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Basket Zaragoza vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 104-113 (OT)
24-18 27-26 24-28 19-22 10-19
Position#13
Record10-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game88.1
Basket Zaragoza
Spain
vs
Estudiantes 🏆
Spain
Position#18
Record7-17
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game85.4
SpainACBRound 27
Domestic2020-21
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Lublin
#41
W
94-82
94
82
+12
93avg 79
H19/01
Champions League
Bilbao
#17
W
96-73
96
73
+23
95avg 79
A23/01
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
61-89
61
89
-28
59avg 79
A31/01
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
79-73
79
73
+6
75avg 79
A03/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
83-70
83
70
+13
76avg 79
H06/02
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
85-82
85
82
+3
no box
A28/02
ACB
Sassari
#23
W
95-83
95
83
+12
96avg 79
A02/03
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
95-100
95
100
-5
no box
H06/03
ACB
Bamberg
#5
W
77-65
77
65
+12
66avg 79
H10/03
Champions League
Barcelona
#2
L
88-107
88
107
-19
76avg 79
A13/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
21-25
20-20
25-19
29-24
23-8
21-20
23-21
13-24
18-15
19-21
11-29
14-13
25-27
22-11
18-22
23-22
17-17
17-18
26-13
16-14
25-17
21-26
23-25
23-19
24-21
25-15
23-28
19-19
30-29
19-24
27-28
14-13
19-18
23-16
21-18
26-26
18-29
28-27
16-25
167.7Avg total
85.3Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)87.088.1175.1-1.140%
Season at home (12)91.288.9180.2+2.350%
Season away (13)83.187.3170.4-4.231%
Last 10 (10)85.382.4167.7+2.970%
Last 5 (5)88.087.4175.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.491.9173.3-10.414%
vs Similar (14)88.987.7176.6+1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.279.9169.1+9.389%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 70
A20/12
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
64-90
64
90
-26
54avg 70
H29/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
73-79
73
79
-6
66avg 70
H03/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
65-79
65
79
-14
56avg 70
H07/02
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
79-81
79
81
-2
75avg 70
A10/02
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 70
A27/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
91-87
91
87
+4
91avg 70
A03/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
no box
A06/03
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
95-89
95
89
+6
84avg 70
H14/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
78avg 70
H17/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
15-22
17-14
23-30
11-22
18-17
17-19
18-32
13-14
27-25
11-22
22-18
12-22
23-13
16-19
14-25
21-24
18-21
19-20
21-16
17-20
21-18
17-23
22-30
24-18
24-21
21-21
22-27
23-25
17-18
26-12
19-30
26-20
18-23
30-26
21-20
23-27
20-24
21-18
19-21
165.8Avg total
79.4Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.285.4165.5-5.229%
Season at home (12)80.983.3164.2-2.425%
Season away (12)79.487.4166.8-8.033%
Last 10 (10)79.486.4165.8-7.020%
Last 5 (5)88.090.8178.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.485.9161.3-10.511%
vs Similar (8)87.483.4170.8+4.075%
vs Weaker (3)71.368.7140.0+2.733%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -4.8-4.8
Basket ZaragozaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lublin
#41
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H19/01
Champions League
Bilbao
#17
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A23/01
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A31/01
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H06/02
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A28/02
ACB
Sassari
#23
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/03
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H06/03
ACB
Bamberg
#5
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H10/03
Champions League
Barcelona
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A13/03
ACB
82.3Avg total
42.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.885.6+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.440.585.9+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)44.341.085.3+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.882.3+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.083.8+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.043.485.4-1.443%-
vs Similar (14)45.941.687.5+4.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.437.382.8+8.167%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A20/12
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H29/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H03/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H07/02
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/02
ACB
Unicaja
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A27/02
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A03/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A06/03
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H14/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H17/03
ACB
79.8Avg total
38.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.439.275.5-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.938.374.2-2.339%-
Last 30 away (12)37.040.577.5-3.517%-
Last 10 (10)38.940.979.8-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.885.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.439.876.2-3.526%-
vs Similar (8)39.238.978.1+0.450%-
vs Weaker (3)28.735.764.3-7.00%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.5
53.5%
53.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.3
36.7%
36.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.116.2
76.8%
76.6%16.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.1
52.6%
53.2%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.9
30.7%
36.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws12.49.6
77.4%
76.6%9.6
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
LWLWWWWLWW
Estudiantes
LWLWLLLLLL
#13
League position
#18
+3.2
Net rating
-9.0
107.8
Offensive rating
105.1
104.6
Defensive rating
114.1
54.1%
Effective FG%
50.1%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
18.2%
Turnover %
15.5%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.18
36.7%
3-point %
30.7%
57.4%
Assist %
51.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 105.1Defence104.6 · 114.1Shooting54.1% · 50.1%3-point %36.7% · 30.7%Ball care18.2% · 15.5%Off. rebounds24.6% · 29.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
0
Estudiantes wins
DateGameScore
03/02/21Estudiantes v Basket Zaragoza73-79
Basket Zaragozalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/21ABarcelona88-107
10/03/21HBamberg77-65
06/03/21HJoventut Badalona95-100
02/03/21ASassari95-83
28/02/21AReal Betis85-82
06/02/21HObradoiro CAB83-70
03/02/21AEstudiantes79-73
31/01/21ABaskonia61-89
23/01/21ABilbao96-73
19/01/21HLublin94-82
Estudianteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/21HJoventut Badalona83-90
14/03/21HBilbao95-89
06/03/21AGran Canaria94-97 OT
03/03/21AObradoiro CAB91-87
27/02/21AUnicaja77-91
10/02/21AGipuzkoa79-81
07/02/21HReal Madrid65-79
03/02/21HBasket Zaragoza73-79
29/12/20HTenerife64-90
20/12/20AMoraBanc Andorra73-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWLWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%50%31%
Points / game87.091.283.1
Allowed / game88.188.987.3
Point differential-1.1+2.3-4.2
Avg total175.1180.2170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%42%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Estudiantes
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeLLLWL25%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game80.280.979.4
Allowed / game85.483.387.4
Point differential-5.2-2.4-8.0
Avg total165.5164.2166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)0% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2423196%86.775.0+11.7
2 Barcelona2421388%87.072.8+14.3
3 Tenerife2419579%88.079.4+8.7
4 Baskonia2519676%83.176.7+6.4
5 San Pablo Burgos2316770%87.080.7+6.3
6 Valencia2517868%85.880.2+5.6
7 Joventut Badalona25151060%85.083.6+1.4
8 Unicaja26131350%84.282.1+2.1
9 Manresa25121348%83.186.6-3.6
10 MoraBanc Andorra24111346%77.677.5+0.1
11 Basket Zaragoza25101540%87.088.1-1.1
12 Gran Canaria2491538%78.384.9-6.5
13 Murcia2481633%80.584.6-4.0
14 Estudiantes2471729%80.285.4-5.2
15 Obradoiro CAB2471729%79.585.1-5.6
16 Fuenlabrada2571828%80.384.2-3.9
17 Real Betis2461825%76.883.2-6.4
18 Gipuzkoa2461825%73.586.1-12.6
19 Bilbao2561924%79.386.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Basket Zaragoza2427241910104
Estudiantes1826282219113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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