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Barreirense vs Vasco Da Gama Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Projected 84-86
Projected total 170.4
Scheduled
Position#13
Record2-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game83.9
Vs
42%
58%
■ BARR 42%■ VASC 58%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
6.7/10
Above normal
Position#11
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game88.8
PortugalProligaRound 8· Pavilhao Municipal Luis de Carvalho
Other2026-27
Meetings · Barreirense v Vasco Da Gama
21 Nov 2026
BARR v VASC
upcoming
30 Mar 2024
BARR60
VASC80
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Barreirense host Vasco Da Gama in the Proliga. Pythia makes Vasco Da Gama the favourite at 58% and projects 84-86, about 170 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Barreirense are 2-5 this season (75.0 scored, 83.9 allowed a game), form WLWLL; Vasco Da Gama are 2-4 this season (85.8 scored, 88.8 allowed a game), form LWLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barreirense win
41.5%fair 2.41
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco Da Gama win
58.5%fair 1.71
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarreirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarreirense
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
L
51-58
51
58
-7
no box
A26/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
H27/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
72-76
72
76
-4
no box
H04/05
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
63-71
63
71
-8
47avg 66
H03/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
61avg 66
A10/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
91-90
91
90
+1
84avg 66
H17/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
65-92
65
92
-27
49avg 66
A24/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
89avg 66
H31/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
68-93
68
93
-25
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
64-75
64
75
-11
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-17
9-6
15-19
20-16
13-24
22-20
19-9
22-17
21-22
17-13
17-18
17-23
21-22
10-22
12-12
20-15
10-22
14-19
18-17
29-13
22-20
29-21
22-19
18-30
9-22
14-29
16-16
26-25
20-28
23-23
23-11
29-23
17-23
25-24
11-17
15-29
11-18
18-19
17-17
18-21
151.5Avg total
72.4Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.083.9158.9-8.929%
Season at home (3)83.082.0165.0+1.067%
Season away (4)69.085.2154.2-16.20%
Last 10 (10)72.479.1151.5-6.730%
Last 5 (5)76.687.0163.6-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.882.4154.2-10.618%
vs Similar (10)76.975.7152.6+1.240%
vs Weaker (3)76.771.0147.7+5.767%
This opponent (Vasco Da Gama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vasco Da GamaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGama
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
81-112
81
112
-31
75avg 68
H04/04
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
79-95
79
95
-16
71avg 68
A11/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
96-89
96
89
+7
92avg 68
H18/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
70-103
70
103
-33
59avg 68
A25/04
LPB
Sampaense
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
30avg 68
H03/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
84-92
84
92
-8
74avg 68
A10/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
82-72
82
72
+10
72avg 68
H17/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 68
A24/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 68
H31/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
101-103 OT
101
103
-2
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
18-30
21-26
19-31
25-30
17-22
22-17
15-26
28-14
20-17
18-24
30-34
27-23
21-37
12-21
10-22
24-20
23-19
22-21
21-22
14-29
16-27
26-22
28-14
35-20
10-27
14-12
23-13
20-24
16-28
20-24
20-17
21-26
20-18
20-23
21-24
24-14
22-23
27-31
17-22
177.3Avg total
84.1Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.888.8174.7-3.033%
Season at home (3)84.781.7166.3+3.067%
Season away (3)87.096.0183.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)84.193.2177.3-9.130%
Last 5 (5)85.090.2175.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)82.098.4180.4-16.423%
vs Similar (7)89.186.6175.7+2.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Barreirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 149
Over 149
90.5%
Under 149
9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 154
Over 154
84.1%
Under 154
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159
Over 159
75.4%
Under 159
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Barreirense total 75
Over 75
81.4%
Under 75
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barreirense total 79
Over 79
68.8%
Under 79
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barreirense total 83
Over 83
53.5%
Under 83
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasco Da Gama total 71.5
Over 71.5
92.6%
Under 71.5
7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasco Da Gama total 75.5
Over 75.5
85.5%
Under 75.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasco Da Gama total 79.5
Over 79.5
74.8%
Under 79.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Barreirense -3
BARR -3
32.7%
VASC +3
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
BARR
No market prices yet.
VASC
No market prices yet.
Spread Barreirense 0
BARR 0
41.5%
VASC 0
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
BARR
No market prices yet.
VASC
No market prices yet.
Spread Barreirense +3
BARR +3
50.5%
VASC -3
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
BARR
No market prices yet.
VASC
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
BarreirenseVasco Da Gama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarreirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
L
16-23
16
23
-7
A26/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H27/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H04/05
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H03/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A10/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H17/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
23-51
23
51
-28
A24/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H31/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/11
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A14/11
Proliga
74.6Avg total
33.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.541.377.8-4.823%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.341.380.6-2.036%-
Last 30 away (16)34.041.375.3-7.312%-
Last 10 (10)33.241.474.6-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.645.483.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.943.479.4-7.518%-
vs Similar (10)36.538.374.8-1.830%-
vs Weaker (3)39.339.378.7+0.033%-
This opponent (Vasco Da Gama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vasco Da GamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H04/04
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H18/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A25/04
LPB
Sampaense
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H03/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A10/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H17/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A24/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H31/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/11
Proliga
89.7Avg total
42.4Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.448.289.6-6.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.348.089.3-6.731%-
Last 30 away (14)41.648.490.0-6.936%-
Last 10 (10)42.447.389.7-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.647.286.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)40.450.691.0-10.223%-
vs Similar (7)44.140.985.0+3.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)45.047.092.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Barreirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barreirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barreirense: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.0
47.6%
52.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.7
29.5%
30.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws24.516.5
67.3%
67.3%16.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vasco Da Gamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco Da Gama: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.2
55.2%
52.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.2
29.5%
30.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.612.9
65.8%
67.3%12.9
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barreirense
LLWLWLLLWL
Vasco Da Gama
LLLWLWLWLL
#13
League position
#11
-1.0
Net rating
-16.4
93.7
Offensive rating
82.1
94.7
Defensive rating
98.5
46.4%
Effective FG%
50.3%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.5%
3-point %
29.5%
56.8%
Assist %
73.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 82.1Defence94.7 · 98.5Shooting46.4% · 50.3%3-point %29.5% · 29.5%Ball care18.1% · 18.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Barreirense   ■ Vasco Da Gama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Barreirense wins
2
Vasco Da Gama wins
DateGameScore
30/03/24Barreirense v Vasco Da Gama60-80
03/03/24Vasco Da Gama v Barreirense106-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASanto Andre64-75
07/11/26ALusitania68-93
31/10/26HMaia95-85
24/10/26AGalomar65-92
17/10/26HGinasio Olhanense91-90
10/10/26ABarcelos79-81 OT
03/10/26HGalitos Aveiro63-71
04/05/25HMaia72-76
27/04/25HGalitos Aveiro76-70
26/04/25ASanto Andre51-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AMaia101-103 OT
31/10/26HGalomar82-91
24/10/26AGinasio Olhanense76-93
17/10/26HBarcelos82-72
10/10/26AGalitos Aveiro84-92
03/10/26HSampaense90-82
25/04/26ABenfica70-103
18/04/26HVitoria96-89
11/04/26AImortal79-95
04/04/26HSporting CP81-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barreirense
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game75.083.069.0
Allowed / game83.982.085.2
Point differential-8.9+1.0-16.2
Avg total158.9165.0154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Vasco Da Gama
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game85.884.787.0
Allowed / game88.881.796.0
Point differential-3.0+3.0-9.0
Avg total174.7166.3183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Galomar64267%77.767.2+10.5
6 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
16 Benfica Lisboa B71614%66.380.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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