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Beroe vs Shumen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 105-98
27-27 15-30 29-23 34-18
Position#6
Record5-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game88.0
Beroe 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Position#9
Record1-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game90.6
BulgariaNBLRound 12· Municipal Hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Beroe v Shumen
09 Jan 2027
BERO v SHUM
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
BERO95
SHUM89
11 Oct 2025
BERO83
SHUM78
08 Mar 2025
BERO107
SHUM104
28 Dec 2024
BERO105
SHUM98
19 Apr 2024
BERO81
SHUM123
23 Dec 2023
BERO90
SHUM85
18 Mar 2023
BERO98
SHUM103
15 Jan 2023
BERO104
SHUM79
16 Apr 2022
BERO105
SHUM68
10 Dec 2021
BERO85
SHUM63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shumen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Balkan
#2
W
92-91
92
91
+1
83avg 70
A06/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
71avg 70
H14/10
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
86avg 70
A20/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
66-111
66
111
-45
48avg 70
H26/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
78avg 70
A02/11
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
73-89
73
89
-16
60avg 70
A08/11
NBL
Levski
#8
W
66-58
66
58
+8
59avg 70
A16/11
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
76-95
76
95
-19
66avg 70
H09/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
106-110 OT
106
110
-4
101avg 70
H15/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
69avg 70
A23/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
20-27
20-33
27-15
30-15
17-20
12-18
26-20
25-30
17-27
24-20
27-14
14-33
20-18
12-39
20-21
27-29
18-15
22-15
21-24
29-22
18-24
15-24
11-19
16-14
12-10
19-18
19-16
17-29
26-25
12-23
21-18
30-23
31-25
20-18
15-30
19-24
17-14
17-20
24-21
170.2Avg total
82.2Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.288.0170.2-5.850%
Season at home (4)83.297.2180.5-14.025%
Season away (6)81.581.8163.3-0.367%
Last 10 (10)82.288.0170.2-5.850%
Last 5 (5)79.686.2165.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)81.199.5180.6-18.424%
vs Similar (2)81.076.0157.0+5.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)77.379.3156.7-2.067%
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Minyor
#7
L
74-90
74
90
-16
23avg 72
H04/10
NBL
Levski
#8
L
91-96
91
96
-5
81avg 72
A12/10
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
83avg 72
H20/10
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
69avg 72
A25/10
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
67-68
67
68
-1
61avg 72
H02/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
65avg 72
A11/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
73-103
73
103
-30
55avg 72
H29/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
93-97
93
97
-4
84avg 72
A07/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
76-101
76
101
-25
64avg 72
A14/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
72avg 72
H21/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
8-24
19-26
24-17
21-20
19-28
18-20
33-28
30-25
27-17
20-24
14-27
19-15
18-25
19-24
25-25
16-18
13-23
19-15
19-12
24-18
15-29
20-25
18-19
14-25
17-28
19-22
23-28
20-23
28-28
20-21
25-25
22-27
18-21
21-21
15-32
23-23
21-17
17-19
18-19
170.8Avg total
80.2Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.290.6170.8-10.410%
Season at home (5)76.886.4163.2-9.620%
Season away (5)83.694.8178.4-11.20%
Last 10 (10)80.290.6170.8-10.410%
Last 5 (5)79.694.0173.6-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.392.9170.2-15.60%
vs Similar (9)83.278.3161.6+4.967%
vs Weaker (9)91.979.1171.0+12.867%
This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
BeroeShumen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A06/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H14/10
NBL
Shumen
#9
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A20/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H26/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A02/11
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A08/11
NBL
Levski
#8
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A16/11
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H09/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A23/12
NBL
86.8Avg total
42.8Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.148.489.5-7.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.049.193.1-5.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.247.785.9-9.527%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.086.8-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.085.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)41.350.091.4-8.728%-
vs Similar (2)41.536.578.0+5.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)39.042.381.3-3.367%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minyor
#7
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H04/10
NBL
Levski
#8
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A12/10
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H20/10
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A25/10
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H02/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A11/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H29/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A07/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A14/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H21/12
NBL
85.3Avg total
39.6Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.184.5+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.780.8+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)43.844.488.2-0.653%-
Last 10 (10)39.645.785.3-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)40.447.888.2-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.346.584.8-8.225%-
vs Similar (9)42.439.782.1+2.867%-
vs Weaker (9)47.938.686.4+9.389%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.721.0
49.2%
53.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.4
33.0%
32.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws24.216.8
69.4%
71.3%16.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.022.1
49.1%
53.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.9
27.6%
32.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.314.4
67.6%
71.3%14.4
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beroe
LLLWLWLWWW
Shumen
WLLLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#9
-7.8
Net rating
-13.0
101.9
Offensive rating
100.2
109.7
Defensive rating
113.2
49.3%
Effective FG%
46.4%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
20.6%
Turnover %
18.5%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.0%
3-point %
27.6%
55.3%
Assist %
55.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 100.2Defence109.7 · 113.2Shooting49.3% · 46.4%3-point %33.0% · 27.6%Ball care20.6% · 18.5%Off. rebounds32.1% · 33.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Beroe   ■ Shumen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Beroe wins
4
Shumen wins
DateGameScore
20/10/24Shumen v Beroe91-93
19/04/24Beroe v Shumen81-123
21/03/24Shumen v Beroe122-74
23/12/23Beroe v Shumen90-85
14/10/23Shumen v Beroe76-92
18/03/23Beroe v Shumen98-103
15/01/23Beroe v Shumen104-79
27/10/22Shumen v Beroe77-74
16/04/22Beroe v Shumen105-68
30/01/22Shumen v Beroe65-81
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24AAcademic Plovdiv77-79
15/12/24HBalkan106-110 OT
09/12/24HCherno More76-95
16/11/24ALevski66-58
08/11/24AMinyor73-89
02/11/24ASpartak Pleven88-83
26/10/24HRilski Sportist66-111
20/10/24AShumen93-91
14/10/24HAcademic Plovdiv85-73
06/10/24ABalkan92-91
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HLevski79-78
14/12/24AMinyor76-101
07/12/24ASpartak Pleven93-97
29/11/24HRilski Sportist73-103
11/11/24AAcademic Plovdiv77-91
02/11/24HBalkan67-68
25/10/24ACherno More81-89
20/10/24HBeroe91-93
12/10/24ALevski91-96
04/10/24HMinyor74-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%25%67%
Points / game82.283.281.5
Allowed / game88.097.281.8
Point differential-5.8-14.0-0.3
Avg total170.2180.5163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Shumen
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW10%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %10%20%0%
Points / game80.276.883.6
Allowed / game90.686.494.8
Point differential-10.4-9.6-11.2
Avg total170.8163.2178.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist1110191%90.770.8+19.9
2 Balkan108280%87.780.2+7.5
3 Academic Plovdiv107370%81.281.5-0.3
4 Spartak Pleven95456%86.985.9+1.0
5 Minyor105550%83.184.6-1.5
6 Beroe105550%82.288.0-5.8
7 Cherno More93633%80.481.1-0.7
8 Shumen101910%80.290.6-10.4
9 Levski111109%74.685.3-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Beroe27152934105
Shumen2730231898
← all games of the day
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