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Baskonia vs San Pablo Burgos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 87-79
22-20 19-17 21-22 25-20
Position#3
Record24-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Position#12
Record13-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game84.0
SpainACBRound 32
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Baskonia v San Pablo Burgos
13 Feb 2027
BAS v SPB
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
BAS89
SPB77
23 Jan 2022
BAS80
SPB69
18 Apr 2021
BAS83
SPB94
11 May 2019
BAS87
SPB79
19 May 2018
BAS102
SPB82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Pablo Burgos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
75avg 106
A07/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
84-82
84
82
+2
84avg 106
H13/04
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
no box
A16/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
78-68
78
68
+10
77avg 106
A18/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
66avg 106
H24/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
80avg 106
H26/04
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
101-92
101
92
+9
104avg 106
H28/04
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
84-72
84
72
+12
85avg 106
A03/05
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
82-71
82
71
+11
81avg 106
H05/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 106
A09/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
19-22
23-17
20-20
20-18
22-13
15-21
27-30
24-23
16-21
12-29
16-21
27-18
15-19
24-15
12-16
18-28
21-18
20-16
18-22
22-20
26-19
23-29
12-24
29-20
24-24
27-29
21-19
17-18
15-16
25-17
27-21
11-14
30-17
24-18
17-22
22-20
23-19
25-13
17-25
163.7Avg total
83.0Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.274.1160.3+12.177%
Season at home (15)88.874.1162.9+14.787%
Season away (16)83.874.1157.8+9.769%
Last 10 (10)83.080.7163.7+2.370%
Last 5 (5)87.480.8168.2+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.385.4165.7-5.129%
vs Similar (7)78.673.9152.4+4.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.676.9166.5+12.787%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBurgos
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
no box
A10/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
66-62
66
62
+4
99avg 104
H16/03
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A23/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
76-84
76
84
-8
67avg 104
H31/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
99-76
99
76
+23
100avg 104
H07/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
85-88
85
88
-3
79avg 104
A14/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
102-82
102
82
+20
105avg 104
H21/04
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
70-91
70
91
-21
60avg 104
A28/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
75avg 104
H04/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
A08/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
14-26
18-21
34-23
9-14
21-10
21-17
15-21
15-20
28-19
25-19
18-25
18-27
26-20
21-15
11-22
19-11
32-19
24-26
24-20
18-22
24-19
25-23
18-24
26-17
28-21
24-19
24-25
17-17
21-23
19-26
13-25
16-25
25-25
21-29
22-23
14-23
25-16
26-29
16-21
169.1Avg total
83.7Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.584.0166.5-1.542%
Season at home (16)83.081.4164.4+1.656%
Season away (15)82.086.7168.7-4.727%
Last 10 (10)83.785.4169.1-1.740%
Last 5 (5)84.490.4174.8-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)82.990.6173.4-7.714%
vs Similar (18)79.982.3162.2-2.444%
vs Weaker (5)91.879.4171.2+12.480%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -3.4-3.4
BaskoniaSan Pablo Burgos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#14
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H13/04
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A16/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A18/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H24/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H26/04
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H28/04
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A03/05
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H05/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A09/05
ACB
80.8Avg total
42.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.579.8+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.337.180.4+6.282%-
Last 30 away (13)38.640.378.9-1.746%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.380.8+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.481.2+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.641.485.0+2.171%-
vs Similar (7)36.338.374.6-2.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.536.879.3+5.780%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A10/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H16/03
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A23/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H31/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H07/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A14/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H21/04
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A28/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H04/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/05
ACB
81.9Avg total
41.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.380.5-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.039.879.8+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)40.540.981.4-0.436%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.181.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.684.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.945.084.9-5.114%-
vs Similar (18)39.039.578.5-0.539%-
vs Weaker (5)45.236.681.8+8.680%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.1
53.7%
52.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.4
37.0%
36.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.814.6
73.7%
74.6%14.6
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.3
52.6%
52.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.1
35.1%
36.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.813.0
69.1%
74.6%13.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WWWWLLWLWW
San Pablo Burgos
LLLWLWLWWL
#3
League position
#12
+3.1
Net rating
-2.0
109.2
Offensive rating
108.3
106.2
Defensive rating
110.2
54.4%
Effective FG%
52.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.8%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.0%
3-point %
35.1%
63.4%
Assist %
62.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 108.3Defence106.2 · 110.2Shooting54.4% · 52.6%3-point %37.0% · 35.1%Ball care19.0% · 17.8%Off. rebounds31.8% · 31.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Baskonia   ■ San Pablo Burgos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Baskonia wins
1
San Pablo Burgos wins
DateGameScore
03/10/18San Pablo Burgos v Baskonia82-79
19/05/18Baskonia v San Pablo Burgos102-82
19/11/17San Pablo Burgos v Baskonia76-100
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/19AGipuzkoa87-77
05/05/19HManresa82-71
03/05/19ABarcelona84-72
28/04/19HFuenlabrada101-92
26/04/19HCSKA Moscow83-92
24/04/19HCSKA Moscow77-84
18/04/19ACSKA Moscow78-68
16/04/19ACSKA Moscow68-94
13/04/19HMoraBanc Andorra84-82
07/04/19AMurcia86-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/19ATecnyconta Zaragoza81-89
04/05/19HReal Madrid84-102
28/04/19AUnicaja70-91
21/04/19HEstudiantes102-82
14/04/19AJoventut Badalona85-88
07/04/19HFuenlabrada99-76
31/03/19HObradoiro CAB76-84
23/03/19AManresa86-83
16/03/19HMoraBanc Andorra66-62
10/03/19ABarcelona88-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWLWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %77%87%69%
Points / game86.288.883.8
Allowed / game74.174.174.1
Point differential+12.1+14.7+9.7
Avg total160.3162.9157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%67%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Pablo Burgos
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL42%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %42%56%27%
Points / game82.583.082.0
Allowed / game84.081.486.7
Point differential-1.5+1.6-4.7
Avg total166.5164.4168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3226681%89.078.9+10.1
2 Baskonia3124777%86.274.1+12.1
3 Barcelona3124777%86.976.7+10.3
4 Valencia31211068%81.778.3+3.5
5 Unicaja32191359%83.781.9+1.8
6 Tecnyconta Zaragoza32171553%83.185.6-2.5
7 Tenerife31161552%81.179.1+2.0
8 Joventut Badalona31161552%80.780.6+0.1
9 Manresa31161552%80.782.2-1.5
10 MoraBanc Andorra31151648%83.282.2+1.0
11 San Pablo Burgos31131842%82.584.0-1.5
12 Gran Canaria31121939%83.185.0-1.9
13 Obradoiro CAB31112035%78.282.8-4.6
14 Fuenlabrada31112035%82.489.7-7.4
15 Murcia32112134%78.382.0-3.7
16 Estudiantes31102132%82.987.9-5.0
17 Gipuzkoa31102132%75.581.9-6.3
18 Breogan3192229%77.083.5-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2219212587
San Pablo Burgos2017222079
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