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Shumen vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-96 (OT)
22-17 23-28 24-23 17-18 4-10
Position#6
Record4-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#4
Record6-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game78.5
BulgariaNBLRound 12· Arena Shumen
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shumen v Balkan
03 Apr 2027
SHUM v BAL
upcoming
16 Apr 2026
SHUM65
BAL84
07 Feb 2026
SHUM83
BAL101
29 Mar 2025
SHUM75
BAL102
02 Nov 2024
SHUM67
BAL68
17 Dec 2023
SHUM90
BAL96
19 Apr 2023
SHUM89
BAL105
07 Dec 2022
SHUM63
BAL88
22 Apr 2022
SHUM67
BAL73
18 Dec 2021
SHUM54
BAL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shumen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Beroe
#12
L
76-92
76
92
-16
60avg 68
H14/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
86-75
86
75
+11
75avg 68
A21/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
78-80
78
80
-2
59avg 68
H27/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
92-86
92
86
+6
84avg 68
A06/11
NBL
Levski
#7
W
85-67
85
67
+18
58avg 68
A10/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
82-91
82
91
-9
66avg 68
H17/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
no box
H25/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
72-90
72
90
-18
60avg 68
A29/11
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 68
H02/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 68
A11/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
17-19
19-30
21-23
28-17
17-26
18-19
23-13
17-20
22-22
18-24
21-14
29-24
21-19
26-22
16-21
17-23
30-14
15-23
23-7
20-10
9-32
27-25
26-24
27-22
16-17
20-24
23-23
22-15
20-21
17-36
13-18
25-20
19-22
9-19
25-28
15-20
21-15
27-21
19-18
167.1Avg total
82.6Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.684.8167.5-2.236%
Season at home (5)81.890.6172.4-8.80%
Season away (6)83.380.0163.3+3.367%
Last 10 (10)82.684.5167.1-1.940%
Last 5 (5)81.889.0170.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)78.090.6168.6-12.623%
vs Similar ◀ (4)79.581.2160.8-1.825%
vs Weaker (4)83.085.8168.8-2.850%
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Minyor
#10
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 69
H11/11
NBL
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 69
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Chernomorets
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 69
A18/11
NBL
Sporting CP
#29
L
72-90
72
90
-18
63avg 69
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#9
W
80-67
80
67
+13
82avg 69
H25/11
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
74-75
74
75
-1
13avg 69
A29/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
86-95
86
95
-9
81avg 69
H03/12
NBL
FC Porto
#12
L
63-88
63
88
-25
45avg 69
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
68avg 69
A09/12
NBL
Gottingen
#8
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 69
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
22-20
15-13
24-24
18-19
19-24
21-15
27-21
26-23
20-21
20-24
15-22
16-23
10-24
29-21
17-22
28-21
21-18
20-12
11-16
15-21
15-20
24-14
20-20
19-26
25-17
26-23
16-29
12-34
22-18
11-13
18-23
15-20
30-17
20-16
8-22
17-22
14-20
22-17
17-17
157.9Avg total
77.0Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.778.5159.2+2.355%
Season at home (7)85.179.1164.3+6.086%
Season away (4)73.077.2150.2-4.20%
Last 10 (10)77.080.9157.9-3.930%
Last 5 (5)73.281.8155.0-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.680.1157.8-2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (3)87.787.7175.3+0.067%
vs Weaker (18)82.974.4157.4+8.578%
This opponent (Shumen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -4.3-4.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -4.3-4.3
ShumenBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A21/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H27/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A06/11
NBL
Levski
#7
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A10/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H17/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H25/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A29/11
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A11/12
NBL
80.9Avg total
41.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.644.183.7-4.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.143.880.9-6.621%-
Last 30 away (16)41.744.486.1-2.750%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.880.9+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.877.6+0.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)39.545.985.4-6.432%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.838.880.5+3.050%-
vs Weaker (4)37.839.877.5-2.050%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minyor
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H11/11
NBL
Alba Fehervar
#36
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Chernomorets
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A18/11
NBL
Sporting CP
#29
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H25/11
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A29/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H03/12
NBL
FC Porto
#12
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A09/12
NBL
Gottingen
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
81.4Avg total
38.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.180.5+2.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.937.579.4+4.471%-
Last 30 away (13)40.841.181.9-0.269%-
Last 10 (10)38.942.581.4-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.079.8-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.641.682.2-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)42.739.782.3+3.0100%-
vs Weaker (18)42.538.681.1+3.978%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.322.4
50.6%
54.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.0
30.3%
31.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.514.6
71.2%
71.1%14.6
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.7
56.4%
54.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.5
32.4%
31.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws11.48.6
75.4%
71.1%8.6
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shumen
WLLLLWWLWL
Balkan
LLLLLWLLWW
#6
League position
#4
-3.5
Net rating
-5.3
101.8
Offensive rating
104.5
105.4
Defensive rating
109.7
48.8%
Effective FG%
52.9%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
19.2%
Turnover %
20.8%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.20
30.3%
3-point %
32.4%
48.6%
Assist %
64.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 104.5Defence105.4 · 109.7Shooting48.8% · 52.9%3-point %30.3% · 32.4%Ball care19.2% · 20.8%Off. rebounds31.6% · 30.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Shumen   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shumen wins
7
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
07/10/23Balkan v Shumen88-83
19/04/23Shumen v Balkan89-105
08/02/23Balkan v Shumen109-80
07/12/22Shumen v Balkan63-88
22/04/22Shumen v Balkan67-73
05/02/22Balkan v Shumen112-76
18/12/21Shumen v Balkan54-80
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/23AYambol82-74
02/12/23HChernomorets78-89
29/11/23ACSKA Sofia72-90
25/11/23HSpartak Pleven95-101 OT
17/11/23HCherno More82-91
10/11/23ALevski85-67
06/11/23AMinyor92-86
27/10/23HAcademic Plovdiv78-80
21/10/23ARilski Sportist86-75
14/10/23HBeroe76-92
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23AGottingen70-76
09/12/23AAcademic Plovdiv73-75
06/12/23HFC Porto63-88
03/12/23HCSKA Sofia86-95
29/11/23ABeroe74-75
25/11/23HYambol80-67
22/11/23ASporting CP72-90
18/11/23AChernomorets81-90
15/11/23HAlba Fehervar85-79
11/11/23HMinyor86-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shumen
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%0%67%
Points / game82.681.883.3
Allowed / game84.890.680.0
Point differential-2.2-8.8+3.3
Avg total167.5172.4163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Balkan
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL55%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %55%86%0%
Points / game80.785.173.0
Allowed / game78.579.177.2
Point differential+2.3+6.0-4.2
Avg total159.2164.3150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets12120100%85.572.5+13.0
2 CSKA Sofia129375%87.277.1+10.1
3 Spartak Pleven117464%87.280.1+7.1
4 Rilski Sportist127558%81.774.8+6.8
5 Balkan116555%80.778.5+2.3
6 Yambol125742%79.284.9-5.7
7 Minyor125742%75.686.2-10.6
8 Shumen114736%82.684.8-2.2
9 Levski124833%76.078.9-2.9
10 Beroe124833%81.585.8-4.2
11 Cherno More124833%77.884.7-6.9
12 Academic Plovdiv113827%77.584.2-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Shumen22232417490
Balkan172823181096
← all games of the day
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