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Barcelos W vs Esgueira W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 69-98
14-33 13-17 27-19 15-29
Position#8
Record9-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game73.0
Barcelos W
Portugal
vs
Esgueira W 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game60.9
PortugalLFB WomenRound 21· Escola Secundaria de Barcelos
Women2024-25
Meetings · Barcelos W v Esgueira W
08 Dec 2025
BARC68
ESGU60
05 Apr 2025
BARC64
ESGU67
16 Mar 2025
BARC69
ESGU98
22 Dec 2023
BARC62
ESGU64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelos W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Barcelos WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Benfica W
#2
L
57-60
57
60
-3
45avg 58
H29/12
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
83avg 58
A04/01
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
54avg 58
A12/01
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
W
81-67
81
67
+14
76avg 58
H19/01
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#4
L
0-20
0
20
-20
85avg 58
A21/01
Taca de Portugal Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
63-78
63
78
-15
50avg 58
A01/02
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
W
72-67
72
67
+5
67avg 58
H16/02
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
66avg 58
A26/02
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
W
74-59
74
59
+15
72avg 58
H02/03
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
67-82
67
82
-15
54avg 58
A09/03
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-15
12-13
14-11
22-21
17-18
25-21
13-20
24-20
19-15
20-25
13-20
18-30
19-10
23-13
12-22
27-22
–
–
–
–
9-22
10-20
25-12
19-24
20-15
20-18
18-18
14-16
21-25
18-28
27-17
12-10
24-18
12-8
24-21
14-12
19-24
8-25
12-14
28-19
134.4Avg total
65.3Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)69.773.0142.8-3.345%
Season at home (10)68.765.7134.4+3.060%
Season away (10)70.780.4151.1-9.730%
Last 10 (10)65.369.1134.4-3.840%
Last 5 (5)70.873.2144.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)64.176.3140.4-12.212%
vs Similar (5)72.072.4144.4-0.460%
vs Weaker (8)80.465.8146.1+14.6100%
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Esgueira WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
82avg 65
H21/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
73-65
73
65
+8
72avg 65
H05/01
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
W
67-54
67
54
+13
62avg 65
A11/01
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
71-58
71
58
+13
59avg 65
H18/01
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
W
70-52
70
52
+18
62avg 65
A01/02
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
W
69-46
69
46
+23
64avg 65
A07/02
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
83-62
83
62
+21
71avg 65
H15/02
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
77-52
77
52
+25
68avg 65
H26/02
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
W
72-51
72
51
+21
65avg 65
A02/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
65avg 65
H08/03
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
19-25
24-18
14-17
25-16
16-15
15-20
17-14
17-19
15-11
16-13
19-11
13-17
21-14
14-15
23-12
19-10
20-8
16-15
15-19
21-12
19-13
19-9
10-12
19-15
24-12
14-25
26-10
16-15
28-6
23-17
10-14
14-13
19-17
14-13
25-8
14-17
23-24
20-21
22-26
136.5Avg total
74.8Scored
61.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.960.9135.8+14.090%
Season at home (10)79.265.1144.3+14.190%
Season away (10)70.656.7127.3+13.990%
Last 10 (10)74.861.7136.5+13.180%
Last 5 (5)76.059.8135.8+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.068.8128.8-8.820%
vs Similar (5)69.664.0133.6+5.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)75.358.3133.6+16.9100%
This opponent (Barcelos W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
Barcelos WEsgueira W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Barcelos WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica W
#2
L
21-28
21
28
-7
H29/12
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A04/01
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A12/01
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H19/01
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
19-42
19
42
-23
A01/02
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H16/02
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A26/02
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H02/03
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A09/03
LFB Women
70.9Avg total
33.9Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.536.671.1-2.048%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.332.567.7+2.867%-
Last 30 away (14)33.740.974.6-7.229%-
Last 10 (9)33.937.070.9-3.144%-
