Bauru vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 103-78

27-20 21-21 32-21 23-16

Position#5

Record15-11

FormLWLLL

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game75.4

Bauru 🏆

Botafogo

Position#13

Record7-19

FormLLWWL

Points / game69.8

Allowed / game77.6

NBB

Other2017-18

Meetings · Bauru v Botafogo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Botafogo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bauru

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

81-66

+15

A15/02

NBB

Flamengo

61-75

-14

A17/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

95-73

+22

H28/02

NBB

Pinheiros

85-84 OT

H02/03

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

77-82

-5

A05/03

NBB

Regatas

84-92

-8

A10/03

Americas League

Guaros de Lara

81-77

H10/03

Americas League

Estudiantes

88-93

-5

H11/03

Americas League

Mogi

75-76

-1

H15/03

NBB

Cearense

#10

80-81

-1

A21/03

NBB

29-15

8-14

20-18

24-19

12-16

20-14

17-23

12-22

19-12

19-17

30-22

27-22

20-21

23-23

21-22

13-11

14-15

20-22

24-11

19-34

17-22

15-19

19-28

33-23

21-22

21-19

14-14

25-22

25-15

22-19

15-31

26-28

15-20

16-25

24-13

20-18

23-15

15-25

23-16

19-25

160.6Avg total

80.7Scored

79.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	80.5	75.4	155.9	+5.1	58%
Season at home (12)	79.5	75.5	155.0	+4.0	67%
Season away (14)	81.4	75.4	156.7	+6.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	79.9	160.6	+0.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	83.8	165.4	-2.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	73.0	86.7	159.7	-13.7	0%
vs Similar (10)	78.7	78.2	156.9	+0.5	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	86.6	70.0	156.6	+16.6	86%

This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Botafogo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sorocabana

#15

75-68

A03/02

NBB

Cearense

#10

70-68

H06/02

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

94-74

+20

H08/02

NBB

Vasco

#11

87-94

-7

H16/02

NBB

Minas

70-76

-6

H20/02

NBB

Campo Mourao

#14

60-71

-11

A27/02

NBB

Paulistano

64-112

112

-48

A01/03

NBB

Joinville

#12

88-77

+11

H06/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

76-67

H08/03

NBB

Flamengo

84-90

-6

H12/03

NBB

19-21

23-12

20-21

13-14

16-14

16-21

18-19

20-14

18-23

29-8

20-24

27-19

21-30

22-22

17-17

27-25

15-17

20-24

16-21

19-14

14-15

12-20

22-16

12-20

13-20

11-37

25-24

15-31

23-26

22-16

19-23

24-12

22-12

23-6

22-20

9-29

18-20

28-23

17-27

21-20

156.5Avg total

76.8Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	69.8	77.6	147.4	-7.8	27%
Season at home (14)	74.4	75.9	150.2	-1.5	43%
Season away (12)	64.4	79.7	144.1	-15.2	8%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	79.7	156.5	-2.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	83.4	157.8	-9.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	69.5	80.3	149.8	-10.8	15%
vs Similar (6)	70.5	68.7	139.2	+1.8	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BauruBotafogo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	18.4	36.8	-0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.3	36.8	+2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	16.5	33.5	+0.5	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.7	20.9	39.6	-2.2	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.7	16.6	37.4	+4.1	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	16.4	20.0	36.4	-3.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (12)	13.9	20.9	34.8	-7.0	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	15.7	19.9	35.6	-4.2	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.3	17%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	19.3	39.6	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	18.0	36.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.7	37.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.4	39.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	20.7	38.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.5	17.4	36.9	+2.1	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.1	18.5	36.6	-0.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	17.4	36.4	+1.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.2	19.7	36.8	-2.5	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	35%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.2	14.7	31.8	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

37-29

A15/02

NBB

Flamengo

32-30

A17/02

NBB

Sorocabana

#15

38-29

H28/02

NBB

Pinheiros

43-44

-1

H02/03

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

34-37

-3

A05/03

NBB

Regatas

32-41

-9

A10/03

Americas League

Guaros de Lara

42-41

H10/03

Americas League

Estudiantes

47-34

+13

H11/03

Americas League

Mogi

31-45

-14

H15/03

NBB

Cearense

#10

38-40

-2

A21/03

NBB

74.4Avg total

37.4Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	36.6	75.1	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.7	36.9	77.6	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	36.4	72.9	+0.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	37.0	74.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	40.2	78.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.7	37.2	71.8	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.2	40.0	78.2	-1.8	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	40.2	34.0	74.2	+6.2	64%	-

