24ALevski83-71
02/12/24HMinyor82-65
17/11/24ASpartak Pleven96-89
13/11/24AKutaisi92-93 OT
09/11/24HRilski Sportist68-76
06/11/24ABC Prievidza59-83
02/11/24AShumen68-67
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HCherno More108-118 OT
28/12/24ABeroe98-105
21/12/24HLevski79-78
14/12/24AMinyor76-101
07/12/24ASpartak Pleven93-97
29/11/24HRilski Sportist73-103
11/11/24AAcademic Plovdiv77-91
02/11/24HBalkan67-68
25/10/24ACherno More81-89
20/10/24HBeroe91-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%60%100%
Points / game88.988.089.7
Allowed / game81.278.883.2
Point differential+7.7+9.2+6.5
Avg total170.1166.8172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Shumen
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL8%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game84.082.086.0
Allowed / game94.191.796.5
Point differential-10.1-9.7-10.5
Avg total178.1173.7182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist1211192%91.171.8+19.2
2 Balkan119282%88.981.2+7.7
3 Academic Plovdiv127558%82.883.9-1.2
4 Spartak Pleven116555%86.584.0+2.5
5 Minyor116555%83.884.4-0.5
6 Beroe126650%84.289.4-5.2
7 Cherno More115645%84.884.4+0.5
8 Shumen121118%84.094.1-10.1
9 Levski121118%73.485.4-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan25292821103
Shumen2218211576
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