Bars Petropavlovsk vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Nov 2022

Tip-off: 13:30

Final 81-50

16-8 16-17 26-17 23-8

Position#2

Record8-1

FormWLWWW

Points / game91.3

Allowed / game53.1

Bars Petropavlovsk 🏆

Pavlodar

Position#7

Record4-5

FormWLLLW

Points / game73.2

Allowed / game82.8

Higher League

Other2022-23

Meetings · Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bars Petropavlovsk winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pavlodar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bars Petropavlovsk Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Almaty

76-90

-14

A24/04

National League

Altay

#12

123-32

123

+91

A20/10

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

90-53

+37

H21/10

Higher League

Aktobe 2

#11

99-45

+54

A22/10

Higher League

Pavlodar

94-51

+43

H23/10

Higher League

Karaganda

85-49

+36

A24/10

Higher League

Shymkent

66-90

-24

H25/10

Higher League

Altay

#12

86-38

+48

A15/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

95-69

+26

H16/11

Higher League

Aktobe 2

#11

84-51

+33

A17/11

Higher League

20-23

15-22

22-20

19-25

27-6

39-9

29-10

28-7

27-14

18-15

19-9

26-15

24-14

24-11

24-7

27-13

26-12

18-20

27-14

23-5

20-11

18-12

28-13

19-13

21-20

19-26

13-19

13-25

22-5

24-9

17-9

23-15

23-19

24-9

30-23

18-18

21-13

18-18

27-6

18-14

146.6Avg total

89.8Scored

56.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	91.3	53.1	144.4	+38.2	89%
Season at home (4)	86.2	65.8	152.0	+20.5	75%
Season away (5)	95.4	43.0	138.4	+52.4	100%
Last 10 (10)	89.8	56.8	146.6	+33.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	59.4	142.6	+23.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	66.0	90.0	156.0	-24.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	83.8	60.4	144.1	+23.4	83%

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pavlodar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau 2

82-68

+14

H25/03

Premier League

BC Almaty 2

72-91

-19

H20/10

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

#10

87-66

+21

A21/10

Higher League

Atyrau 2

73-68

H22/10

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

51-94

-43

A23/10

Higher League

Kaspiy Aktau

77-73

H24/10

Higher League

GOTOBELES Astana

67-91

-24

A25/10

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

62-95

-33

H15/11

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

#10

76-78

-2

A16/11

Higher League

Atyrau 2

94-89 OT

H17/11

Higher League

18-23

18-17

18-13

28-15

19-25

20-23

14-24

19-19

16-27

19-10

27-8

25-21

20-19

21-16

13-15

19-18

12-26

20-18

14-27

5-23

18-14

20-24

20-18

19-17

22-23

25-19

8-28

12-21

16-26

18-28

14-23

14-18

19-10

23-17

19-29

15-22

28-23

12-19

22-18

20-22

155.4Avg total

74.1Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	73.2	82.8	156.0	-9.6	44%
Season at home (5)	75.6	83.2	158.8	-7.6	60%
Season away (4)	70.2	82.2	152.5	-12.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	74.1	81.3	155.4	-7.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	85.2	160.4	-10.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	67.4	82.6	149.9	-15.2	12%
vs Similar (6)	76.0	73.8	149.8	+2.2	67%
vs Weaker (7)	87.3	76.1	163.4	+11.1	86%

This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bars PetropavlovskPavlodar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.8	14.1	36.9	+8.7	86%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.5	14.4	37.9	+9.1	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	13.9	36.0	+8.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	13.7	36.8	+9.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	13.6	35.0	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	22.9	13.9	36.8	+9.0	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	19.9	40.1	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.5	20.1	37.6	-2.6	47%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.9	16.4	40.3	+7.4	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	16.2	36.6	+4.2	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	16.6	37.9	+4.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	15.8	35.3	+3.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	15.1	36.8	+6.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	14.8	35.4	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	19.0	26.0	45.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	20.4	15.9	36.3	+4.6	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	19.7	36.4	-2.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	17.5	37.7	+2.6	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	16.8	20.2	37.0	-3.4	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.9	86%	-

Bars PetropavlovskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Almaty

35-45

-10

A24/04

National League

Altay

#12

66-15

+51

A20/10

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

45-29

+16

H21/10

Higher League

Aktobe 2

#11

48-25

+23

A22/10

Higher League

Pavlodar

44-32

+12

H23/10

Higher League

Karaganda

38-23

+15

A24/10

Higher League

Shymkent

40-46

-6

H25/10

Higher League

Altay

#12

46-14

+32

A15/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

47-28

+19

H16/11

Higher League

Aktobe 2

#11

39-31

A17/11

Higher League

73.6Avg total

44.8Scored

28.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.2	30.3	73.5	+12.9	83%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.8	31.0	75.8	+13.8	86%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	29.7	71.3	+12.0	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	28.8	73.6	+16.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	28.4	70.4	+13.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	40.0	46.0	86.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	43.3	29.8	73.0	+13.5	86%	-

