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Bauru vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 84-85
12-21 28-20 20-18 24-26
Position#4
Record19-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#18
Record9-24
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game82.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bauru v Botafogo
13 Nov 2025
BAUR73
BOTA71
19 Apr 2025
BAUR84
BOTA85
21 Mar 2024
BAUR113
BOTA95
30 Nov 2019
BAUR71
BOTA78
25 Oct 2018
BAUR82
BOTA63
25 Mar 2018
BAUR103
BOTA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
74-64
74
64
+10
67avg 71
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
68avg 71
A27/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
84-81
84
81
+3
60avg 71
H05/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
74-66
74
66
+8
73avg 71
A11/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
69avg 71
A14/03
NBB
Franca
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
60avg 71
A18/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
84-67
84
67
+17
82avg 71
H29/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
95avg 71
H04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
84-88
84
88
-4
79avg 71
H13/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 71
H17/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
20-11
18-20
15-19
17-28
19-15
23-15
19-25
18-21
23-16
27-24
16-20
19-18
24-18
17-13
14-17
22-20
17-19
17-15
18-23
22-17
15-30
18-21
16-25
28-17
23-16
17-19
16-15
22-16
24-16
19-11
24-26
17-21
24-30
16-19
27-18
28-11
18-17
13-18
16-23
154.4Avg total
78.7Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.678.3156.9+0.358%
Season at home (16)79.874.7154.4+5.181%
Season away (17)77.581.7159.2-4.235%
Last 10 (10)78.775.7154.4+3.060%
Last 5 (5)80.677.2157.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.685.6162.2-9.020%
vs Similar (15)76.977.3154.2-0.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.574.6156.1+6.990%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-90
77
90
-13
69avg 64
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
91-76
91
76
+15
86avg 64
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
71-68
71
68
+3
61avg 64
H03/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
66-80
66
80
-14
54avg 64
A13/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
71-94
71
94
-23
66avg 64
A17/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
85-92
85
92
-7
79avg 64
H29/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
64-85
64
85
-21
50avg 64
H03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
86-85
86
85
+1
82avg 64
H05/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
59-97
59
97
-38
42avg 64
A09/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
62-80
62
80
-18
51avg 64
A12/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
20-18
10-32
20-16
26-29
24-27
19-13
22-7
18-27
17-14
15-16
21-11
20-18
13-23
19-19
14-20
14-24
18-22
22-24
17-24
26-20
21-21
15-22
23-29
12-16
15-28
19-20
18-21
25-19
27-25
16-22
18-19
21-22
5-21
22-31
11-23
14-29
16-13
19-15
13-23
157.9Avg total
73.2Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)72.882.0154.8-9.227%
Season at home (17)74.581.6156.1-7.135%
Season away (16)70.982.4153.3-11.619%
Last 10 (10)73.284.7157.9-11.530%
Last 5 (5)71.287.8159.0-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)72.585.0157.5-12.620%
vs Similar (5)75.673.4149.0+2.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
BauruBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A27/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H05/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A11/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A14/03
NBB
Franca
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A18/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H29/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H13/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H17/04
NBB
79.2Avg total
42.1Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.978.3+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.636.376.9+4.364%-
Last 30 away (16)38.441.179.5-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.179.2+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.282.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.846.686.4-6.820%-
vs Similar (15)38.437.976.3+0.553%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.736.477.1+4.350%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#14
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A13/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H29/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H05/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A09/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A12/04
NBB
81.9Avg total
37.9Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.641.777.3-6.227%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.241.278.4-3.938%-
Last 30 away (14)33.642.476.0-8.714%-
Last 10 (10)37.944.081.9-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.879.2-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.043.378.2-8.316%-
vs Similar (5)38.634.072.6+4.680%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.9
52.9%
50.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.5
29.6%
33.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.6
77.7%
72.7%14.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.0
48.4%
50.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.8
31.5%
33.0%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.712.0
60.9%
72.7%12.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
WLWWLLWWLW
Botafogo
LLWLLLLWWL
#4
League position
#18
+3.9
Net rating
-15.3
100.5
Offensive rating
95.6
96.6
Defensive rating
111.0
49.1%
Effective FG%
48.0%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
20.2%
Turnover %
20.6%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.6%
3-point %
31.5%
68.6%
Assist %
59.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 95.6Defence96.6 · 111.0Shooting49.1% · 48.0%3-point %29.6% · 31.5%Ball care20.2% · 20.6%Off. rebounds28.9% · 30.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Bauru   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bauru wins
3
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
18/12/24Botafogo v Bauru93-92 OT
21/03/24Bauru v Botafogo113-95
29/11/23Botafogo v Bauru83-80
30/11/19Bauru v Botafogo71-78
11/01/19Botafogo v Bauru74-80
25/10/18Bauru v Botafogo82-63
25/03/18Bauru v Botafogo103-78
04/01/18Botafogo v Bauru60-77
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/25HVasco75-69
13/04/25HFlamengo84-88
04/04/25HUniao Corinthians89-69
29/03/25HCaxias do Sul84-67
18/03/25AFranca71-93
14/03/25AUnifacisa74-77
11/03/25ACearense74-66
05/03/25HPinheiros84-81
27/02/25ASao Jose78-83
16/02/25HCorinthians Paulista74-64
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25AFranca62-80
09/04/25AMinas59-97
05/04/25HSao Paulo86-85
03/04/25HPaulistano64-85
29/03/25HFlamengo85-92
17/03/25ABrasilia71-94
13/03/25AVasco66-80
03/03/25HSao Jose71-68
16/02/25HPato91-76
08/02/25AUniao Corinthians77-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeWWWLW81%
AwayWLWLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %58%81%35%
Points / game78.679.877.5
Allowed / game78.374.781.7
Point differential+0.3+5.1-4.2
Avg total156.9154.4159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%19%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeWWLLW35%
AwayLLLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %27%35%19%
Points / game72.874.570.9
Allowed / game82.081.682.4
Point differential-9.2-7.1-11.6
Avg total154.8156.1153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3429585%82.270.9+11.3
2 Flamengo3426876%84.776.1+8.6
3 Franca3425974%84.675.6+9.0
4 Brasilia33191458%81.280.1+1.1
5 Bauru33191458%78.678.3+0.3
6 Pinheiros34191556%76.874.7+2.1
7 Vasco34181653%76.476.1+0.3
8 Uniao Corinthians34181653%78.180.4-2.4
9 Corinthians Paulista34171750%81.679.7+2.0
10 Sao Jose34171750%78.278.1+0.1
11 Unifacisa34161847%75.375.4-0.1
12 Paulistano34151944%77.876.2+1.6
13 Pato34132138%81.583.4-1.9
14 Sao Paulo33122136%76.079.7-3.7
15 Mogi34112332%74.581.2-6.7
16 Caxias do Sul34112332%74.481.1-6.8
17 Cearense34102429%72.178.0-5.9
18 Botafogo3392427%72.882.0-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru1228202484
Botafogo2120182685
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