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Basket Napoli vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 98-86
21-21 30-19 21-17 26-29
Position#11
Record5-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#15
Record3-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game91.8
ItalyLega ARound 13· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 78
A19/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
89avg 78
H26/10
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
65avg 78
A02/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
90-97
90
97
-7
86avg 78
H05/11
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
93-87
93
87
+6
86avg 78
A09/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
64avg 78
H16/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
86-75
86
75
+11
83avg 78
H23/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
71-78
71
78
-7
61avg 78
A07/12
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
102-76
102
76
+26
99avg 78
H14/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
96-106
96
106
-10
87avg 78
A21/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
27-17
24-15
19-25
16-20
26-18
25-22
28-27
19-23
22-20
14-22
21-22
18-27
28-17
27-33
17-20
20-15
21-24
28-24
24-24
15-23
18-21
16-12
23-29
24-21
24-18
15-18
23-18
21-27
18-14
16-22
16-15
20-17
34-18
21-22
27-19
29-30
19-23
18-27
30-26
172.4Avg total
86.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.287.2173.3-1.042%
Season at home (6)87.384.0171.3+3.350%
Season away (6)85.090.3175.3-5.333%
Last 10 (10)86.785.7172.4+1.050%
Last 5 (5)85.484.0169.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)85.193.2178.4-8.136%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.983.9170.9+3.053%
vs Weaker (1)70.074.0144.0-4.00%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
63-81
63
81
-18
52avg 73
H19/10
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
94-104
94
104
-10
87avg 73
A26/10
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
91-83
91
83
+8
88avg 73
H02/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
84-100
84
100
-16
74avg 73
A06/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
82avg 73
H09/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
82-91
82
91
-9
69avg 73
A16/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
78avg 73
H23/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
95-101
95
101
-6
85avg 73
A07/12
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
81-86
81
86
-5
70avg 73
A14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
81avg 73
H20/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
20-25
15-23
11-14
27-29
11-28
26-28
30-19
23-24
24-20
22-18
22-21
20-27
17-28
23-18
24-27
20-17
21-24
13-20
21-14
21-18
19-25
17-27
25-21
15-24
20-23
21-23
21-19
26-36
25-25
14-23
30-17
24-20
17-25
13-12
27-29
22-29
25-25
23-15
19-25
176.0Avg total
84.6Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.291.8174.9-8.625%
Season at home (6)82.285.0167.2-2.850%
Season away (6)84.298.5182.7-14.30%
Last 10 (10)84.691.4176.0-6.820%
Last 5 (5)84.892.2177.0-7.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.493.7175.1-12.314%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.982.7166.6+1.270%
vs Weaker (13)78.973.2152.2+5.762%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
Basket NapoliCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A19/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H26/10
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H05/11
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A09/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H16/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H23/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A07/12
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H14/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A21/12
Lega A
85.0Avg total
43.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.384.7-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.142.986.0+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.643.883.4-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.585.0+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.486.8+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.145.384.4-6.221%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.442.085.4+1.447%-
vs Weaker (1)43.036.079.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H19/10
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A26/10
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H02/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A06/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H09/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A16/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H23/11
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A07/12
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H20/12
Lega A
90.5Avg total
41.4Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.979.7-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.079.7+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)36.942.879.7-5.913%-
Last 10 (10)41.449.190.5-7.710%-
Last 5 (5)42.850.092.8-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.950.990.7-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.941.480.3-2.530%-
vs Weaker (13)38.235.273.3+3.062%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.8
54.1%
54.1%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.8
36.5%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.615.7
72.7%
76.1%15.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.3
51.1%
54.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.6
32.7%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws24.218.2
75.2%
76.1%18.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
LWLWLWLLWW
Cantu
LLLLLWLWLL
#11
League position
#15
+1.2
Net rating
-8.5
112.9
Offensive rating
105.1
111.7
Defensive rating
113.7
54.3%
Effective FG%
50.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.5%
3-point %
32.7%
56.9%
Assist %
62.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 105.1Defence111.7 · 113.7Shooting54.3% · 50.2%3-point %36.5% · 32.7%Ball care16.5% · 17.3%Off. rebounds28.9% · 26.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Basket Napoli wins
0
Cantu wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AVenezia96-106
14/12/25HCremona102-76
07/12/25AUdine71-78
23/11/25HSassari86-75
16/11/25HBrescia72-85
09/11/25ATrento93-87
05/11/25HTrapani90-97
02/11/25ATortona76-87
26/10/25HReggiana95-87
19/10/25ATreviso86-79
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HOlimpia Milano89-94
14/12/25ATreviso81-86
07/12/25AVenezia95-101
23/11/25HVirtus Bologna77-89
16/11/25AVarese82-91
09/11/25HUdine90-85 OT
06/11/25ASassari84-100
02/11/25HCremona91-83
26/10/25ABrescia94-104
19/10/25HTrapani63-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL42%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game86.287.385.0
Allowed / game87.284.090.3
Point differential-1.0+3.3-5.3
Avg total173.3171.3175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cantu
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game83.282.284.2
Allowed / game91.885.098.5
Point differential-8.6-2.8-14.3
Avg total174.9167.2182.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1311285%90.282.8+7.4
2 Virtus Bologna1210283%86.878.8+8.0
3 Trapani1210283%90.285.6+4.7
4 Venezia139469%93.888.4+5.5
5 Tortona139469%89.187.7+1.4
6 Olimpia Milano128467%86.577.6+8.9
7 Trieste126650%85.290.2-4.9
8 Cremona125742%84.384.8-0.4
9 Basket Napoli125742%86.287.2-1.0
10 Trento135838%84.482.8+1.5
11 Udine135838%80.281.1-0.8
12 Sassari135838%86.388.5-2.2
13 Varese124833%81.186.8-5.7
14 Cantu123925%83.291.8-8.6
15 Reggiana1331023%79.884.7-4.8
16 Treviso1321115%83.792.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli2130212698
Cantu2119172986
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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