Lusitania will host Barreirense in the Proliga on 7 November 2026, with the model designating Lusitania as the clear favourite because of their 3-2 record, 79.0 points per game and 73.2 allowed, and a 6th place league position, while Barreirense sits 13th with 2-3, 78.6 points scored and 83.8 allowed; Lusitania's home record of 2-1 and a recent 3-2 run, including a 77-75 home win over Galomar, contrast with Barreirense's 0-2 road record, 72.0 points per game and 86.5 allowed, and a 2-3 overall run that includes a 91-90 home win over Ginasio Olhanense; the head-to-head history shows Lusitania winning 9 of 10 meetings, most recently 94-82 on 5 April 2025; Pythia gives Lusitania an 87% chance of victory and a 13% chance for Barreirense, projecting a 87-74 score and 160.6 total points, with a home line of -7.5 and a 68% probability that Lusitania covers, an over line of 163.5 with a 43% chance of the over, and a 3% overtime probability. The game will likely end with Lusitania's 87-point performance against Barreirense's 74.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 79.0 | 73.2 | 152.2 | +5.8 | 60% |
| Season at home (3) | 76.7 | 76.0 | 152.7 | +0.7 | 67% |
| Season away (2) | 82.5 | 69.0 | 151.5 | +13.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.9 | 73.1 | 158.0 | +11.8 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.0 | 73.2 | 152.2 | +5.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 72.5 | 85.0 | 157.5 | -12.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (6) | 80.7 | 75.8 | 156.5 | +4.8 | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 86.5 | 73.0 | 159.4 | +13.5 | 86% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 78.6 | 83.8 | 162.4 | -5.2 | 40% |
| Season at home (3) | 83.0 | 82.0 | 165.0 | +1.0 | 67% |
| Season away (2) | 72.0 | 86.5 | 158.5 | -14.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.7 | 79.5 | 155.2 | -3.8 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.6 | 83.8 | 162.4 | -5.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 71.5 | 79.9 | 151.5 | -8.4 | 24% |
| vs Similar (10) | 76.9 | 75.7 | 152.6 | +1.2 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 76.7 | 71.0 | 147.7 | +5.7 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.8 | 37.6 | 79.4 | +4.1 | 60% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 39.6 | 34.7 | 74.3 | +4.9 | 62% | 25% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 44.2 | 41.0 | 85.2 | +3.2 | 57% | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.9 | 37.0 | 79.9 | +5.9 | 70% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.8 | 38.8 | 76.6 | -1.0 | 60% | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 36.5 | 42.5 | 79.0 | -6.0 | 0% | 50% |
| vs Similar (6) | 39.7 | 38.8 | 78.5 | +0.8 | 50% | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 42.8 | 36.9 | 79.7 | +6.0 | 68% | 45% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.2 | 40.3 | 76.5 | -4.1 | 30% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 39.0 | 40.4 | 79.4 | -1.4 | 40% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 33.4 | 40.2 | 73.6 | -6.8 | 20% | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.9 | 42.0 | 76.9 | -7.1 | 30% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.4 | 45.6 | 80.0 | -11.2 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 35.5 | 41.6 | 77.1 | -6.2 | 29% | 47% |
| vs Similar (10) | 36.5 | 38.3 | 74.8 | -1.8 | 30% | 30% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 39.3 | 39.3 | 78.7 | +0.0 | 33% | 33% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lusitania -7 | 70.2% | 1.76 | 1.76 | - | - | - | - | +18.2pp | Won |
| Lusitania -3.5 | 80.1% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +16.7pp | Won |
| Lusitania (regulation) | 84.9% | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.19 | - | - | - | +10.2pp | Won |
| Lusitania -6.5 | 71.2% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Won |
| Lusitania -5.5 | 74.3% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Lusitania -4.5 | 77.3% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Lusitania win | 86.6% | 1.19 | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.19 | +9.0pp | Won |
| Barreirense under 79.5 | 71.1% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Barreirense under 80.5 | 74.3% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Barreirense under 81.5 | 77.3% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Lusitania over 79.5 | 76.4% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Lusitania over 80.5 | 73.2% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 97.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 45.7 | 25.4 | 52.8% | 50.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.3 | 7.2 | 30.4% | 21.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.2 | 12.5 | 67.0% | 12.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.9 | 19.0 | 52.8% | 38.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.7 | 6.7 | 30.4% | 20.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.5 | 16.5 | 67.0% | 16.5 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05/04/25 | Lusitania v Barreirense | 94-82 |
| 16/02/25 | Barreirense v Lusitania | 80-90 |
| 05/01/25 | Barreirense v Lusitania | 65-74 |
| 09/11/24 | Lusitania v Barreirense | 70-56 |
| 28/03/21 | Barreirense v Lusitania | 85-86 |
| 30/10/20 | Lusitania v Barreirense | 87-67 |
| 11/01/20 | Barreirense v Lusitania | 87-75 |
| 19/10/19 | Lusitania v Barreirense | 89-58 |
| 22/04/18 | Lusitania v Barreirense | 86-72 |
| 25/03/18 | Barreirense v Lusitania | 80-84 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Santo Andre | 80-85 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Maia | 77-82 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Galomar | 77-75 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Ginasio Olhanense | 88-56 |
| 05/10/26 | H | Barcelos | 73-68 |
| 02/05/26 | H | CB Queluz | 89-68 |
| 26/04/26 | A | Academica | 85-79 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Galomar | 108-88 |
| 03/04/26 | A | Santo Andre | 85-70 |
| 29/03/26 | H | Sampaense | 87-60 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Maia | 95-85 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Galomar | 65-92 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Ginasio Olhanense | 91-90 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Barcelos | 79-81 OT |
| 03/10/26 | H | Galitos Aveiro | 63-71 |
| 04/05/25 | H | Maia | 72-76 |
| 27/04/25 | H | Galitos Aveiro | 76-70 |
| 26/04/25 | A | Santo Andre | 51-58 |
| 05/04/25 | A | Lusitania | 82-94 |
| 29/03/25 | H | Ginasio | 83-78 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLL | 60% |
| Home | WWL | 67% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Points / game | 79.0 | 76.7 | 82.5 |
| Allowed / game | 73.2 | 76.0 | 69.0 |
| Point differential | +5.8 | +0.7 | +13.5 |
| Avg total | 152.2 | 152.7 | 151.5 |
| Over 161 | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (4) | 67% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLW | 40% |
| Home | LWW | 67% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Points / game | 78.6 | 83.0 | 72.0 |
| Allowed / game | 83.8 | 82.0 | 86.5 |
| Point differential | -5.2 | +1.0 | -14.5 |
| Avg total | 162.4 | 165.0 | 158.5 |
| Over 161 | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 75.0 | 60.5 | +14.5 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 75.4 | 70.4 | +5.0 | |
| 3 | Santo Andre | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 78.7 | 76.2 | +2.5 |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 74.3 | 73.0 | +1.3 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 77.2 | 69.0 | +8.2 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 87.6 | 81.6 | +6.0 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 79.0 | 73.2 | +5.8 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 71.0 | 71.0 | +0.0 | |
| 9 | Maia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 82.8 | 85.0 | -2.2 |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 82.8 | 86.0 | -3.2 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 70.0 | 74.6 | -4.6 | |
| 12 | Barcelos | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 69.6 | 74.6 | -5.0 |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 78.6 | 83.8 | -5.2 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 84.7 | 88.7 | -4.0 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 67.7 | 80.7 | -13.0 | |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 79.2 | 86.0 | -6.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 24 | 17 | 29 | 93 | |
| 17 | 25 | 11 | 15 | 68 |
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