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Barreirense vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 72-76
21-22 17-13 17-18 17-23
Position#13
Record10-17
FormWWLLW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Maia 🏆
Portugal
Position#8
Record15-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game79.4
PortugalProligaRound 14· Pavilhao Municipal Luis de Carvalho
Other2024-25
Meetings · Barreirense v Maia
31 Oct 2026
BARR95
MAIA85
04 May 2025
BARR72
MAIA76
04 Mar 2023
BARR78
MAIA91
19 Mar 2021
BARR102
MAIA97
29 Dec 2019
BARR107
MAIA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barreirense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarreirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarreirense
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 64
H16/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 64
A22/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
66-82
66
82
-16
56avg 64
H01/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
65-68
65
68
-3
60avg 64
A08/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
89-87
89
87
+2
92avg 64
H15/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
84-68
84
68
+16
71avg 64
A23/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
83-78
83
78
+5
71avg 64
H29/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
82-94
82
94
-12
76avg 64
A05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
51-58
51
58
-7
37avg 64
A26/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
76-70
76
70
+6
67avg 64
H27/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
25-20
24-18
21-32
21-29
23-15
14-6
22-17
19-20
9-19
15-21
23-22
17-19
17-17
16-16
15-16
25-17
30-21
18-24
16-25
14-20
20-18
25-15
25-15
19-22
20-21
20-16
24-19
26-25
23-22
12-28
21-19
7-17
9-6
15-19
20-16
13-24
22-20
19-9
22-17
151.8Avg total
75.6Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.375.5147.7-3.237%
Season at home (13)75.776.4152.1-0.754%
Season away (14)69.174.6143.7-5.621%
Last 10 (10)75.676.2151.8-0.650%
Last 5 (5)75.273.6148.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)68.976.9145.7-8.021%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.373.5146.8-0.345%
vs Weaker (5)72.670.6143.2+2.060%
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
69-74
69
74
-5
58avg 66
A15/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
85-66
85
66
+19
80avg 66
A01/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
68-65
68
65
+3
56avg 66
H08/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
88avg 66
H16/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
72-96
72
96
-24
54avg 66
A22/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
77-71
77
71
+6
70avg 66
A29/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
71avg 66
H05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
64-60
64
60
+4
53avg 66
H16/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
78-73
78
73
+5
73avg 66
A19/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
88-74
88
74
+14
81avg 66
H25/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
11-16
18-21
22-17
27-22
13-14
21-14
24-16
19-17
17-17
16-16
16-15
19-28
30-14
18-17
26-27
13-20
23-29
16-17
20-30
22-14
18-13
24-26
13-18
18-16
23-16
10-19
20-20
19-18
9-13
19-21
17-8
25-16
14-28
21-17
18-12
21-17
10-18
28-18
29-21
152.4Avg total
77.8Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.379.4155.7-3.056%
Season at home (14)77.575.4152.9+2.179%
Season away (13)75.183.7158.8-8.631%
Last 10 (10)77.874.6152.4+3.280%
Last 5 (5)78.271.8150.0+6.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.283.6155.8-11.531%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.281.4160.6-2.254%
vs Weaker (4)75.068.0143.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Barreirense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
BarreirenseMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarreirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H16/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H01/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A08/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H15/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A23/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H29/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
16-23
16
23
-7
A26/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H27/04
Proliga
76.1Avg total
36.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.838.574.3-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.438.976.4-1.536%-
Last 30 away (16)34.438.172.6-3.731%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.276.1-2.320%-
Last 5 (5)34.639.073.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.239.975.1-4.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.937.273.1-1.327%-
vs Weaker (5)37.437.675.0-0.240%-
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A15/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A01/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H08/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H16/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A22/03
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A29/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H16/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A19/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H25/04
Proliga
73.5Avg total
36.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.140.876.9-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.538.475.9-0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)34.743.277.9-8.520%-
Last 10 (10)36.936.673.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.869.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.743.478.1-8.715%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.940.378.2-2.454%-
vs Weaker (4)34.834.068.8+0.850%-
This opponent (Barreirense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barreirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barreirense: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.7
50.0%
49.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.8
30.9%
30.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws24.216.8
69.4%
68.4%16.8
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.716.1
45.1%
49.9%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.8
35.6%
30.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.915.6
74.6%
68.4%15.6
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barreirense
WLLWWWLLWL
Maia
WWWWWLWWWL
#13
League position
#8
-1.1
Net rating
+4.7
102.2
Offensive rating
106.8
103.3
Defensive rating
102.1
48.7%
Effective FG%
48.7%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
21.2%
Turnover %
18.2%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.9%
3-point %
35.6%
60.0%
Assist %
57.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 106.8Defence103.3 · 102.1Shooting48.7% · 48.7%3-point %30.9% · 35.6%Ball care21.2% · 18.2%Off. rebounds35.4% · 34.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Barreirense   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Barreirense wins
4
Maia wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Maia v Barreirense68-65
01/04/23Maia v Barreirense107-109 OT
04/03/23Barreirense v Maia78-91
19/03/21Barreirense v Maia102-97 OT
13/12/20Maia v Barreirense79-77 OT
29/12/19Barreirense v Maia107-79
05/10/19Maia v Barreirense93-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HGalitos Aveiro76-70
26/04/25ASanto Andre51-58
05/04/25ALusitania82-94
29/03/25HGinasio83-78
23/03/25ABenfica Lisboa B84-68
15/03/25HSampaense89-87
08/03/25AMaia65-68
01/03/25HSanto Andre66-82
22/02/25AGalitos Aveiro80-67
16/02/25HLusitania80-90
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/25HGinasio88-74
19/04/25ASanto Andre78-73
16/04/25HSanto Andre64-60
05/04/25HBenfica Lisboa B84-81 OT
29/03/25AGalitos Aveiro77-71
22/03/25ASampaense72-96
16/03/25HLusitania93-86
08/03/25HBarreirense68-65
01/03/25AGinasio85-66
15/02/25ABenfica Lisboa B69-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barreirense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW37%
HomeLLWWW54%
AwayWLWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %37%54%21%
Points / game72.375.769.1
Allowed / game75.576.474.6
Point differential-3.2-0.7-5.6
Avg total147.7152.1143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Maia
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW56%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayLWLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%79%31%
Points / game76.377.575.1
Allowed / game79.475.483.7
Point differential-3.0+2.1-8.6
Avg total155.7152.9158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)100% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga2822679%83.370.8+12.5
2 Vasco Da Gama2820871%83.478.7+4.7
3 CAB Madeira2819968%76.770.2+6.5
4 CB Queluz28171161%78.274.7+3.5
5 Illiabum28161257%74.869.9+4.8
6 Portimonense28161257%76.874.1+2.6
7 Lusitania27151256%79.676.8+2.8
8 Maia27151256%76.379.4-3.0
9 Santo Andre27141352%72.069.7+2.2
10 Sangalhos28111739%76.777.5-0.8
11 Barreirense27101737%72.375.5-3.2
12 Sampaense27101737%80.384.9-4.6
13 Ginasio27101737%80.385.7-5.4
14 Benfica Lisboa B27101737%69.075.6-6.6
15 Imortal B28101836%67.375.2-8.0
16 Galitos Aveiro2752219%69.178.2-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barreirense2117171772
Maia2213182376
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