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau 2

36-40

-4

H25/03

Premier League

BC Almaty 2

39-48

-9

H20/10

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

#10

35-37

-2

A21/10

Higher League

Atyrau 2

41-35

H22/10

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

32-44

-12

A23/10

Higher League

Kaspiy Aktau

38-38

H24/10

Higher League

GOTOBELES Astana

47-42

A25/10

Higher League

BC Almaty 2

34-54

-20

H15/11

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

#10

42-27

+15

A16/11

Higher League

Atyrau 2

40-42

-2

H17/11

Higher League

79.1Avg total

38.4Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	37.7	75.7	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.6	38.1	73.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	37.4	77.8	+3.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	40.7	79.1	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	40.6	80.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	34.4	40.3	74.6	-5.9	24%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.8	36.0	75.8	+3.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	45.3	33.0	78.3	+12.3	86%	-

This opponent (Bars Petropavlovsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.0	16.3	38.3	+5.7	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	18.6	40.7	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	14.3	36.1	+7.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	13.0	36.6	+10.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	14.0	37.0	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	13.0	19.0	32.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	22.3	16.2	38.6	+6.1	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	20.7	37.9	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	21.3	37.9	-4.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	20.3	37.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	23.2	39.8	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	16.9	21.2	38.1	-4.2	24%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.8	18.7	35.5	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.3	21.3	39.6	-3.0	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	16.1	35.7	+3.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	17.5	38.2	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	15.0	36.4	+6.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.0	35.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	13.0	25.0	38.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	20.4	16.5	37.0	+3.9	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.5	38.5	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.6	38.5	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	21.4	38.5	-4.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	15.4	20.7	36.1	-5.4	29%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.7	21.9	45.6	+1.9	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.2	33.2	75.3	+9.0	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.8	34.6	76.4	+7.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.5	31.8	74.3	+10.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	28.0	73.0	+17.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	31.0	72.2	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	26.0	44.0	70.0	-18.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	42.8	32.8	75.5	+10.0	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	41.2	76.5	-5.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.8	39.7	76.5	-2.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.7	42.7	76.4	-8.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	39.9	74.4	-5.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	43.2	75.8	-10.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	32.3	41.9	74.2	-9.6	24%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.8	37.0	72.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	42.0	43.1	85.1	-1.1	43%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bars Petropavlovsk wins

Pavlodar wins

Date	Game	Score
23/10/22	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	94-51
23/03/21	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	82-67
02/02/21	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	96-65
01/02/21	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	69-65
23/11/20	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	61-71
02/03/20	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	81-70
02/02/20	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	79-102
13/12/19	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	67-73
19/11/19	Pavlodar v Bars Petropavlovsk	65-74
14/10/19	Bars Petropavlovsk v Pavlodar	78-68

Bars Petropavlovsklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/11/22	A	Aktobe 2	84-51
16/11/22	H	Tigers-KazATU	95-69
15/11/22	A	Altay	86-38
25/10/22	H	Shymkent	66-90
24/10/22	A	Karaganda	85-49
23/10/22	H	Pavlodar	94-51
22/10/22	A	Aktobe 2	99-45
21/10/22	H	Tigers-KazATU	90-53
20/10/22	A	Altay	123-32
24/04/21	A	Almaty	76-90

Pavlodarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/11/22	H	Atyrau 2	94-89 OT
16/11/22	A	ChelSU Kostanay	76-78
15/11/22	H	BC Almaty 2	62-95
25/10/22	A	GOTOBELES Astana	67-91
24/10/22	H	Kaspiy Aktau	77-73
23/10/22	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	51-94
22/10/22	H	Atyrau 2	73-68
21/10/22	A	ChelSU Kostanay	87-66
20/10/22	H	BC Almaty 2	72-91
25/03/21	H	Atyrau 2	82-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bars Petropavlovsk

Higher League 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	89%
Home	WWLW	75%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	89%	75%	100%
Points / game	91.3	86.2	95.4
Allowed / game	53.1	65.8	43.0
Point differential	+38.2	+20.5	+52.4
Avg total	144.4	152.0	138.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	89%	75%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pavlodar

Higher League 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	44%
Home	LWWLW	60%
Away	WLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	44%	60%	25%
Points / game	73.2	75.6	70.2
Allowed / game	82.8	83.2	82.2
Point differential	-9.6	-7.6	-12.0
Avg total	156.0	158.8	152.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	11%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Shymkent	10	10	0	100%	89.8	66.4	+23.4
2	Bars Petropavlovsk	9	8	1	89%	91.3	53.1	+38.2
3	BC Almaty 2	10	8	2	80%	96.0	67.5	+28.5
4	Karaganda	10	7	3	70%	72.3	65.9	+6.4
5	Kaspiy Aktau	10	5	5	50%	66.9	68.2	-1.3
6	Pavlodar	9	4	5	44%	73.2	82.8	-9.6
7	GOTOBELES Astana	10	4	6	40%	76.3	73.9	+2.4
8	Tigers-KazATU	10	4	6	40%	72.5	82.5	-10.0
9	Atyrau 2	10	3	7	30%	78.3	74.5	+3.8
10	ChelSU Kostanay	10	3	7	30%	67.7	76.1	-8.4
11	Aktobe 2	10	3	7	30%	60.4	74.0	-13.6
12	Altay	10	0	10	0%	47.1	104.1	-57.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bars Petropavlovsk	16	16	26	23	81
Pavlodar	8	17	17	8	50

← all games of the day

Bars Petropavlovsk vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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