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Virtus Bologna vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 86-78
24-12 22-22 22-19 18-25
Position#13
Record3-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#20
Record1-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game95.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 6· Segafredo Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Baskonia
16 Oct 2026
VIR86
BAS78
10 Apr 2026
VIR72
BAS82
10 Jan 2025
VIR76
BAS74
12 Apr 2024
VIR91
BAS95
24 Feb 2023
VIR88
BAS83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A04/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A06/06
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A25/09
Euroleague
Varese
#9
W
90-69
90
69
+21
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#19
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A29/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
96-94
96
94
+2
H01/10
Euroleague
Maxima Roma
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H04/10
Lega A
Bayern
#18
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A08/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#5
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A11/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
W
96-94
96
94
+2
A14/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
17-24
14-19
26-30
23-24
19-13
27-20
14-33
17-23
21-16
17-20
13-19
26-21
21-18
21-19
22-11
20-30
21-17
26-19
18-21
33-30
16-20
26-20
21-24
25-16
12-26
28-26
33-21
35-21
17-22
23-25
19-19
20-29
25-22
24-21
24-14
26-26
20-12
18-27
32-29
175.1Avg total
88.8Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.888.0175.8-0.260%
Season at home (1)96.094.0190.0+2.0100%
Season away (4)85.886.5172.2-0.850%
Last 10 (10)88.886.3175.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)95.490.0185.4+5.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.788.7170.3-7.033%
vs Similar (6)84.392.0176.3-7.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.083.8172.9+5.262%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A05/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
88-96
88
96
-8
H07/06
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
89-106
89
106
-17
H24/09
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
98-97
98
97
+1
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#5
L
88-111
88
111
-23
A29/09
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H02/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#10
W
118-78
118
78
+40
H04/10
ACB
Besiktas
#11
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H09/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
93-73
93
73
+20
H11/10
ACB
Dubai
#8
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H13/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
17-19
12-18
20-20
24-23
14-18
25-30
25-25
29-36
17-20
14-25
29-25
30-24
19-21
16-30
33-22
10-26
23-26
27-31
28-28
26-16
18-20
21-24
21-16
20-26
34-16
32-19
32-17
20-28
31-21
20-24
13-19
24-21
21-18
23-17
25-17
23-25
20-19
19-26
17-23
179.0Avg total
88.6Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.295.6180.8-10.420%
Season at home (4)84.591.8176.2-7.225%
Season away (1)88.0111.0199.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)88.690.4179.0-1.840%
Last 5 (5)92.082.4174.4+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)93.0100.1193.1-7.138%
vs Similar (11)83.684.1167.7-0.555%
vs Weaker (11)100.683.9184.5+16.7100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
Virtus BolognaBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A04/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/06
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A25/09
Euroleague
Varese
#9
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#19
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A29/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H01/10
Euroleague
Maxima Roma
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H04/10
Lega A
Bayern
#18
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A08/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#5
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A11/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
86.8Avg total
44.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.042.787.8+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.043.791.7+4.353%-
Last 30 away (15)42.141.883.9+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)44.242.686.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.890.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.344.387.7-1.00%-
vs Similar (6)44.045.289.2-1.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.641.887.4+3.867%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A05/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H07/06
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H24/09
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#5
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A29/09
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H02/10
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H04/10
ACB
Besiktas
#11
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H09/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H11/10
ACB
Dubai
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H13/10
Euroleague
88.2Avg total
43.4Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.588.3+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (20)47.443.891.2+3.660%-
Last 30 away (10)39.842.982.7-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.444.888.2-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.442.089.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)47.650.197.8-2.538%-
vs Similar (11)39.741.681.4-1.936%-
vs Weaker (11)47.940.588.5+7.482%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.4
57.3%
55.2%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.9
32.6%
35.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.617.1
79.2%
77.3%17.1
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.8
55.3%
55.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
35.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.218.2
82.0%
77.3%18.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWLWLLL
Baskonia
LWLWWLWLLL
#13
League position
#20
+3.2
Net rating
-2.8
99.8
Offensive rating
97.5
96.6
Defensive rating
100.3
53.8%
Effective FG%
52.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.6%
3-point %
33.1%
63.9%
Assist %
69.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 97.5Defence96.6 · 100.3Shooting53.8% · 52.8%3-point %32.6% · 33.1%Ball care14.3% · 15.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Virtus Bologna wins
5
Baskonia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26AParis96-94
11/10/26AVenezia93-86
08/10/26ABayern94-87
04/10/26HMaxima Roma98-89
01/10/26HOlympiacos96-94
29/09/26AOlimpia Milano85-87
27/09/26AVarese90-69
25/09/26AFenerbahce68-78
06/06/26AVenezia83-90
04/06/26AVenezia85-89
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/26HDubai79-93
11/10/26HJoventut Badalona93-73
09/10/26HBesiktas84-92
04/10/26HBasquet Girona118-78
02/10/26HOlimpia Milano86-76
29/09/26AValencia88-111
27/09/26ASan Pablo Burgos98-97
24/09/26HOlympiacos89-106
07/06/26HJoventut Badalona88-96
05/06/26AJoventut Badalona63-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%100%50%
Points / game87.896.085.8
Allowed / game88.094.086.5
Point differential-0.2+2.0-0.8
Avg total175.8190.0172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %20%25%0%
Points / game85.284.588.0
Allowed / game95.691.8111.0
Point differential-10.4-7.2-23.0
Avg total180.8176.2199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos65183%88.073.0+15.0
2 Fenerbahce65183%83.574.5+9.0
3 Olympiacos54180%96.887.8+9.0
4 Valencia64267%98.391.5+6.8
5 Crvena zvezda64267%80.876.2+4.7
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv64267%90.086.7+3.3
7 Dubai64267%81.782.2-0.5
8 Barcelona53260%88.486.6+1.8
9 Virtus Bologna53260%87.888.0-0.2
10 Real Madrid63350%92.388.5+3.8
11 Besiktas63350%92.392.5-0.2
12 Partizan63350%77.778.5-0.8
13 Anadolu Efes62433%82.085.0-3.0
14 Zalgiris Kaunas62433%81.786.2-4.5
15 Bayern62433%86.892.0-5.2
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv62433%84.890.0-5.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne62433%87.895.3-7.5
18 Baskonia51420%85.295.6-10.4
19 Paris61517%84.090.8-6.8
20 Olimpia Milano61517%84.093.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2422221886
Baskonia1222192578
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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