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Baskonia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 04 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#20
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game94.1
vs
Position#17
Record2-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game94.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Baskonia v Maccabi Tel Aviv
04 Dec 2026
BAS v MTA
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
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MTA88
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BAS76
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BAS94
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BAS86
MTA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Maccabi Tel Aviv win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#10
W
118-78
118
78
+40
H04/10
ACB
Besiktas
#11
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H09/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
93-73
93
73
+20
H11/10
ACB
Dubai
#8
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H13/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
86-104
86
104
-18
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
34-16
32-19
32-17
20-28
31-21
20-24
13-19
24-21
21-18
23-17
25-17
23-25
20-19
19-26
17-23
12-24
22-22
19-22
25-18
18-25
18-14
24-15
17-28
21-20
19-23
14-20
25-22
19-27
16-14
18-18
22-25
19-30
27-26
23-26
17-22
16-26
23-23
20-26
20-19
171.9Avg total
84.8Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.194.1177.2-11.011%
Season at home (5)84.894.2179.0-9.420%
Season away (4)81.094.0175.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)84.887.1171.9-2.320%
Last 5 (5)79.289.8169.0-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.395.2178.6-11.911%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.583.9166.4-1.546%
vs Weaker (8)101.284.4185.6+16.9100%
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel AvivLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
67-90
67
90
-23
A02/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
97-79
97
79
+18
H08/10
Euroleague
Galil Elyon
#7
W
120-93
120
93
+27
H10/10
Super League
Barcelona
#9
L
87-90
87
90
-3
A13/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#5
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A15/10
Euroleague
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#13
W
116-89
116
89
+27
H18/10
Super League
Real Madrid
#4
L
99-113
99
113
-14
H22/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Rishon
#12
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
A24/10
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
78-100
78
100
-22
A27/10
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-25
14-18
19-25
24-22
24-20
27-25
23-17
23-17
41-10
29-20
32-27
18-36
24-23
18-17
22-27
23-23
31-23
19-25
21-24
20-16
36-23
29-8
25-25
26-33
30-23
22-28
21-30
26-32
17-16
17-29
21-21
27-16
15-34
15-21
25-23
23-22
17-25
19-10
29-30
29-34
187.3Avg total
93.9Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.794.7181.3-8.022%
Season at home (4)95.8100.0195.8-4.225%
Season away (5)79.490.4169.8-11.020%
Last 10 (10)93.993.4187.3+0.540%
Last 5 (5)95.498.8194.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)85.898.3184.2-12.517%
vs Similar ◀ (3)88.387.3175.7+1.033%
vs Weaker (21)100.384.0184.2+16.386%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
BaskoniaMaccabi Tel Aviv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H04/10
ACB
Besiktas
#11
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H09/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H11/10
ACB
Dubai
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H13/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A30/10
Euroleague
87.1Avg total
42.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.185.0-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.142.987.9+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)38.343.481.7-5.121%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.887.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.245.684.8-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.448.489.9-7.011%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.141.480.5-2.331%-
vs Weaker (8)47.040.087.0+7.088%-
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel AvivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A02/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H08/10
Euroleague
Galil Elyon
#7
W
70-30
70
30
+40
H10/10
Super League
Barcelona
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A13/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#5
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A15/10
Euroleague
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#13
W
65-31
65
31
+34
H18/10
Super League
Real Madrid
#4
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H22/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Rishon
#12
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A24/10
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A27/10
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H29/10
Euroleague
87.7Avg total
45.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.542.289.7+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.841.192.9+10.876%-
Last 30 away (13)41.943.685.5-1.754%-
Last 10 (10)45.442.387.7+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.486.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.748.288.8-7.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)39.740.780.3-1.067%-
vs Weaker (21)50.640.791.3+10.071%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.4
52.0%
55.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.218.8
77.7%
77.1%18.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maccabi Tel Avivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maccabi Tel Aviv: 93.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.4
57.4%
55.2%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.7
39.5%
35.7%35.1
🏀 Free throws17.414.0
80.5%
77.1%14.0
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLLLLLLWLW
Maccabi Tel Aviv
LLLLWWLWWL
#20
League position
#17
-3.1
Net rating
+0.6
96.5
Offensive rating
105.4
99.6
Defensive rating
104.9
51.7%
Effective FG%
58.2%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.2%
3-point %
39.5%
67.3%
Assist %
61.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 105.4Defence99.6 · 104.9Shooting51.7% · 58.2%3-point %34.2% · 39.5%Ball care15.5% · 14.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Baskonia   ■ Maccabi Tel Aviv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Baskonia wins
5
Maccabi Tel Aviv wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-94
27/10/26HReal Madrid86-104
25/10/26AValencia75-84
22/10/26APanathinaikos79-85
18/10/26ATenerife77-82
16/10/26AVirtus Bologna78-86
13/10/26HDubai79-93
11/10/26HJoventut Badalona93-73
09/10/26HBesiktas84-92
04/10/26HBasquet Girona118-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HParis94-99
27/10/26ACrvena zvezda78-100
24/10/26AMaccabi Rishon90-93 OT
22/10/26HReal Madrid99-113
18/10/26HIroni Kiryat Ata116-89
15/10/26AValencia91-88
13/10/26ABarcelona87-90
10/10/26HGalil Elyon120-93
08/10/26HOlimpia Milano97-79
02/10/26APanathinaikos67-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%20%0%
Points / game83.184.881.0
Allowed / game94.194.294.0
Point differential-11.0-9.4-13.0
Avg total177.2179.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game86.795.879.4
Allowed / game94.7100.090.4
Point differential-8.0-4.2-11.0
Avg total181.3195.8169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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