Last 5 (5)32.240.672.8-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.638.570.1-6.919%-
vs Similar (5)34.636.871.4-2.260%-
vs Weaker (8)40.232.572.8+7.8100%-
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Esgueira WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H21/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H05/01
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A11/01
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H18/01
LFB Women
Natacao W
#11
W
39-18
39
18
+21
A01/02
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A07/02
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H15/02
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H26/02
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A02/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H08/03
LFB Women
68.2Avg total
38.4Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.630.266.9+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.333.572.8+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)33.626.560.1+7.179%-
Last 10 (10)38.429.868.2+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)39.428.868.2+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.032.061.0-3.040%-
vs Similar (5)34.634.068.6+0.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.928.167.0+10.989%-
This opponent (Barcelos W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelos Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelos W: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.2
48.9%
43.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.25.8
22.1%
29.8%17.4
🏀 Free throws20.515.3
74.6%
72.2%15.3
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueira Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira W: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.517.9
46.5%
43.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.3
32.7%
29.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws14.310.3
72.0%
72.2%10.3
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelos W
LWLWLLWLWL
Esgueira W
LWWWWWWWWL
#8
League position
#1
-2.2
Net rating
+16.8
88.6
Offensive rating
92.2
90.8
Defensive rating
75.3
42.8%
Effective FG%
47.6%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
40.2%
23.2%
Turnover %
21.0%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
22.1%
3-point %
32.7%
67.3%
Assist %
66.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence88.6 · 92.2Defence90.8 · 75.3Shooting42.8% · 47.6%3-point %22.1% · 32.7%Ball care23.2% · 21.0%Off. rebounds30.1% · 24.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Barcelos W   ■ Esgueira W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Barcelos W wins
3
Esgueira W wins
DateGameScore
08/12/24Esgueira W v Barcelos W91-73
22/12/23Barcelos W v Esgueira W62-64
08/10/23Esgueira W v Barcelos W103-72
Barcelos Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25ACAB Madeira W67-82
02/03/25HNatacao W74-59
26/02/25AQuinta Dos Lombos W78-80
16/02/25HGalitos W72-67
01/02/25AGdessa Barreiro W63-78
21/01/25ACDEFF W0-20
19/01/25HAD Vagos W81-67
12/01/25AUniao Sportiva W70-90
04/01/25ASanjoanense W91-88 OT
29/12/24HBenfica W57-60
Esgueira Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HBenfica W79-88
02/03/25AImortal W72-51
26/02/25HSanjoanense W77-52
15/02/25HCAB Madeira W83-62
07/02/25AAD Vagos W69-46
01/02/25ANatacao W70-52
18/01/25HQuinta Dos Lombos W71-58
11/01/25AGalitos W67-54
05/01/25HGdessa Barreiro W73-65
21/12/24HGdessa Barreiro W87-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelos W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL45%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%60%30%
Points / game69.768.770.7
Allowed / game73.065.780.4
Point differential-3.4+3.0-9.7
Avg total142.8134.4151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Esgueira W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL90%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%90%90%
Points / game74.979.270.6
Allowed / game60.965.156.7
Point differential+14.0+14.1+13.9
Avg total135.8144.3127.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%60%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esgueira W2018290%74.960.9+14.0
2 Benfica W2117481%79.557.3+22.2
3 Gdessa Barreiro W2115671%70.262.3+7.9
4 Galitos W2114767%66.964.2+2.7
5 Uniao Sportiva W2114767%63.261.5+1.8
6 Quinta Dos Lombos W2112957%72.062.5+9.4
7 Imortal W21101148%71.268.9+2.3
8 Barcelos W2091145%69.773.0-3.4
9 CAB Madeira W2161529%65.671.7-6.0
10 Sanjoanense W2161529%64.372.6-8.3
11 Natacao W2021810%58.578.2-19.8
12 AD Vagos W201195%58.082.2-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelos W1413271569
Esgueira W3317192998
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