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Aktobe vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 85-66
19-22 18-17 26-7 22-20
Position#1
Record15-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game68.1
Aktobe 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#3
Record14-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game71.0
KazakhstanPremier League
Other2018-19
Meetings · Aktobe v Pavlodar
18 Jan 2026
AKTO112
PAVL52
09 Dec 2024
AKTO63
PAVL67
08 Dec 2024
AKTO72
PAVL93
13 Feb 2024
AKTO96
PAVL77
12 Feb 2024
AKTO81
PAVL67
25 Mar 2019
AKTO85
PAVL66
28 Feb 2019
AKTO80
PAVL56
01 Feb 2019
AKTO92
PAVL66
02 Nov 2018
AKTO96
PAVL98
20 Apr 2018
AKTO89
PAVL86
18 Apr 2018
AKTO77
PAVL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#3
W
92-66
92
66
+26
H01/02
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
63-85
63
85
-22
H02/02
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H03/02
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A26/02
Premier League
SDUSH Almaty
#5
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A27/02
Premier League
Pavlodar
#3
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H28/02
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H01/03
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
W
63-52 OT
63
52
+11
H02/03
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A23/03
Premier League
SDUSH Almaty
#5
W
109-61
109
61
+48
A24/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
21-16
15-15
31-17
11-25
20-18
15-21
17-21
24-6
16-4
8-10
10-12
18-9
18-21
12-17
15-12
23-15
19-13
12-20
20-13
28-19
20-13
23-11
9-13
10-27
19-14
17-14
12-14
22-10
16-8
17-16
8-18
15-25
22-18
15-20
24-15
24-15
32-12
30-19
23-15
135.5Avg total
73.6Scored
61.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.568.1146.6+10.568%
Season at home (12)75.567.2142.7+8.367%
Season away (10)82.269.2151.4+13.070%
Last 10 (10)73.661.9135.5+11.770%
Last 5 (5)77.263.2140.4+14.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.080.0155.0-5.00%
vs Similar (3)72.069.7141.7+2.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)78.868.9147.7+9.969%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#1
L
66-92
66
92
-26
A01/02
Premier League
SDUSH Almaty
#5
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H02/02
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
W
83-70
83
70
+13
A03/02
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
W
69-42
69
42
+27
A26/02
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H27/02
Premier League
Aktobe
#1
L
56-80
56
80
-24
A28/02
Premier League
SDUSH Almaty
#5
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H01/03
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A02/03
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
W
99-50
99
50
+49
A23/03
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H24/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
16-21
15-15
17-31
25-21
18-22
23-23
11-23
13-21
24-26
28-12
18-11
19-9
17-10
20-10
13-13
–
–
–
–
19-28
13-20
11-23
13-9
15-21
17-21
16-11
33-19
24-20
19-28
7-26
5-6
23-18
24-4
32-10
20-18
20-26
31-14
25-22
21-24
149.4Avg total
75.6Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.671.0150.7+8.664%
Season at home (10)80.674.4155.0+6.260%
Season away (12)78.868.2147.1+10.667%
Last 10 (10)75.673.8149.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)77.673.6151.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)67.581.1148.6-13.617%
vs Similar (9)78.074.2152.2+3.856%
vs Weaker (9)85.061.7146.7+23.389%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +6.6+6.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
AktobePavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#3
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H01/02
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H02/02
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
W
40-10
40
10
+30
H03/02
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A26/02
Premier League
SDUSH Almaty
#5
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A27/02
Premier League
Pavlodar
#3
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H28/02
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H01/03
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H02/03
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A23/03
Premier League
SDUSH Almaty
#5
W
56-27
56
27
+29
A24/03
Premier League
70.9Avg total
40.3Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.633.976.5+8.773%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.136.478.6+5.762%-
Last 30 away (14)43.231.074.2+12.286%-
Last 10 (10)40.330.670.9+9.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.632.273.8+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.048.094.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (3)39.336.776.0+2.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)42.933.075.9+9.877%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A01/02
Premier League
SDUSH Almaty
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/02
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A03/02
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A26/02
Premier League
Aktobe
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A28/02
Premier League
SDUSH Almaty
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H01/03
Premier League
Kazygurt
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A02/03
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
W
47-22
47
22
+25
A23/03
Premier League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H24/03
Premier League
78.9Avg total
39.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.339.076.3-1.734%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.939.674.5-4.742%-
Last 30 away (17)38.938.677.5+0.429%-
Last 10 (9)39.439.478.9+0.033%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.081.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.843.976.7-11.28%-
vs Similar (8)39.840.179.9-0.438%-
vs Weaker (9)41.131.472.6+9.767%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Aktobe wins
2
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
28/02/19Aktobe v Pavlodar80-56
01/02/19Aktobe v Pavlodar92-66
07/12/18Pavlodar v Aktobe65-72
02/11/18Aktobe v Pavlodar96-98
20/04/18Aktobe v Pavlodar89-86
19/04/18Pavlodar v Aktobe78-99
18/04/18Aktobe v Pavlodar77-83
18/03/18Pavlodar v Aktobe46-55
17/02/18Pavlodar v Aktobe53-72
24/12/17Pavlodar v Aktobe59-69
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/19ASDUSH Almaty109-61
23/03/19ABars Petropavlovsk76-78
02/03/19HAstana 263-52 OT
01/03/19HKazygurt58-69
28/02/19HPavlodar80-56
27/02/19ASDUSH Almaty74-61
26/02/19ABars Petropavlovsk63-59
03/02/19HAstana 258-32
02/02/19HKazygurt63-85
01/02/19HPavlodar92-66
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/19HBars Petropavlovsk97-86
23/03/19AAstana 299-50
02/03/19AKazygurt55-80
01/03/19HSDUSH Almaty81-72
28/02/19AAktobe56-80
27/02/19HBars Petropavlovsk73-77
26/02/19AAstana 269-42
03/02/19AKazygurt83-70
02/02/19HSDUSH Almaty77-89
01/02/19AAktobe66-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
Premier League 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW68%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWWWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %68%67%70%
Points / game78.575.582.2
Allowed / game68.167.269.2
Point differential+10.5+8.3+13.0
Avg total146.6142.7151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%8%0%
Pavlodar
Premier League 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeLLLWW60%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game79.680.678.8
Allowed / game71.074.468.2
Point differential+8.6+6.2+10.6
Avg total150.7155.0147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kazygurt2217577%78.166.2+11.9
2 Aktobe2215768%78.568.1+10.5
3 Pavlodar2214864%79.671.0+8.6
4 Bars Petropavlovsk22121055%74.372.7+1.5
5 SDUSH Almaty2261627%70.579.7-9.2
6 Astana 2222209%57.380.5-23.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe1918262285
Pavlodar221772066
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