Ballarat vs Nunawading Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Aug 2015

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 92-76

28-17 23-20 17-30 24-9

Position#7

Record11-11

FormWLWWW

Points / game87.1

Allowed / game85.9

Ballarat 🏆

Nunawading

Position#8

Record12-10

FormWWLWL

Points / game87.3

Allowed / game86.5

SEABLRound 17

Other2015

Meetings · Ballarat v Nunawading

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Nunawading winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#12

90-79

+11

A20/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

73-91

-18

H21/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

106-82

106

+24

H27/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

75-85

-10

H04/07

SEABL

Geelong

77-93

-16

H08/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

78-71

A18/07

SEABL

Albury

88-96

-8

H25/07

SEABL

Frankston

#15

77-73

A26/07

SEABL

BA CoE

101-84

101

+17

H01/08

SEABL

Dandenong

97-80

+17

A02/08

SEABL

14-23

23-20

32-14

21-22

24-23

21-21

14-27

14-20

31-22

24-22

20-19

31-19

13-20

19-20

14-17

29-28

23-33

23-20

18-22

13-18

21-18

21-14

19-16

17-23

17-27

24-33

23-25

24-11

23-22

18-14

21-14

15-23

28-16

34-24

21-20

18-24

32-23

22-19

26-20

17-18

169.6Avg total

86.2Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	87.1	85.9	173.0	+1.2	50%
Season at home (11)	89.0	88.2	177.2	+0.8	45%
Season away (11)	85.2	83.5	168.7	+1.6	55%
Last 10 (10)	86.2	83.4	169.6	+2.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	80.8	169.0	+7.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	73.0	91.0	164.0	-18.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	87.1	90.2	177.3	-3.1	36%
vs Weaker (10)	88.5	80.6	169.1	+7.9	70%

This opponent (Nunawading) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Nunawading Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#12

80-93

-13

H13/06

SEABL

Frankston

#15

94-85

H20/06

SEABL

Geelong

63-94

-31

A27/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

92-86

H28/06

SEABL

Frankston

#15

82-85

-3

A04/07

SEABL

Albury

100-90

100

+10

A10/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

79-75

H11/07

SEABL

Dandenong

85-114

114

-29

H18/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

107-68

107

+39

H26/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

80-92

-12

H01/08

SEABL

19-29

20-21

19-19

22-24

25-24

24-15

21-23

24-23

15-31

18-19

23-20

7-24

18-22

25-23

24-22

25-19

23-22

24-25

22-21

13-17

39-25

24-26

23-19

14-20

25-12

20-21

11-25

23-17

19-28

23-31

19-29

24-26

29-19

21-23

26-11

31-15

21-29

24-21

21-15

14-27

174.4Avg total

86.2Scored

88.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	87.3	86.5	173.8	+0.7	55%
Season at home (11)	88.7	88.0	176.7	+0.7	55%
Season away (11)	85.8	85.1	170.9	+0.7	55%
Last 10 (10)	86.2	88.2	174.4	-2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.2	87.8	178.0	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	84.8	85.0	169.8	-0.2	60%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	85.3	88.8	174.1	-3.5	46%
vs Weaker (4)	96.8	81.2	178.0	+15.5	75%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BallaratNunawading

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	23.0	22.6	45.5	+0.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	23.0	22.7	45.7	+0.3	55%	-
Last 30 away (11)	22.9	22.5	45.4	+0.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	22.7	45.3	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.2	45.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	23.3	24.0	47.3	-0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	22.8	22.1	44.9	+0.7	55%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	22.8	22.6	45.5	+0.2	55%	-
Last 30 away (11)	22.7	21.5	44.3	+1.2	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	24.1	47.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	22.6	49.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	25.4	23.8	49.2	+1.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.8	21.6	42.5	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.8	21.5	47.2	+4.2	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	21.7	21.7	43.4	+0.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	23.6	22.5	46.1	+1.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.7	43.6	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.8	44.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.7	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	22.7	21.4	44.0	+1.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	22.7	22.1	44.8	+0.6	45%	-
Last 30 away (11)	22.6	20.6	43.3	+2.0	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.5	44.8	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	24.4	46.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.7	21.6	44.3	+1.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.2	21.0	46.2	+4.2	50%	-

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#12

37-43

-6

A20/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

45-44

H21/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

55-44

+11

H27/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

32-40

-8

H04/07

SEABL

Geelong

46-53

-7

H08/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

42-32

+10

A18/07

SEABL

Albury

41-60

-19

H25/07

SEABL

Frankston

#15

41-36

A26/07

SEABL

BA CoE

62-40

+22

H01/08

SEABL

Dandenong

54-42

+12

A02/08

SEABL

88.9Avg total

45.5Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	44.7	44.3	89.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	46.6	45.2	91.8	+1.5	55%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.7	43.4	86.1	-0.6	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	43.4	88.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	42.0	90.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	45.0	44.0	89.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	44.9	46.4	91.3	-1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.4	42.0	86.4	+2.4	50%	-

This opponent (Nunawading) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NunawadingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Southern Sabres