This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sorocabana

#15

42-33

A03/02

NBB

Cearense

#10

32-35

-3

H06/02

NBB

Universo/Vitoria

47-31

+16

H08/02

NBB

Vasco

#11

43-52

-9

H16/02

NBB

Minas

35-41

-6

H20/02

NBB

Campo Mourao

#14

26-35

-9

A27/02

NBB

Paulistano

24-57

-33

A01/03

NBB

Joinville

#12

45-42

H06/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

45-18

+27

H08/03

NBB

Flamengo

46-43

H12/03

NBB

77.2Avg total

38.5Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	34.5	38.5	73.0	-3.9	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.5	36.6	74.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	31.1	40.6	71.7	-9.5	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	38.7	77.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	39.0	76.2	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	34.1	39.5	73.7	-5.4	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	36.0	34.8	70.8	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	20.1	39.9	-0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	18.1	40.9	+4.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.8	40.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	25.7	44.2	-7.2	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.9	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.3	17.3	40.6	+6.0	79%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	17.1	20.5	37.7	-3.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.4	21.3	37.7	-4.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.9	19.7	37.6	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.9	21.5	38.4	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.8	17.3	35.2	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.2	41.3	+1.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	20.3	42.1	+1.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.4	44.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	23.2	47.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.8	23.8	43.7	-4.0	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.7	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.1	18.7	41.8	+4.4	79%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	17.9	38.4	+2.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.4	19.4	34.8	-4.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	22.4	38.6	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.7	55%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.7	16.5	33.2	+0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	39.2	81.7	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	40.1	80.3	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.6	38.4	83.0	+6.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	42.2	84.7	+0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	43.6	87.2	+0.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.3	49.5	87.8	-11.2	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.7	37.5	77.2	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	46.4	36.0	82.4	+10.4	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	35.2	39.2	74.4	-3.9	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	39.2	76.1	-2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	33.3	39.1	72.4	-5.8	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	41.0	79.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	44.4	81.6	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	35.5	40.8	76.2	-5.3	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	34.5	33.8	68.3	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bauru wins

Botafogo wins

Date	Game	Score
04/01/18	Botafogo v Bauru	60-77

Baurulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/18	A	Cearense	80-81
15/03/18	H	Mogi	75-76
11/03/18	H	Estudiantes	88-93
10/03/18	H	Guaros de Lara	81-77
10/03/18	A	Regatas	84-92
05/03/18	A	Universo/Vitoria	77-82
02/03/18	H	Pinheiros	85-84 OT
28/02/18	H	Sorocabana	95-73
17/02/18	A	Flamengo	61-75
15/02/18	A	Minas	81-66

Botafogolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/03/18	H	Flamengo	84-90
08/03/18	H	Caxias do Sul	76-67
06/03/18	H	Joinville	88-77
01/03/18	A	Paulistano	64-112
27/02/18	A	Campo Mourao	60-71
20/02/18	H	Minas	70-76
16/02/18	H	Vasco	87-94
08/02/18	H	Universo/Vitoria	94-74
06/02/18	H	Cearense	70-68
03/02/18	A	Sorocabana	75-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru

NBB 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	58%
Home	LLWWL	67%
Away	WWLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	58%	67%	50%
Points / game	80.5	79.5	81.4
Allowed / game	75.4	75.5	75.4
Point differential	+5.1	+4.0	+6.0
Avg total	155.9	155.0	156.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	33%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	45% (11)	80% (5)	17% (6)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Botafogo

NBB 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	27%
Home	LLWWL	43%
Away	LLWLL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	27%	43%	8%
Points / game	69.8	74.4	64.4
Allowed / game	77.6	75.9	79.7
Point differential	-7.8	-1.5	-15.2
Avg total	147.4	150.2	144.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	50% (4)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Paulistano	26	23	3	88%	85.2	72.0	+13.1
2	Flamengo	26	23	3	88%	84.2	73.0	+11.2
3	Franca	27	21	6	78%	80.0	71.0	+9.0
4	Mogi	26	18	8	69%	76.4	71.0	+5.4
5	Bauru	26	15	11	58%	80.5	75.4	+5.1
6	Universo/Vitoria	26	14	12	54%	77.2	75.6	+1.5
7	Caxias do Sul	26	14	12	54%	75.1	75.2	-0.1
8	Pinheiros	26	13	13	50%	78.1	74.3	+3.8
9	Cearense	26	12	14	46%	72.7	76.3	-3.5
10	Minas	26	12	14	46%	71.0	74.9	-3.8
11	Vasco	27	11	16	41%	77.6	79.9	-2.2
12	Botafogo	26	7	19	27%	69.8	77.6	-7.8
13	Joinville	26	6	20	23%	66.3	77.7	-11.4
14	Campo Mourao	26	4	22	15%	68.5	80.3	-11.9
15	Sorocabana	26	3	23	12%	69.5	78.1	-8.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bauru	27	21	32	23	103
Botafogo	20	21	21	16	78

← all games of the day

Bauru vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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