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Barcelona vs Fenerbahce Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 24 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record7-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
3.7/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record7-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14· Palau Blaugrana
European cup2026
Meetings · Barcelona v Fenerbahce
24 Nov 2026
BAR v FEN
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
BAR78
FEN82
17 Dec 2024
BAR90
FEN63
08 Dec 2023
BAR89
FEN81
04 Nov 2022
BAR81
FEN80
25 Mar 2022
BAR88
FEN67
12 Nov 2020
BAR97
FEN55
30 Nov 2018
BAR65
FEN84
08 Dec 2017
BAR68
FEN83
21 Oct 2016
BAR72
FEN73
11 Dec 2014
BAR89
FEN91
06 Mar 2014
BAR93
FEN73
29 Nov 2013
BAR94
FEN81
28 Dec 2012
BAR100
FEN78
04 Nov 2010
BAR61
FEN69
03 Dec 2009
BAR89
FEN55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
90-87
90
87
+3
90avg 83
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
92avg 83
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
89-113
89
113
-24
86avg 83
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 83
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#5
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 83
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 83
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
98-94
98
94
+4
91avg 83
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
no box
H08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
17-18
27-22
23-23
30-26
17-31
19-20
26-15
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
21-17
20-25
23-19
24-23
30-25
14-17
25-26
29-26
25-29
20-25
27-18
20-17
19-21
27-25
27-18
20-26
23-20
16-20
30-30
30-21
185.2Avg total
93.7Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.088.7179.7+2.370%
Season at home (5)91.691.2182.8+0.460%
Season away (5)90.486.2176.6+4.280%
Last 10 (10)93.791.5185.2+2.280%
Last 5 (5)94.089.6183.6+4.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)89.599.6189.1-10.138%
vs Similar ◀ (10)91.888.0179.8+3.860%
vs Weaker (12)95.786.8182.4+8.992%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
74-65
74
65
+9
73avg 79
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#6
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 79
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 79
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#8
W
97-72
97
72
+25
98avg 79
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 79
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#5
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 79
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
88-77
88
77
+11
85avg 79
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
84-65
84
65
+19
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
78-59
78
59
+19
no box
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#12
L
109-111 OT
109
111
-2
no box
A11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
13-9
34-16
15-21
12-24
21-15
18-19
26-24
8-20
16-14
21-15
19-12
25-16
24-20
25-14
23-22
9-19
16-17
21-24
32-26
24-22
18-25
13-23
21-25
25-21
22-22
23-16
18-18
33-18
19-14
11-9
21-24
23-15
20-21
16-11
19-12
14-23
29-27
29-22
20-20
159.8Avg total
82.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.978.6161.5+4.364%
Season at home (6)85.270.0155.2+15.2100%
Season away (5)80.289.0169.2-8.820%
Last 10 (10)82.577.3159.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)87.081.4168.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.388.7159.0-18.30%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.078.0160.0+4.073%
vs Weaker (12)90.577.0167.5+13.583%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
BarcelonaFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/11
ACB
89.1Avg total
43.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.342.986.2+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.842.183.9-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)44.843.788.5+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.289.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.887.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.146.185.2-7.012%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.942.986.8+1.040%-
vs Weaker (12)45.640.886.4+4.867%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/11
Euroleague
76.4Avg total
38.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.981.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.978.8+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)42.441.884.1+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.176.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.687.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.742.077.7-6.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.641.079.6-2.440%-
vs Weaker (12)47.138.185.2+9.083%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.9
57.6%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.9
39.2%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
77.1%15.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.9
58.2%
55.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.9
77.9%
77.1%15.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
WWWWWWWLLW
Fenerbahce
LWWWLLWWLW
#4
League position
#7
-0.3
Net rating
+3.1
104.9
Offensive rating
97.9
105.3
Defensive rating
94.8
58.1%
Effective FG%
54.2%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.2%
3-point %
33.1%
50.9%
Assist %
62.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 97.9Defence105.3 · 94.8Shooting58.1% · 54.2%3-point %39.2% · 33.1%Ball care14.9% · 15.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Barcelona   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Barcelona wins
4
Fenerbahce wins
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBreogan99-91
05/11/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv93-90
01/11/26AUnicaja92-89
30/10/26HValencia98-94
27/10/26ABayern88-84
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113
16/10/26HOlympiacos100-105 OT
13/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-87
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AParis109-111 OT
07/11/26ABursaspor78-59
05/11/26HBaskonia84-65
01/11/26HTofas88-77
29/10/26AReal Madrid76-95
27/10/26AValencia78-86
25/10/26AKarsiyaka97-72
23/10/26AOlympiacos64-61
18/10/26HPetkim Spor77-82
15/10/26HPartizan74-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game91.091.690.4
Allowed / game88.791.286.2
Point differential+2.3+0.4+4.2
Avg total179.7182.8176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL64%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%100%20%
Points / game82.985.280.2
Allowed / game78.670.089.0
Point differential+4.3+15.2-8.8
Avg total161.5155.2169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos108280%87.678.7+8.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona107370%91.088.7+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
13 Anadolu Efes104640%84.287.1-2.9
14 Besiktas104640%87.790.9-3.2
15 Virtus Bologna104640%85.689.5-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%88.393.0-4.7
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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