#12

39-50

-11

H13/06

SEABL

Frankston

#15

49-39

+10

H20/06

SEABL

Geelong

33-50

-17

A27/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

43-45

-2

H28/06

SEABL

Frankston

#15

47-47

A04/07

SEABL

Albury

63-51

+12

A10/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

45-33

+12

H11/07

SEABL

Dandenong

42-59

-17

H18/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

50-42

H26/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

45-50

-5

H01/08

SEABL

92.2Avg total

45.6Scored

46.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	45.5	43.5	88.9	+2.0	55%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	45.5	44.7	90.3	+0.8	55%	-
Last 30 away (11)	45.4	42.2	87.5	+3.2	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	46.6	92.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	47.0	96.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	46.0	44.8	90.8	+1.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	43.5	43.2	86.8	+0.3	46%	-
vs Weaker (4)	51.0	42.5	93.5	+8.5	75%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.9	22.1	43.0	-1.2	45%	-
Last 30 away (11)	23.8	17.9	41.7	+5.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	27.0	41.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.5	22.7	45.3	-0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.0	16.3	39.3	+6.7	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.6	19.5	40.2	+1.1	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.2	19.2	42.5	+4.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.5	32%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.5	20.9	42.4	+0.5	45%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.6	22.3	40.9	-3.6	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	20.0	34.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.1	22.3	43.4	-1.2	30%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	36%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	24.0	22.3	46.3	+1.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (11)	17.6	21.4	39.0	-3.7	9%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	23%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	42.4	41.6	84.0	+0.8	36%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	42.4	43.0	85.4	-0.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.5	40.2	82.6	+2.3	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	40.0	80.7	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	38.8	79.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	47.0	75.0	-19.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	42.2	43.8	86.0	-1.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.1	38.6	82.7	+5.5	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	40.7	42.1	82.8	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	43.2	43.3	86.5	-0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (11)	38.3	40.9	79.2	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	41.6	82.2	-1.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	40.8	82.0	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.8	40.2	79.0	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	39.9	43.8	83.8	-3.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.8	38.8	84.5	+7.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ballarat wins

Nunawading wins

Date	Game	Score
02/05/15	Nunawading v Ballarat	91-88

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/08/15	A	Dandenong	97-80
01/08/15	H	BA CoE	101-84
26/07/15	A	Frankston	77-73
25/07/15	H	Albury	88-96
18/07/15	A	Canberra	78-71
08/07/15	H	Geelong	77-93
04/07/15	H	Hobart Chargers	75-85
27/06/15	H	Brisbane Spartans	106-82
21/06/15	H	Mt Gambier	73-91
20/06/15	A	Southern Sabres	90-79

Nunawadinglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/08/15	H	NW Tasmania	80-92
26/07/15	H	Canberra	107-68
18/07/15	H	Dandenong	85-114
11/07/15	H	Hobart Chargers	79-75
10/07/15	A	Albury	100-90
04/07/15	A	Frankston	82-85
28/06/15	H	Brisbane Spartans	92-86
27/06/15	A	Geelong	63-94
20/06/15	H	Frankston	94-85
13/06/15	H	Southern Sabres	80-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat

SEABL 2015

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	50%
Home	WLLLW	45%
Away	LWWWW	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	50%	45%	55%
Points / game	87.1	89.0	85.2
Allowed / game	85.9	88.2	83.5
Point differential	+1.2	+0.8	+1.6
Avg total	173.0	177.2	168.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	36%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	-	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Nunawading

SEABL 2015

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	55%
Home	WWLWL	55%
Away	LWLLW	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	55%	55%	55%
Points / game	87.3	88.7	85.8
Allowed / game	86.5	88.0	85.1
Point differential	+0.7	+0.7	+0.7
Avg total	173.8	176.7	170.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	18%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	50% (4)	40% (5)
Overtime %	9%	0%	18%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	22	19	3	86%	88.0	73.4	+14.6
2	Albury	22	15	7	68%	86.8	81.5	+5.3
3	Geelong	21	14	7	67%	84.1	79.7	+4.5
4	Bendigo	21	13	8	62%	82.5	81.7	+0.9
5	Dandenong	22	13	9	59%	84.5	83.8	+0.7
6	Nunawading	22	12	10	55%	87.3	86.5	+0.7
7	NW Tasmania	23	12	11	52%	83.2	81.6	+1.7
8	Ballarat	22	11	11	50%	87.1	85.9	+1.2
9	Kilsyth	22	10	12	45%	77.4	77.4	+0.0
10	BA CoE	14	6	8	43%	83.7	87.5	-3.8
11	Hobart Chargers	23	9	14	39%	68.8	71.9	-3.0
12	Southern Sabres	22	8	14	36%	81.8	83.2	-1.5
13	Brisbane Spartans	22	8	14	36%	80.7	83.3	-2.6
14	Canberra	23	8	15	35%	77.2	85.8	-8.6
15	Frankston	21	3	18	14%	76.4	87.6	-11.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ballarat	28	23	17	24	92
Nunawading	17	20	30	9	76

← all games of the day

Ballarat vs Nunawading Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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