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Estudiantes vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 65-79
12-22 23-13 16-19 14-25
Position#18
Record5-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#1
Record19-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game76.1
SpainACBRound 23
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Estudiantes v Real Madrid
07 Feb 2021
EST65
MAD79
06 Jan 2019
EST93
MAD88
29 Apr 2018
EST75
MAD92
23 Oct 2016
EST88
MAD96
08 Nov 2015
EST75
MAD80
07 Dec 2014
EST89
MAD84
13 Apr 2014
EST64
MAD71
09 Dec 2012
EST74
MAD87
11 Dec 2011
EST90
MAD85
30 Sep 2010
EST79
MAD84
29 Dec 2009
EST82
MAD80
25 Apr 2009
EST71
MAD63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H28/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
78-92
78
92
-14
H08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A15/11
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H22/11
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A06/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H13/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A20/12
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
64-90
64
90
-26
H29/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H03/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
14-12
29-19
24-12
15-26
18-25
20-23
17-23
14-25
13-23
25-24
26-20
17-23
21-15
16-22
17-31
29-18
22-24
12-21
27-29
16-15
21-20
23-19
18-23
27-15
13-19
21-21
20-31
18-15
15-22
17-14
23-30
11-22
18-17
17-19
18-32
13-14
27-25
11-22
22-18
160.4Avg total
75.8Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.884.4163.2-5.629%
Season at home (9)80.982.4163.3-1.622%
Season away (8)76.586.6163.1-10.138%
Last 10 (10)75.884.6160.4-8.820%
Last 5 (5)73.882.6156.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)75.285.5160.8-10.314%
vs Similar (6)80.577.7158.2+2.867%
vs Weaker (2)67.562.5130.0+5.050%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H08/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
A15/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H18/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A21/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H24/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H27/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A29/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H31/01
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
98-87
98
87
+11
H02/02
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
64-84
64
84
-20
H05/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
21-22
10-22
27-19
23-15
16-19
12-16
21-22
21-23
19-22
18-21
19-13
33-24
13-21
20-18
18-23
24-12
27-26
13-18
22-23
25-12
24-15
15-23
12-16
22-14
18-16
19-17
13-16
16-15
25-20
22-22
18-23
24-32
23-19
26-9
25-27
15-28
19-9
18-23
12-24
157.5Avg total
79.5Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.376.1163.4+11.295%
Season at home (11)89.880.3170.1+9.591%
Season away (9)84.371.0155.3+13.3100%
Last 10 (10)79.578.0157.5+1.560%
Last 5 (5)78.276.0154.2+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.576.0153.5+1.550%
vs Similar (11)81.978.7160.6+3.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.675.6160.2+9.094%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
EstudiantesReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#19
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H28/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A01/11
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H08/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A15/11
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H22/11
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A06/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H13/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A20/12
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H29/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H03/02
ACB
74.8Avg total
35.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.439.473.8-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.237.973.1-2.841%-
Last 30 away (13)33.541.374.8-7.88%-
Last 10 (10)35.539.374.8-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.836.872.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)35.540.475.8-4.927%-
vs Similar (6)34.338.773.0-4.333%-
vs Weaker (2)23.531.054.5-7.50%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A15/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H18/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A21/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H24/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H27/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A29/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H31/01
ACB
Murcia
#12
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H02/02
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/02
Euroleague
80.7Avg total
42.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.578.1+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.338.480.7+3.953%-
Last 30 away (13)38.536.274.8+2.369%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.180.7+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.078.2+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.541.580.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (11)40.838.078.8+2.864%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.836.677.5+4.265%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.9
50.1%
53.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.6
31.6%
36.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.211.6
76.3%
76.6%11.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.6
54.5%
53.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.5
36.5%
36.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.112.6
78.3%
76.6%12.6
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
LLLLWLLLLW
Real Madrid
LWWWWWLLWL
#18
League position
#1
-11.2
Net rating
+3.4
102.6
Offensive rating
112.1
113.8
Defensive rating
108.7
49.0%
Effective FG%
54.7%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.6%
3-point %
36.5%
51.6%
Assist %
58.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 112.1Defence113.8 · 108.7Shooting49.0% · 54.7%3-point %31.6% · 36.5%Ball care18.0% · 17.4%Off. rebounds31.0% · 29.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estudiantes wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/21HBasket Zaragoza73-79
29/12/20HTenerife64-90
20/12/20AMoraBanc Andorra73-81
13/12/20HValencia81-86
06/12/20ABilbao78-77
22/11/20HUnicaja90-92
15/11/20ASan Pablo Burgos71-91
08/11/20HBarcelona78-92
01/11/20AJoventut Badalona70-97
28/10/20HGipuzkoa80-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/21HBaskonia64-84
02/02/21HMurcia98-87
31/01/21HGran Canaria81-80
29/01/21AAlba Berlin72-63
27/01/21HPanathinaikos76-66
24/01/21HMoraBanc Andorra86-79
21/01/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv84-86
18/01/21HCrvena zvezda77-79
15/01/21ABayern81-76 OT
08/01/21HOlimpia Milano76-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%22%38%
Points / game78.880.976.5
Allowed / game84.482.486.6
Point differential-5.6-1.6-10.1
Avg total163.2163.3163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %95%91%100%
Points / game87.389.884.3
Allowed / game76.180.371.0
Point differential+11.2+9.5+13.3
Avg total163.4170.1155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%45%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2019195%87.376.1+11.2
2 Barcelona2118386%86.873.4+13.4
3 Tenerife2117481%88.279.8+8.4
4 Baskonia2116576%83.176.3+6.8
5 Valencia2216673%86.580.0+6.4
6 San Pablo Burgos2115671%87.580.6+6.9
7 Joventut Badalona2112957%84.983.3+1.6
8 Unicaja22101245%85.382.7+2.5
9 Manresa22101245%82.786.1-3.4
10 MoraBanc Andorra1981142%78.279.1-0.9
11 Basket Zaragoza2291341%86.787.0-0.3
12 Obradoiro CAB1871139%79.783.4-3.7
13 Murcia2181338%81.685.0-3.5
14 Gran Canaria2281436%77.684.6-7.0
15 Estudiantes1751229%78.884.4-5.6
16 Fuenlabrada2161529%81.684.6-3.0
17 Real Betis2151624%76.584.0-7.5
18 Gipuzkoa2041620%72.887.7-14.8
19 Bilbao2241818%77.786.9-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes1223161465
Real Madrid2213192579
← all games of the day
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