Dandenong vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Aug 2015

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 80-97

23-32 19-22 20-26 18-17

Position#5

Record12-7

FormWLWWW

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game83.9

Dandenong

Ballarat 🏆

Position#7

Record10-11

FormLWLWW

Points / game86.6

Allowed / game86.1

SEABLRound 16

Other2015

Meetings · Dandenong v Ballarat

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dandenong winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ballarat winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dandenong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

#10

83-81

H24/05

SEABL

Bendigo

93-92

A30/05

SEABL

Frankston

#15

81-75

H13/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

85-88

-3

H18/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

76-74

A20/06

SEABL

Albury

80-76

H28/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

90-98 OT

-8

A03/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

94-83

+11

H11/07

SEABL

Nunawading

114-85

114

+29

A18/07

SEABL

Geelong

80-78

A25/07

SEABL

23-24

14-18

28-16

18-23

23-25

33-25

21-25

16-17

24-18

18-20

18-21

21-16

17-27

17-15

23-25

28-21

20-21

25-11

16-21

15-21

25-23

20-20

23-20

12-13

28-25

16-27

24-11

16-21

24-20

22-23

22-15

26-25

28-19

31-23

29-19

26-24

22-23

15-19

19-23

24-13

170.6Avg total

87.6Scored

83.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	85.2	83.9	169.1	+1.2	63%
Season at home (10)	83.0	82.8	165.8	+0.2	60%
Season away (9)	87.6	85.2	172.8	+2.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	83.0	170.6	+4.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	91.6	84.0	175.6	+7.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	88.8	89.8	178.5	-1.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	85.4	83.9	169.3	+1.5	67%
vs Weaker (3)	79.3	76.3	155.7	+3.0	67%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo

76-85

-9

A13/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

90-79

+11

A20/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

73-91

-18

H21/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

106-82

106

+24

H27/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

75-85

-10

H04/07

SEABL

Geelong

77-93

-16

H08/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

78-71

A18/07

SEABL

Albury

88-96

-8

H25/07

SEABL

Frankston

#15

77-73

A26/07

SEABL

BA CoE

101-84

101

+17

H01/08

SEABL

21-20

23-17

26-26

6-22

14-23

23-20

32-14

21-22

24-23

21-21

14-27

14-20

31-22

24-22

20-19

31-19

13-20

19-20

14-17

29-28

23-33

23-20

18-22

13-18

21-18

21-14

19-16

17-23

17-27

24-33

23-25

24-11

23-22

18-14

21-14

15-23

28-16

34-24

21-20

18-24

168.0Avg total

84.1Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	86.6	86.1	172.8	+0.5	48%
Season at home (11)	89.0	88.2	177.2	+0.8	45%
Season away (10)	84.0	83.9	167.9	+0.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	83.9	168.0	+0.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	83.4	167.6	+0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	73.0	91.0	164.0	-18.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	86.1	91.2	177.3	-5.1	30%
vs Weaker (10)	88.5	80.6	169.1	+7.9	70%

This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

DandenongBallarat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	22.1	22.1	44.2	+0.0	42%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.0	21.7	43.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	22.2	22.6	44.8	-0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	22.5	45.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	22.0	47.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.8	22.2	46.0	+1.5	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.2	22.8	45.0	-0.7	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	22.5	22.6	45.1	-0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	23.0	22.7	45.7	+0.3	55%	-
Last 30 away (10)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	22.4	43.9	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	23.2	45.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.4	24.1	46.5	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	20.4	20.7	41.2	-0.3	32%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.6	30%	-
Last 30 away (9)	21.4	21.4	42.9	+0.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.4	43.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	21.3	39.7	-3.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	21.7	21.8	43.5	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	23.6	22.5	46.1	+1.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (10)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.5	43.5	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.6	22.7	44.3	-1.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	60%	-

DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

#10

37-42

-5

H24/05

SEABL

Bendigo

56-50

A30/05

SEABL

Frankston

#15

42-38

H13/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

34-42

-8

H18/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

45-32

+13

A20/06

SEABL

Albury

45-43

H28/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

44-52

-8

A03/07

SEABL

NW Tasmania

46-43

H11/07

SEABL

Nunawading

59-42

+17

A18/07

SEABL

Geelong

37-42

-5

A25/07

SEABL

87.1Avg total

44.5Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	42.5	42.8	85.4	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	41.5	41.8	83.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	43.7	44.0	87.7	-0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	42.6	87.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	44.4	90.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	43.2	44.8	88.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	43.4	42.8	86.2	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.0	40.3	78.3	-2.3	33%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo

