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Basket Napoli vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-85
15-23 18-21 16-12 23-29
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game89.4
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game81.9
ItalyLega ARound 8· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Brescia
16 Nov 2025
NAP72
BRE85
02 Feb 2025
NAP90
BRE85
03 Feb 2024
NAP83
BRE104
01 Apr 2023
NAP69
BRE72
09 Apr 2022
NAP68
BRE70
13 Sep 2021
NAP74
BRE81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 77
H28/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
89-82
89
82
+7
82avg 77
A04/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
89-114
89
114
-25
71avg 77
H10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
88-105
88
105
-17
80avg 77
A06/10
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
71avg 77
H11/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 77
A19/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
89avg 77
H26/10
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
65avg 77
A02/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
90-97
90
97
-7
86avg 77
H05/11
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
93-87
93
87
+6
86avg 77
A09/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
21-30
26-16
12-22
27-22
19-13
20-14
23-33
19-22
20-25
28-36
22-31
19-25
13-26
24-21
32-33
19-19
20-28
23-9
17-28
16-22
27-17
24-15
19-25
16-20
26-18
25-22
28-27
19-23
22-20
14-22
21-22
18-27
28-17
27-33
17-20
20-15
21-24
28-24
24-24
177.9Avg total
86.2Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.789.4176.1-2.743%
Season at home (3)88.089.3177.3-1.333%
Season away (4)85.889.5175.2-3.850%
Last 10 (10)86.291.7177.9-5.540%
Last 5 (5)88.087.4175.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)84.592.3176.8-7.933%
vs Similar (14)86.486.3172.7+0.150%
vs Weaker (1)70.074.0144.0-4.00%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
74-96
74
96
-22
60avg 81
H17/06
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
88-75
88
75
+13
77avg 81
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
76-90
76
90
-14
66avg 81
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#14
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
71avg 81
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
72-63
72
63
+9
63avg 81
H11/10
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
78avg 81
A19/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
104-94
104
94
+10
95avg 81
H26/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
71avg 81
A02/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
92avg 81
H05/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
98-75
98
75
+23
100avg 81
H09/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
13-22
23-26
23-20
20-26
12-19
30-14
26-16
24-28
20-19
11-22
21-21
28-30
23-18
10-24
23-12
27-14
12-20
16-13
17-16
16-23
28-16
21-14
16-19
29-27
28-11
28-26
19-30
19-19
17-31
20-13
19-14
27-20
29-21
24-27
18-24
32-26
21-18
18-16
27-15
170.2Avg total
86.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.081.9171.9+8.186%
Season at home (4)93.081.0174.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)86.083.0169.0+3.067%
Last 10 (10)86.883.4170.2+3.470%
Last 5 (5)91.282.0173.2+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.091.0178.0-4.050%
vs Similar (18)82.882.7165.4+0.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)97.483.6181.0+13.9100%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
Basket NapoliBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H28/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A04/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A06/10
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H11/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A19/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H26/10
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H05/11
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A09/11
Lega A
84.8Avg total
40.8Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.183.3-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.542.784.3-1.240%-
Last 30 away (15)38.943.482.3-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.084.8-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.683.2+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.144.482.5-6.320%-
vs Similar (14)42.442.184.5+0.243%-
vs Weaker (1)43.036.079.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H17/06
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#14
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/10
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A19/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H26/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A02/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H05/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H09/11
Lega A
87.6Avg total
44.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.287.1+2.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.941.787.6+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)43.942.786.6+1.167%-
Last 10 (10)44.043.687.6+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)49.242.491.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)50.044.094.0+6.050%-
vs Similar (18)43.142.385.4+0.861%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)48.741.390.0+7.389%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.2
55.6%
54.1%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.4
33.7%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.615.8
69.9%
76.1%15.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.5
52.4%
54.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.8
37.8%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.218.6
80.2%
76.1%18.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
WLLWWLLLWL
Brescia
WWLWWWWLWL
#11
League position
#4
-6.8
Net rating
+4.5
109.5
Offensive rating
116.2
116.3
Defensive rating
111.8
53.7%
Effective FG%
54.0%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
18.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.7%
3-point %
37.8%
52.9%
Assist %
55.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 116.2Defence116.3 · 111.8Shooting53.7% · 54.0%3-point %33.7% · 37.8%Ball care18.1% · 14.6%Off. rebounds29.4% · 28.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Basket Napoli wins
8
Brescia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25ATrento93-87
05/11/25HTrapani90-97
02/11/25ATortona76-87
26/10/25HReggiana95-87
19/10/25ATreviso86-79
11/10/25HTrieste79-84
06/10/25AVirtus Bologna88-105
10/05/25HTrento89-114
04/05/25ATortona89-82
28/04/25HTrapani77-95
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HTrieste98-75
05/11/25HOlimpia Milano98-92
02/11/25ATrapani75-77
26/10/25HCantu104-94
19/10/25AUdine81-72
11/10/25HTrento72-63
05/10/25ATreviso102-100 OT
28/09/25HOlimpia Milano76-90
27/09/25ATrento88-75
17/06/25HVirtus Bologna74-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game86.788.085.8
Allowed / game89.489.389.5
Point differential-2.7-1.3-3.8
Avg total176.1177.3175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game90.093.086.0
Allowed / game81.981.083.0
Point differential+8.1+12.0+3.0
Avg total171.9174.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani87188%92.186.9+5.2
2 Brescia76186%90.081.9+8.1
3 Virtus Bologna76186%87.380.4+6.9
4 Venezia86275%91.583.5+8.0
5 Tortona86275%89.587.4+2.1
6 Olimpia Milano85362%86.875.4+11.4
7 Cremona85362%89.283.6+5.6
8 Trieste84450%87.093.6-6.6
9 Basket Napoli73443%86.789.4-2.7
10 Trento83538%85.983.2+2.6
11 Cantu83538%82.091.4-9.4
12 Reggiana82625%81.284.9-3.6
13 Sassari82625%81.987.4-5.5
14 Varese82625%81.190.6-9.5
15 Treviso71614%86.496.1-9.7
16 Udine81712%82.284.9-2.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Napoli1518162372
Brescia2321122985
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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