44-37

A13/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

37-43

-6

A20/06

SEABL

Mt Gambier

45-44

H21/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

55-44

+11

H27/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

32-40

-8

H04/07

SEABL

Geelong

46-53

-7

H08/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

42-32

+10

A18/07

SEABL

Albury

41-60

-19

H25/07

SEABL

Frankston

#15

41-36

A26/07

SEABL

BA CoE

62-40

+22

H01/08

SEABL

87.4Avg total

44.5Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	44.2	44.4	88.6	-0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	46.6	45.2	91.8	+1.5	55%	-
Last 30 away (10)	41.6	43.5	85.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	42.9	87.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	44.2	90.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	45.0	44.0	89.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	44.0	46.8	90.8	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.4	42.0	86.4	+2.4	50%	-

This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	22.1	18.6	40.7	+3.5	58%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	23.6	18.8	42.3	+4.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.6	41.9	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.6	41.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	25.0	19.0	44.0	+6.0	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.5	19.3	40.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	15.0	35.7	+5.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.9	22.1	43.0	-1.2	45%	-
Last 30 away (10)	23.6	17.7	41.3	+5.9	70%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	27.0	41.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.2	23.0	45.2	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.0	16.3	39.3	+6.7	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	42%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.7	22.6	43.3	-1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	22.5	41.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.5	21.8	42.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.5	20.9	42.4	+0.5	45%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.8	22.7	41.5	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.8	37.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	20.0	34.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.1	22.3	43.4	-1.2	30%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	42.3	40.4	82.7	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	41.5	41.0	82.5	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (9)	43.2	39.7	82.9	+3.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	39.0	81.5	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	36.8	81.0	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	44.0	41.5	85.5	+2.5	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	42.0	41.1	83.1	+0.9	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.3	36.0	77.3	+5.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	42.4	41.8	84.1	+0.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	42.4	43.0	85.4	-0.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (10)	42.4	40.4	82.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	41.0	80.6	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	39.2	77.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	47.0	75.0	-19.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.1	44.4	86.5	-2.3	30%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.1	38.6	82.7	+5.5	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Dandenong wins

Ballarat wins

Date	Game	Score
23/05/15	Ballarat v Dandenong	90-101

Dandenonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/07/15	A	Geelong	80-78
18/07/15	A	Nunawading	114-85
11/07/15	H	NW Tasmania	94-83
03/07/15	A	Mt Gambier	90-98 OT
28/06/15	H	Albury	80-76
20/06/15	A	Brisbane Spartans	76-74
18/06/15	H	Southern Sabres	85-88
13/06/15	H	Frankston	81-75
30/05/15	A	Bendigo	93-92
24/05/15	H	Hobart Chargers	83-81

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/08/15	H	BA CoE	101-84
26/07/15	A	Frankston	77-73
25/07/15	H	Albury	88-96
18/07/15	A	Canberra	78-71
08/07/15	H	Geelong	77-93
04/07/15	H	Hobart Chargers	75-85
27/06/15	H	Brisbane Spartans	106-82
21/06/15	H	Mt Gambier	73-91
20/06/15	A	Southern Sabres	90-79
13/06/15	A	Bendigo	76-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dandenong

SEABL 2015

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	63%
Home	WWLWW	60%
Away	WWLWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	63%	60%	67%
Points / game	85.2	83.0	87.6
Allowed / game	83.9	82.8	85.2
Point differential	+1.2	+0.2	+2.3
Avg total	169.1	165.8	172.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	10%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	60% (5)	80% (5)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

Ballarat

SEABL 2015

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	48%
Home	WLLLW	45%
Away	WLWWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	48%	45%	50%
Points / game	86.6	89.0	84.0
Allowed / game	86.1	88.2	83.9
Point differential	+0.5	+0.8	+0.1
Avg total	172.8	177.2	167.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	36%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	-	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	21	19	2	90%	89.0	73.6	+15.4
2	Albury	22	15	7	68%	86.8	81.5	+5.3
3	Geelong	19	12	7	63%	84.7	80.7	+4.0
4	Dandenong	19	12	7	63%	85.2	83.9	+1.2
5	Bendigo	20	12	8	60%	83.2	82.9	+0.3
6	NW Tasmania	22	12	10	55%	83.5	81.2	+2.2
7	Nunawading	22	12	10	55%	87.3	86.5	+0.7
8	BA CoE	11	6	5	55%	86.5	87.4	-0.8
9	Ballarat	21	10	11	48%	86.6	86.1	+0.5
10	Hobart Chargers	21	9	12	43%	70.1	72.4	-2.3
11	Kilsyth	20	8	12	40%	77.5	78.6	-1.1
12	Southern Sabres	22	8	14	36%	81.8	83.2	-1.5
13	Brisbane Spartans	21	7	14	33%	80.2	83.8	-3.6
14	Canberra	22	7	15	32%	77.2	86.2	-9.0
15	Frankston	21	3	18	14%	76.4	87.6	-11.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Dandenong	23	19	20	18	80
Ballarat	32	22	26	17	97

← all games of the day

Dandenong vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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